Arctic marine heatwaves forced by greenhouse gases and triggered by abrupt sea-ice melt Article Swipe
Armineh Barkhordarian
,
David Nielsen
,
Dirk Olonscheck
,
Johanna Baehr
·
YOU?
·
· 2024
· Open Access
·
· DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-024-01215-y
YOU?
·
· 2024
· Open Access
·
· DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-024-01215-y
Since 2007, unprecedented marine heatwave events are occurring over the Arctic Ocean. Here we identify the fraction of the likelihood of Arctic marine heatwaves magnitude that is attributable to greenhouse gas forcing. Results reveal that Arctic marine heatwaves are primarily triggered by an abrupt sea-ice retreat, which coincides with the maximum downward radiative fluxes. Up to 82% of the sea surface temperature variability over the shallow Arctic marginal seas, where marine heatwaves are prone to occur, can be explained by net accumulation of seasonal surface heat flux in the ocean. Event attribution analysis demonstrates that the 103-day long 2020 event – the most intense (4 ∘ C) recorded so far in the Arctic – would be exceptionally unlikely in the absence of greenhouse gas forcing in terms of both intensity and duration. Our further results imply that if greenhouse gas emissions continue to rise, along with the expansion of first-year ice extent, moderate marine heatwaves in the Arctic will very likely persistently reoccur.
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Metadata
- Type
- article
- Language
- en
- Landing Page
- https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-024-01215-y
- https://www.nature.com/articles/s43247-024-01215-y.pdf
- OA Status
- gold
- Cited By
- 37
- References
- 89
- Related Works
- 10
- OpenAlex ID
- https://openalex.org/W4391779710
All OpenAlex metadata
Raw OpenAlex JSON
- OpenAlex ID
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https://openalex.org/W4391779710Canonical identifier for this work in OpenAlex
- DOI
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https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-024-01215-yDigital Object Identifier
- Title
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Arctic marine heatwaves forced by greenhouse gases and triggered by abrupt sea-ice meltWork title
- Type
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articleOpenAlex work type
- Language
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enPrimary language
- Publication year
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2024Year of publication
- Publication date
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2024-02-13Full publication date if available
- Authors
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Armineh Barkhordarian, David Nielsen, Dirk Olonscheck, Johanna BaehrList of authors in order
- Landing page
-
https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-024-01215-yPublisher landing page
- PDF URL
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https://www.nature.com/articles/s43247-024-01215-y.pdfDirect link to full text PDF
- Open access
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YesWhether a free full text is available
- OA status
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goldOpen access status per OpenAlex
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https://www.nature.com/articles/s43247-024-01215-y.pdfDirect OA link when available
- Concepts
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Environmental science, Sea ice, Arctic ice pack, The arctic, Arctic, Climatology, Greenhouse gas, Oceanography, Atmospheric sciences, GeologyTop concepts (fields/topics) attached by OpenAlex
- Cited by
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37Total citation count in OpenAlex
- Citations by year (recent)
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2025: 18, 2024: 18, 2023: 1Per-year citation counts (last 5 years)
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89Number of works referenced by this work
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10Other works algorithmically related by OpenAlex
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