Development and validation of a diagnostic prediction model reminiscent of systemic inflammation and organ interaction in heart failure preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) patients Article Swipe
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· 2022
· Open Access
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· DOI: https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-2183043/v1
Purpose Systemic inflammation and reciprocal organ interactions are associated with the pathophysiology of heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF). Herein, we proposed a simple diagnostic model with markers from complete routine blood test as well as liver and renal dysfunction for HFpEF. Patients and methods: This is a hospital-based single-center, cross-sectional observation study. 1808 eligible patients with documented cardiovascular diseases were enrolled. HFpEF was diagnosed independently by two expert cardiologists according to the clinical manifestation, echocardiography and the N-Terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide. A diagnostic model for HFpEF was developed by logistic regression and assessed by ROC and Brier score. Then, the model was validated by the 10-fold cross-validation and presented as nomogram and a web-based online risk calculator as well. Results Patients with HFpEF account for 47.23% in development data. Univariate, multivariate and LASSO regression analysis revealed that age, Hb, NLR, AST/ALT ratio, Cr, UA, atrial fibrillation, and pulmonary arterial hypertension were associated with HFpEF. The predictive model exhibited reasonably accurate discrimination (ROC, 0.753, 95% CI, 0.732 to 0.772) and calibration (Brier score was 0.200). Subsequent internal validation showed good discrimination and calibration (AUC = 0.750, Brier score was 0.202). Conclusion Our new diagnostic model incorporating markers of inflammation, liver-heart and kidney-heart interactions has the predictive ability for HFpEF, and may be helpful for timely diagnosis of patients with HFpEF.
Related Topics
- Type
- preprint
- Language
- en
- Landing Page
- https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-2183043/v1
- https://www.researchsquare.com/article/rs-2183043/latest.pdf
- OA Status
- green
- Cited By
- 1
- References
- 54
- Related Works
- 10
- OpenAlex ID
- https://openalex.org/W4307185046
Raw OpenAlex JSON
- OpenAlex ID
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https://openalex.org/W4307185046Canonical identifier for this work in OpenAlex
- DOI
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https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-2183043/v1Digital Object Identifier
- Title
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Development and validation of a diagnostic prediction model reminiscent of systemic inflammation and organ interaction in heart failure preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) patientsWork title
- Type
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preprintOpenAlex work type
- Language
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enPrimary language
- Publication year
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2022Year of publication
- Publication date
-
2022-10-24Full publication date if available
- Authors
-
Rong Zhou, Yiyuan Xia, Zheng Li, Li‐Da Wu, Yi Shi, Zhiyu Ling, Junxia ZhangList of authors in order
- Landing page
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https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-2183043/v1Publisher landing page
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https://www.researchsquare.com/article/rs-2183043/latest.pdfDirect link to full text PDF
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YesWhether a free full text is available
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greenOpen access status per OpenAlex
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https://www.researchsquare.com/article/rs-2183043/latest.pdfDirect OA link when available
- Concepts
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Medicine, Internal medicine, Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction, Cardiology, Heart failure, Atrial fibrillation, Brier score, Logistic regression, Ejection fraction, Artificial intelligence, Computer scienceTop concepts (fields/topics) attached by OpenAlex
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1Total citation count in OpenAlex
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2025: 1Per-year citation counts (last 5 years)
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54Number of works referenced by this work
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10Other works algorithmically related by OpenAlex
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