Forest Transition and Metropolitan Transformations in Developed Countries: Interpreting Apparent and Latent Dynamics with Local Regression Models Article Swipe
Leonardo Bianchini
,
Rosanna Salvia
,
Giovanni Quaranta
,
Gianluca Egidi
,
Luca Salvati
,
Alvaro Marucci
·
YOU?
·
· 2021
· Open Access
·
· DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/land11010012
YOU?
·
· 2021
· Open Access
·
· DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/land11010012
Metropolitan fringes in Southern Europe preserve, under different territorial contexts, natural habitats, relict woodlands, and mixed agro-forest systems acting as a sink of biodiversity and ecosystem services in ecologically vulnerable landscapes. Clarifying territorial and socioeconomic processes that underlie land-use change in metropolitan regions is relevant for forest conservation policies. At the same time, long-term dynamics of fringe forests in the northern Mediterranean basin have been demonstrated to be rather mixed, with deforestation up to the 1950s and a subsequent recovery more evident in recent decades. The present study makes use of Forest Transition Theory (FTT) to examine spatial processes of forest loss and expansion in metropolitan Rome, Central Italy, through local regressions elaborating two diachronic land-use maps that span more than 80 years (1936–2018) representative of different socioeconomic and ecological conditions. Our study evaluates the turnaround from net forest area loss to net forest area gain, considering together the predictions of the FTT and those of the City Life Cycle (CLC) theory that provides a classical description of the functioning of metropolitan cycles. The empirical findings of our study document a moderate increase in forest cover depending on the forestation of previously abandoned cropland as a consequence of tighter levels of land protection. Natural and human-driven expansion of small and isolated forest nuclei along fringe land was demonstrated to fuel a polycentric expansion of woodlands. The results of a Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) reveal the importance of metropolitan growth in long-term forest expansion. Forest–urban dynamics reflect together settlement sprawl and increased forest disturbance. The contemporary expansion of fringe residential settlements and peri-urban forests into relict agricultural landscapes claims for a renewed land management that may reconnect town planning, reducing the intrinsic risks associated with fringe woodlands (e.g., wildfires) with environmental policies preserving the ecological functionality of diversified agro-forest systems.
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Metadata
- Type
- article
- Language
- en
- Landing Page
- https://doi.org/10.3390/land11010012
- https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/11/1/12/pdf?version=1640156169
- OA Status
- gold
- Cited By
- 8
- References
- 57
- Related Works
- 10
- OpenAlex ID
- https://openalex.org/W4200581041
All OpenAlex metadata
Raw OpenAlex JSON
- OpenAlex ID
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https://openalex.org/W4200581041Canonical identifier for this work in OpenAlex
- DOI
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https://doi.org/10.3390/land11010012Digital Object Identifier
- Title
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Forest Transition and Metropolitan Transformations in Developed Countries: Interpreting Apparent and Latent Dynamics with Local Regression ModelsWork title
- Type
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articleOpenAlex work type
- Language
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enPrimary language
- Publication year
-
2021Year of publication
- Publication date
-
2021-12-22Full publication date if available
- Authors
-
Leonardo Bianchini, Rosanna Salvia, Giovanni Quaranta, Gianluca Egidi, Luca Salvati, Alvaro MarucciList of authors in order
- Landing page
-
https://doi.org/10.3390/land11010012Publisher landing page
- PDF URL
-
https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/11/1/12/pdf?version=1640156169Direct link to full text PDF
- Open access
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YesWhether a free full text is available
- OA status
-
goldOpen access status per OpenAlex
- OA URL
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https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/11/1/12/pdf?version=1640156169Direct OA link when available
- Concepts
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Geography, Metropolitan area, Woodland, Land use, Ecosystem services, Deforestation (computer science), Biodiversity, Land use, land-use change and forestry, Ecology, Urban sprawl, Environmental resource management, Ecosystem, Environmental science, Biology, Archaeology, Computer science, Programming languageTop concepts (fields/topics) attached by OpenAlex
- Cited by
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8Total citation count in OpenAlex
- Citations by year (recent)
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2025: 3, 2024: 1, 2023: 2, 2022: 2Per-year citation counts (last 5 years)
- References (count)
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57Number of works referenced by this work
- Related works (count)
-
10Other works algorithmically related by OpenAlex
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