A Multi-Agent Closed-Loop Decision-Making Framework for Joint Forecasting and Bidding in Electricity Spot Markets Article Swipe
Shicheng Zhang
,
W. C. Deng
,
Y.Y. Zhang
,
Zhijun Jing
,
Ning Guo
,
Jiaxin Yu
,
Wang Bo
,
Liao Mei
·
YOU?
·
· 2025
· Open Access
·
· DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/en18246486
YOU?
·
· 2025
· Open Access
·
· DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/en18246486
With increasing renewable energy integration, electricity spot markets exhibit high volatility and uncertainty, making it difficult to balance profit and risk. To address this challenge, this paper proposes Joint (Version 1.0), a multi-agent closed-loop framework that integrates forecasting, strategy, and feedback for coordinated decision-making. The Prediction Agent learns statistical patterns of price spreads to generate distributional forecasts, directional probabilities, and extreme-value indicators; the Strategy Agent adaptively maps these signals into executable bidding ratios through a hybrid mechanism; and the Feedback Agent incorporates settlement results for performance evaluation, CVaR-based risk control, and preference-driven optimization. These agents form a dynamic “forecast–strategy–feedback” loop enabling self-improving trading. Experimental results show that Joint achieves a monthly profit of 146,933.46 CNY with strong classification performance (Precision = 53.25%, Recall = 40.45%, AA = 56.05%, SWA = 57.36%), and the complete model in ablation experiments reaches 157,746.64 CNY, demonstrating the indispensable contributions of each component and confirming its robustness and practical value in volatile electricity spot markets.
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- Type
- article
- Language
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- Landing Page
- https://doi.org/10.3390/en18246486
- https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/18/24/6486/pdf?version=1765448593
- OA Status
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- References
- 20
- OpenAlex ID
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All OpenAlex metadata
Raw OpenAlex JSON
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https://openalex.org/W4417229174Canonical identifier for this work in OpenAlex
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https://doi.org/10.3390/en18246486Digital Object Identifier
- Title
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A Multi-Agent Closed-Loop Decision-Making Framework for Joint Forecasting and Bidding in Electricity Spot MarketsWork title
- Type
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articleOpenAlex work type
- Language
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enPrimary language
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2025Year of publication
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2025-12-11Full publication date if available
- Authors
-
Shicheng Zhang, W. C. Deng, Y.Y. Zhang, Zhijun Jing, Ning Guo, Jiaxin Yu, Wang Bo, Liao MeiList of authors in order
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https://doi.org/10.3390/en18246486Publisher landing page
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https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/18/24/6486/pdf?version=1765448593Direct link to full text PDF
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YesWhether a free full text is available
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goldOpen access status per OpenAlex
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https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/18/24/6486/pdf?version=1765448593Direct OA link when available
- Cited by
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0Total citation count in OpenAlex
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20Number of works referenced by this work
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