Data assimilation using a global Girsanov nudged particle filter Article Swipe

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Maneesh Kumar Singh , Joshua Hope-Collins , Dan Crisan , Colin J. Cotter ·

YOU? · · 2025 · Open Access · · DOI: https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-7207017/v1

We present a particle filtering algorithm for stochastic models on infinite dimensional state space, making use of Girsanov perturbations to nudge the ensemble of particles into regions of higher likelihood. We argue that the optimal control problem needs to couple control variables for all of the particles to maintain an ensemble with good effective sample size (ESS). We provide an optimisation formulation that separates the problem into three stages, separating the nonlinearity in the ESS term in the functional with the nonlinearity due to the forward problem, and allowing independent parallel computation for each particle when calculations are performed over control variable space. The particle filter is applied to the stochastic Kuramoto-Sivashinsky equation, and compared with the temper-jitter particle filter approach. We observe that whilst the nudging filter is over spread compared to the temper-jitter filter, it responds to extreme events in the assimilated data more quickly and robustly.

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Girsanov Theorem

Environmental Science

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Girsanov theorem Data assimilation Particle filter Particle (ecology) Assimilation (phonology) Filter (signal processing) Environmental science Computer science Meteorology Physics Mathematics Applied mathematics Geology Philosophy Computer vision Stochastic differential equation Oceanography Linguistics

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Type: preprint
Language: en
Landing Page: https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-7207017/v1
PDF: https://www.researchsquare.com/article/rs-7207017/latest.pdf
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-7207017/v1

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Title: Data assimilation using a global Girsanov nudged particle filter

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Type: preprint

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Language: en

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Publication year: 2025

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Publication date: 2025-07-29

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Authors: Maneesh Kumar Singh, Joshua Hope-Collins, Dan Crisan, Colin J. Cotter

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Landing page: https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-7207017/v1

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Concepts: Girsanov theorem, Data assimilation, Particle filter, Particle (ecology), Assimilation (phonology), Filter (signal processing), Environmental science, Computer science, Meteorology, Physics, Mathematics, Applied mathematics, Geology, Philosophy, Computer vision, Stochastic differential equation, Oceanography, Linguistics

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