Estimation in multi-arm two-stage trials with treatment selection and time-to-event endpoint Article Swipe
YOU?
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· 2017
· Open Access
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· DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/sim.7367
We consider estimation of treatment effects in two-stage adaptive multi-arm trials with a common control. The best treatment is selected at interim, and the primary endpoint is modeled via a Cox proportional hazards model. The maximum partial-likelihood estimator of the log hazard ratio of the selected treatment will overestimate the true treatment effect in this case. Several methods for reducing the selection bias have been proposed for normal endpoints, including an iterative method based on the estimated conditional selection biases and a shrinkage approach based on empirical Bayes theory. We adapt these methods to time-to-event data and compare the bias and mean squared error of all methods in an extensive simulation study and apply the proposed methods to reconstructed data from the FOCUS trial. We find that all methods tend to overcorrect the bias, and only the shrinkage methods can reduce the mean squared error. © 2017 The Authors. Statistics in Medicine Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
Related Topics
- Type
- article
- Language
- en
- Landing Page
- https://doi.org/10.1002/sim.7367
- OA Status
- hybrid
- Cited By
- 16
- References
- 31
- Related Works
- 10
- OpenAlex ID
- https://openalex.org/W2626836172
Raw OpenAlex JSON
- OpenAlex ID
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https://openalex.org/W2626836172Canonical identifier for this work in OpenAlex
- DOI
-
https://doi.org/10.1002/sim.7367Digital Object Identifier
- Title
-
Estimation in multi-arm two-stage trials with treatment selection and time-to-event endpointWork title
- Type
-
articleOpenAlex work type
- Language
-
enPrimary language
- Publication year
-
2017Year of publication
- Publication date
-
2017-06-13Full publication date if available
- Authors
-
Matthias Brückner, Andrew Titman, Thomas JakiList of authors in order
- Landing page
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https://doi.org/10.1002/sim.7367Publisher landing page
- Open access
-
YesWhether a free full text is available
- OA status
-
hybridOpen access status per OpenAlex
- OA URL
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https://doi.org/10.1002/sim.7367Direct OA link when available
- Concepts
-
Statistics, Estimator, Bayes' theorem, Event (particle physics), Mean squared error, Computer science, Selection (genetic algorithm), Interim analysis, Mathematics, Econometrics, Bayesian probability, Clinical trial, Artificial intelligence, Medicine, Physics, Quantum mechanics, PathologyTop concepts (fields/topics) attached by OpenAlex
- Cited by
-
16Total citation count in OpenAlex
- Citations by year (recent)
-
2025: 2, 2023: 1, 2022: 4, 2021: 2, 2020: 3Per-year citation counts (last 5 years)
- References (count)
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31Number of works referenced by this work
- Related works (count)
-
10Other works algorithmically related by OpenAlex
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