Climate succession: a framework for predicting vegetation dynamics driven by climate change Article Swipe
Belinda E. Medlyn
,
Laura Williams
,
Jürgen Knauer
,
Assaf Inbar
,
Clare Stephens
,
Rachael V. Gallagher
,
Rachael H. Nolan
,
Brendan Choat
,
Matthias M. Boer
,
Benjamin Smith
·
YOU?
·
· 2023
· Open Access
·
· DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-11134
YOU?
·
· 2023
· Open Access
·
· DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-11134
Climate change, driven by rising atmospheric CO2 concentrations, is well under way, and we are already starting to see significant shifts in the function and distribution of vegetation as a result. Dynamic vegetation models, the main platform used to predict the likely magnitude, rate and nature of these shifts, were originally rooted in theories of successional dynamics following disturbance. A key question for these models is how well they can capture vegetation responses to climatic change, which includes both press and pulse disturbances. Here we develop a general framework for representing climate-driven successional dynamics in vegetation models. The framework is illustrated with a series of case studies from Australia of vegetation responses to the major global change drivers of rising CO2, warming, drought and fire. The Australian environment, intrinsically characterized by high climate variability, has experienced increasingly challenging climate extremes in recent years and thus provides an excellent testbed for predictive models.
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Metadata
- Type
- preprint
- Language
- en
- Landing Page
- https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-11134
- OA Status
- gold
- Related Works
- 10
- OpenAlex ID
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All OpenAlex metadata
Raw OpenAlex JSON
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https://openalex.org/W4321996312Canonical identifier for this work in OpenAlex
- DOI
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https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-11134Digital Object Identifier
- Title
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Climate succession: a framework for predicting vegetation dynamics driven by climate changeWork title
- Type
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preprintOpenAlex work type
- Language
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enPrimary language
- Publication year
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2023Year of publication
- Publication date
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2023-02-26Full publication date if available
- Authors
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Belinda E. Medlyn, Laura Williams, Jürgen Knauer, Assaf Inbar, Clare Stephens, Rachael V. Gallagher, Rachael H. Nolan, Brendan Choat, Matthias M. Boer, Benjamin SmithList of authors in order
- Landing page
-
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-11134Publisher landing page
- Open access
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YesWhether a free full text is available
- OA status
-
goldOpen access status per OpenAlex
- OA URL
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https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu23-11134Direct OA link when available
- Concepts
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Vegetation (pathology), Climate change, Ecological succession, Climatology, Environmental science, Disturbance (geology), Global change, Ecology, Environmental resource management, Physical geography, Geography, Geology, Pathology, Paleontology, Medicine, BiologyTop concepts (fields/topics) attached by OpenAlex
- Cited by
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0Total citation count in OpenAlex
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10Other works algorithmically related by OpenAlex
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