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arXiv (Cornell University)
Combined P-value Functions for Compatible Effect Estimation and Hypothesis Testing in Drug Regulation
March 2025 • Samuel Pawel, Małgorzata Roos, Leonhard Held
The two-trials rule in drug regulation requires statistically significant results from two pivotal trials to demonstrate efficacy. However, it is unclear how the effect estimates from both trials should be combined to quantify the drug effect. Fixed-effect meta-analysis is commonly used but may yield confidence intervals that exclude the value of no effect even when the two-trials rule is not fulfilled. We systematically address this by recasting the two-trials rule and meta-analysis in a unified framework of comb…
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