Effects of land use change on ecosystem service value under different scenarios in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay area Article Swipe
Xiaohui Ding
,
Ji Yang
,
Gen Zhang
,
Lingjia Liu
,
Quan Liu
,
Ruiyou Li
,
Jia Hu
·
YOU?
·
· 2025
· Open Access
·
· DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/10106049.2025.2528249
YOU?
·
· 2025
· Open Access
·
· DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/10106049.2025.2528249
Assessing ecosystem service value (ESV) across scenarios offers vital decision-making references for ecosystem management. This study estimated the 2030 ESVs of the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area (GBA), an area with severe ecological degradation, under four scenarios, including natural development (S1), urban development (S2), cultivated land protection (S3) and ecological protection (S4). First, the historical land use dataset was derived from the Landsat and Sentinel-2 images using the classification method of random forest. Second, the FLUS model predicted 2030 land use patterns under the four scenarios. Finally, ESVs were calculated using the equivalent factor method. Results showed ESVs of ￥271.285 billion (S1), ￥266.257 billion (S2), ￥268.408 billion (S3) and ￥274.728 billion (S4) all lower than 2020 levels. The smallest reduction occurred under S4. Declines primarily stemmed from losses of woodland and water bodies.
Related Topics
Concepts
Bay
Geography
Ecosystem services
Land use, land-use change and forestry
Land use
Environmental resource management
Value (mathematics)
Service (business)
Environmental protection
Cartography
Forestry
Ecosystem
Environmental science
Business
Ecology
Civil engineering
Agriculture
Statistics
Engineering
Archaeology
Mathematics
Marketing
Biology
Metadata
- Type
- article
- Language
- en
- Landing Page
- https://doi.org/10.1080/10106049.2025.2528249
- OA Status
- gold
- References
- 23
- Related Works
- 10
- OpenAlex ID
- https://openalex.org/W4413066041
All OpenAlex metadata
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https://openalex.org/W4413066041Canonical identifier for this work in OpenAlex
- DOI
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https://doi.org/10.1080/10106049.2025.2528249Digital Object Identifier
- Title
-
Effects of land use change on ecosystem service value under different scenarios in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay areaWork title
- Type
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articleOpenAlex work type
- Language
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enPrimary language
- Publication year
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2025Year of publication
- Publication date
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2025-07-18Full publication date if available
- Authors
-
Xiaohui Ding, Ji Yang, Gen Zhang, Lingjia Liu, Quan Liu, Ruiyou Li, Jia HuList of authors in order
- Landing page
-
https://doi.org/10.1080/10106049.2025.2528249Publisher landing page
- Open access
-
YesWhether a free full text is available
- OA status
-
goldOpen access status per OpenAlex
- OA URL
-
https://doi.org/10.1080/10106049.2025.2528249Direct OA link when available
- Concepts
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Bay, Geography, Ecosystem services, Land use, land-use change and forestry, Land use, Environmental resource management, Value (mathematics), Service (business), Environmental protection, Cartography, Forestry, Ecosystem, Environmental science, Business, Ecology, Civil engineering, Agriculture, Statistics, Engineering, Archaeology, Mathematics, Marketing, BiologyTop concepts (fields/topics) attached by OpenAlex
- Cited by
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0Total citation count in OpenAlex
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23Number of works referenced by this work
- Related works (count)
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10Other works algorithmically related by OpenAlex
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