Convection-Permitting Regional Climate Change Simulations for Understanding Future Climate and Informing Decision-Making in Africa Article Swipe
C. A. Senior
,
John H. Marsham
,
Ségolène Berthou
,
Laura Burgin
,
Sonja Folwell
,
Elizabeth Kendon
,
Cornelia Klein
,
Richard Jones
,
Neha Mittal
,
David P. Rowell
,
Lorenzo Tomassini
,
Théo Vischel
,
Bernd Becker
,
Cathryn E. Birch
,
Julia Crook
,
Andrew J. Dougill
,
D Finney
,
Richard Graham
,
Neil Hart
,
Christopher Jack
,
Lawrence Jackson
,
Rachel James
,
Bettina Koelle
,
Herbert Misiani
,
Brenda Mwalukanga
,
Douglas J. Parker
,
R. A. Stratton
,
Christopher M. Taylor
,
Simon Tucker
,
Caroline M. Wainwright
,
Richard Washington
,
Martin R. Willet
·
YOU?
·
· 2021
· Open Access
·
· DOI: https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-20-0020.1
YOU?
·
· 2021
· Open Access
·
· DOI: https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-20-0020.1
Pan-Africa convection-permitting regional climate model simulations have been performed to study the impact of high resolution and the explicit representation of atmospheric moist convection on the present and future climate of Africa. These unique simulations have allowed European and African climate scientists to understand the critical role that the representation of convection plays in the ability of a contemporary climate model to capture climate and climate change, including many impact-relevant aspects such as rainfall variability and extremes. There are significant improvements in not only the small-scale characteristics of rainfall such as its intensity and diurnal cycle, but also in the large-scale circulation. Similarly, effects of explicit convection affect not only projected changes in rainfall extremes, dry spells, and high winds, but also continental-scale circulation and regional rainfall accumulations. The physics underlying such differences are in many cases expected to be relevant to all models that use parameterized convection. In some cases physical understanding of small-scale change means that we can provide regional decision-makers with new scales of information across a range of sectors. We demonstrate the potential value of these simulations both as scientific tools to increase climate process understanding and, when used with other models, for direct user applications. We describe how these ground-breaking simulations have been achieved under the U.K. Government’s Future Climate for Africa Programme. We anticipate a growing number of such simulations, which we advocate should become a routine component of climate projection, and encourage international coordination of such computationally and human-resource expensive simulations as effectively as possible.
Related Topics
Concepts
Climate change
Climate model
Climatology
General Circulation Model
Convection
Scale (ratio)
Environmental science
Downscaling
Coupled model intercomparison project
Geography
Meteorology
Geology
Oceanography
Cartography
Metadata
- Type
- article
- Language
- en
- Landing Page
- https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-20-0020.1
- https://journals.ametsoc.org/downloadpdf/journals/bams/102/6/BAMS-D-20-0020.1.pdf
- OA Status
- bronze
- Cited By
- 46
- References
- 92
- Related Works
- 10
- OpenAlex ID
- https://openalex.org/W3131641573
All OpenAlex metadata
Raw OpenAlex JSON
- OpenAlex ID
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https://openalex.org/W3131641573Canonical identifier for this work in OpenAlex
- DOI
-
https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-20-0020.1Digital Object Identifier
- Title
-
Convection-Permitting Regional Climate Change Simulations for Understanding Future Climate and Informing Decision-Making in AfricaWork title
- Type
-
articleOpenAlex work type
- Language
-
enPrimary language
- Publication year
-
2021Year of publication
- Publication date
-
2021-02-19Full publication date if available
- Authors
-
C. A. Senior, John H. Marsham, Ségolène Berthou, Laura Burgin, Sonja Folwell, Elizabeth Kendon, Cornelia Klein, Richard Jones, Neha Mittal, David P. Rowell, Lorenzo Tomassini, Théo Vischel, Bernd Becker, Cathryn E. Birch, Julia Crook, Andrew J. Dougill, D Finney, Richard Graham, Neil Hart, Christopher Jack, Lawrence Jackson, Rachel James, Bettina Koelle, Herbert Misiani, Brenda Mwalukanga, Douglas J. Parker, R. A. Stratton, Christopher M. Taylor, Simon Tucker, Caroline M. Wainwright, Richard Washington, Martin R. WilletList of authors in order
- Landing page
-
https://doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-20-0020.1Publisher landing page
- PDF URL
-
https://journals.ametsoc.org/downloadpdf/journals/bams/102/6/BAMS-D-20-0020.1.pdfDirect link to full text PDF
- Open access
-
YesWhether a free full text is available
- OA status
-
bronzeOpen access status per OpenAlex
- OA URL
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https://journals.ametsoc.org/downloadpdf/journals/bams/102/6/BAMS-D-20-0020.1.pdfDirect OA link when available
- Concepts
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Climate change, Climate model, Climatology, General Circulation Model, Convection, Scale (ratio), Environmental science, Downscaling, Coupled model intercomparison project, Geography, Meteorology, Geology, Oceanography, CartographyTop concepts (fields/topics) attached by OpenAlex
- Cited by
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46Total citation count in OpenAlex
- Citations by year (recent)
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2025: 11, 2024: 6, 2023: 10, 2022: 12, 2021: 7Per-year citation counts (last 5 years)
- References (count)
-
92Number of works referenced by this work
- Related works (count)
-
10Other works algorithmically related by OpenAlex
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