A modular framework for the development of multi-hazard, multi-phase volcanic eruption scenario suites Article Swipe
Alana Weir
,
Stuart Mead
,
Mark Bebbington
,
Thomas Wilson
,
Sarah Beaven
,
Teresa P. Gordon
,
Craig Campbell-Smart
·
YOU?
·
· 2022
· Open Access
·
· DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2022.107557
YOU?
·
· 2022
· Open Access
·
· DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2022.107557
Understanding future volcanic eruptions and their potential impact is a critical component of disaster risk \nreduction, and necessitates the production of salient, robust hazard information for decision-makers and endusers. Volcanic eruptions are inherently multi-phase, multi-hazard events, and the uncertainty and complexity \nsurrounding potential future hazard behaviour is exceedingly hard to communicate to decision-makers. Volcanic \neruption scenarios are recognised to be an effective knowledge-sharing mechanism between scientists and \npractitioners, and recent hybrid scenario suites partially address the limitations surrounding the traditional \ndeterministic scenario approach. Despite advances in scenario suite development, there is still a gap in the international knowledge base concerning the synthesis of multi-phase, multi-hazard volcano science and end-user \nneeds. In this study we present a new modular framework for the development of complex, long-duration, multiphase, multi-hazard volcanic eruption scenario suites. The framework was developed in collaboration with \nvolcanic risk management agencies and researchers in Aotearoa-New Zealand, and is applied to Taranaki \nMounga volcano, an area of high volcanic risk. This collaborative process aimed to meet end-user requirements, \nas well as the need for scientific rigour. This new scenario framework development process could be applied at \nother volcanic settings to produce robust, credible and relevant scenario suites that are demonstrative of the \ncomplex, varying-duration and multi-hazard nature of volcanic eruptions. In addressing this gap, the value of \nvolcanic scenario development is enhanced by advancing multi-hazard assessment capabilities and cross-sector \ncollaboration between scientists and practitioners for disaster risk reduction planning.
Related Topics
Concepts
Volcanic hazards
Hazard
Hazard analysis
Volcano
Disaster risk reduction
Natural hazard
Earth science
Risk analysis (engineering)
Computer science
Geology
Seismology
Environmental resource management
Engineering
Business
Environmental science
Oceanography
Aerospace engineering
Organic chemistry
Chemistry
Metadata
- Type
- article
- Language
- en
- Landing Page
- https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2022.107557
- OA Status
- hybrid
- Cited By
- 20
- References
- 104
- Related Works
- 10
- OpenAlex ID
- https://openalex.org/W4225138698
All OpenAlex metadata
Raw OpenAlex JSON
- OpenAlex ID
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https://openalex.org/W4225138698Canonical identifier for this work in OpenAlex
- DOI
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https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2022.107557Digital Object Identifier
- Title
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A modular framework for the development of multi-hazard, multi-phase volcanic eruption scenario suitesWork title
- Type
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articleOpenAlex work type
- Language
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enPrimary language
- Publication year
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2022Year of publication
- Publication date
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2022-04-28Full publication date if available
- Authors
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Alana Weir, Stuart Mead, Mark Bebbington, Thomas Wilson, Sarah Beaven, Teresa P. Gordon, Craig Campbell-SmartList of authors in order
- Landing page
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https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2022.107557Publisher landing page
- Open access
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YesWhether a free full text is available
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hybridOpen access status per OpenAlex
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https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2022.107557Direct OA link when available
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Volcanic hazards, Hazard, Hazard analysis, Volcano, Disaster risk reduction, Natural hazard, Earth science, Risk analysis (engineering), Computer science, Geology, Seismology, Environmental resource management, Engineering, Business, Environmental science, Oceanography, Aerospace engineering, Organic chemistry, ChemistryTop concepts (fields/topics) attached by OpenAlex
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20Total citation count in OpenAlex
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2025: 8, 2024: 10, 2023: 1, 2022: 1Per-year citation counts (last 5 years)
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104Number of works referenced by this work
- Related works (count)
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10Other works algorithmically related by OpenAlex
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