Análisis del riesgo de desastres por flujo de lodo en puntos críticos de la cuenca Chilca, región de Lima, Perú Article Swipe

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Edwin Gabriel-Campos , José A. Osejo-Maury , Mario Delgado , José Luis Zuloaga-Obregón ·

YOU? · · 2025 · Open Access · · DOI: https://doi.org/10.55467/reder.v9i1.187

En un contexto de cambio climático en donde se incrementaron los fenómenos climáticos en intensidad, frecuencia y ocurrencia, este estudio plantea determinar el nivel de peligro por flujos de lodo en la cuenca Chilca en Lima, Perú, y analizar el nivel de vulnerabilidad y riesgo de desastre en cuatro puntos críticos dentro de esta. Para alcanzar este objetivo, se han aplicado metodologías cuantitativas en el procesamiento de la información, utilizando la matriz de jerarquización de pares de Saaty para obtener los parámetros respectivos y analizar el nivel de peligro, vulnerabilidad y riesgo con la ayuda del software ArcMap. Los resultados muestran que la cuenca presenta un nivel de peligro alto y muy alto, siendo la cuenca baja la más expuesta con un nivel muy alto; dentro de esta, se han identificado cuatro puntos críticos ocupados por 711 personas en 167 viviendas, donde más del 90% presentan un nivel de vulnerabilidad y riesgo alto y muy alto. El estudio concluye que la cuenca Chilca se encuentra expuesta a la ocurrencia de los flujos de lodo y/o detrito con niveles de riesgo alto y muy alto para la población e infraestructura, y debe implementarse medidas para la prevención y reducción del riesgo, especialmente en la cuenca baja, sector de la cuenca más poblada y de ocupación urbana, industrial y comercial.

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Type: article
Language: es
Landing Page: https://doi.org/10.55467/reder.v9i1.187
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.55467/reder.v9i1.187

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Title: Análisis del riesgo de desastres por flujo de lodo en puntos críticos de la cuenca Chilca, región de Lima, Perú

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Publication year: 2025

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Authors: Edwin Gabriel-Campos, José A. Osejo-Maury, Mario Delgado, José Luis Zuloaga-Obregón

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Landing page: https://doi.org/10.55467/reder.v9i1.187

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