Effect of streamflow measurement error on flood frequency estimation Article Swipe
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· 2024
· Open Access
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· DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-024-02707-1
Significant errors often arise when measuring streamflow during high flows and flood events. Such errors conflated by short records of observations may induce bias in the flood frequency estimates, leading to costly engineering design mistakes. This work illustrates how observational (measurement) errors affect the uncertainty of flood frequency estimation. The study used the Bulletin 17 C (US standard) method to estimate flood frequencies of historical peak flows modified to represent the measurement limitations. To perform the modifications, we explored, via Monte Carlo simulation, four hypothetical scenarios that mimic measurement errors, sample size limitations, and their combination. We used a multiplicative noise from a log-normal distribution to simulate the measurement errors and implemented a bootstrap approach to represent the sampling error. Then, we randomly selected M samples from the total N records of the observed peak flows of four gauging stations in Iowa in central USA. The observed data record ranges between 76 and 119 years for watersheds with drainage areas between 500 and 16,000 km 2 . According to the results, measurement errors lead to more significant differences than sampling limitations. The scenarios exhibited differences with median magnitudes of up to 50%, with some cases reaching differences up to 100% for return periods above 50 years. The results raise a red flag regarding flood frequency estimation that warrants looking for further research on observational errors.
Related Topics
- Type
- article
- Language
- en
- Landing Page
- https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-024-02707-1
- https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s00477-024-02707-1.pdf
- OA Status
- hybrid
- Cited By
- 2
- References
- 45
- Related Works
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- OpenAlex ID
- https://openalex.org/W4393155615
Raw OpenAlex JSON
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https://openalex.org/W4393155615Canonical identifier for this work in OpenAlex
- DOI
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https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-024-02707-1Digital Object Identifier
- Title
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Effect of streamflow measurement error on flood frequency estimationWork title
- Type
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articleOpenAlex work type
- Language
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enPrimary language
- Publication year
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2024Year of publication
- Publication date
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2024-03-25Full publication date if available
- Authors
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Nicolás Velásquez, Witold F. KrajewskiList of authors in order
- Landing page
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https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-024-02707-1Publisher landing page
- PDF URL
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https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s00477-024-02707-1.pdfDirect link to full text PDF
- Open access
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YesWhether a free full text is available
- OA status
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hybridOpen access status per OpenAlex
- OA URL
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https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s00477-024-02707-1.pdfDirect OA link when available
- Concepts
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Streamflow, Estimation, Flood myth, Environmental science, Statistics, Computational intelligence, Observational error, Hydrology (agriculture), Mathematics, Climatology, Geology, Computer science, Geography, Cartography, Artificial intelligence, Drainage basin, Geotechnical engineering, Engineering, Archaeology, Systems engineeringTop concepts (fields/topics) attached by OpenAlex
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2Total citation count in OpenAlex
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2025: 1, 2024: 1Per-year citation counts (last 5 years)
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45Number of works referenced by this work
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10Other works algorithmically related by OpenAlex
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