Forecasting agropastoral water deficits in West Africa to support food insecurity early warning Article Swipe
Shraddhanand Shukla
,
Kathryn Grace
,
Abdou Ali
,
Daniel J. McEvoy
,
William Turnet
,
Alkhalil Adoum
,
Seydou Tinni
,
Issaka Lona
,
I.A. Sanda
,
Emil Cherrington
,
Rebekke Muench
,
G. J. Husak
·
YOU?
·
· 2021
· Open Access
·
· DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu21-3255
YOU?
·
· 2021
· Open Access
·
· DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu21-3255
<p>West Africa (WA) is prone to food insecurity due to climate-, economic-, conflict-related shocks, as well as high population growth and lack of proper adaptation strategies. As per the USAID’s Famine Early Warning Systems Network, which uses Integrated Phase Classification to classify acute food insecurity (AFI), between 2011 and early 2020, several parts of WA reported the “Stressed” phase of AFI >30% of the time. Food security and livelihood in the region relies substantially on rainfed farming and small-scale water holes. Droughts lead to water deficits resulting in adverse impacts on food production, human and livestock health and agricultural labor opportunities, leading to or worsening of food insecurity. Thus far, the focus of climate, drought outlooks and their impacts, to support food insecurity early warning in this region has mainly been on the seasonal scale (i.e., 3-6 months in future) forecasts whereas use of subseasonal scale (2-4 weeks in future) forecasts has been negligible. Recent advances in routine production (i.e. weekly) and open access to subseasonal forecasts provide an unprecedented opportunity to improve the existing climate services in the region by focusing on the impacts of subseasonal climate characteristics on food insecurity in the region. Here we report on an ongoing project with the AGRiculture HYdrology and METeorology Regional Centre (SERVIR’s WA Hub) that aims to develop a subseasonal water deficit forecasting system to support food insecurity early warning in the region. The presentation will describe  (i) the results of an ongoing analysis examining the influence of subseasonal climate characteristics (e.g. monthly climate variability, length of dry or wet spell) on food insecurity, as measures by different food insecurity indicators (such as vegetation index, food insecurity reports and household level health and malnutrition reports) and (ii) the major accomplishments towards implementation of the water deficit forecasting system, including development and evaluation of prototype products, (iii) capacity building and stakeholder engagement activities with National Meteorological and Hydrological Services across the region. </p>
Related Topics
Concepts
Livelihood
Food security
Famine
Warning system
Agriculture
Livestock
Agricultural productivity
Food processing
Early warning system
Geography
Scale (ratio)
Environmental science
Food insecurity
Business
Natural resource economics
Economics
Political science
Engineering
Cartography
Law
Aerospace engineering
Archaeology
Forestry
Metadata
- Type
- article
- Language
- en
- Landing Page
- https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu21-3255
- OA Status
- gold
- Cited By
- 1
- Related Works
- 10
- OpenAlex ID
- https://openalex.org/W3172581575
All OpenAlex metadata
Raw OpenAlex JSON
- OpenAlex ID
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https://openalex.org/W3172581575Canonical identifier for this work in OpenAlex
- DOI
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https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu21-3255Digital Object Identifier
- Title
-
Forecasting agropastoral water deficits in West Africa to support food insecurity early warningWork title
- Type
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articleOpenAlex work type
- Language
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enPrimary language
- Publication year
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2021Year of publication
- Publication date
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2021-03-03Full publication date if available
- Authors
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Shraddhanand Shukla, Kathryn Grace, Abdou Ali, Daniel J. McEvoy, William Turnet, Alkhalil Adoum, Seydou Tinni, Issaka Lona, I.A. Sanda, Emil Cherrington, Rebekke Muench, G. J. HusakList of authors in order
- Landing page
-
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu21-3255Publisher landing page
- Open access
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YesWhether a free full text is available
- OA status
-
goldOpen access status per OpenAlex
- OA URL
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https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu21-3255Direct OA link when available
- Concepts
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Livelihood, Food security, Famine, Warning system, Agriculture, Livestock, Agricultural productivity, Food processing, Early warning system, Geography, Scale (ratio), Environmental science, Food insecurity, Business, Natural resource economics, Economics, Political science, Engineering, Cartography, Law, Aerospace engineering, Archaeology, ForestryTop concepts (fields/topics) attached by OpenAlex
- Cited by
-
1Total citation count in OpenAlex
- Citations by year (recent)
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2023: 1Per-year citation counts (last 5 years)
- Related works (count)
-
10Other works algorithmically related by OpenAlex
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