Independent or interdependent? Migration timing dynamics and their association with external stressors Article Swipe
Woi Sok Oh
,
Wolfram Barfuß
,
Jonathan F. Donges
,
Simon A. Levin
,
Daniel I. Rubenstein
·
YOU?
·
· 2024
· Open Access
·
· DOI: https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-4752717/v1
YOU?
·
· 2024
· Open Access
·
· DOI: https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-4752717/v1
Human migration is one of the defining topics of our time, but the dynamics of when and how often migration events occur are poorly understood. Often, a single, context-unaware model is assumed without empirical evidence. Spatiotemporal dependencies and heterogeneities cannot be explained by such a viewpoint. These gaps produce misunderstanding of migration, leading to imprecise predictions and ineffective responses. To address the gaps, we make use of recent advances in data collection and quantitative techniques, investigating Somali internal migration as a case study. We find that whether migration timings are independent (Poisson) or interdependent (bursty) depends on their coincidence with conflicts and extreme weather events. Interdependent migration timings are often observed in peaceful districts, while independent dynamics are found in those with higher coincidence of migration and conflict-involved stressors. These findings help us identify whether migration is self-induced or externally driven, develop more predictive models, and build context-specific migration policies.
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Metadata
- Type
- preprint
- Language
- en
- Landing Page
- https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-4752717/v1
- https://www.researchsquare.com/article/rs-4752717/latest.pdf
- OA Status
- gold
- References
- 51
- Related Works
- 10
- OpenAlex ID
- https://openalex.org/W4401438933
All OpenAlex metadata
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https://openalex.org/W4401438933Canonical identifier for this work in OpenAlex
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https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-4752717/v1Digital Object Identifier
- Title
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Independent or interdependent? Migration timing dynamics and their association with external stressorsWork title
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preprintOpenAlex work type
- Language
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enPrimary language
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2024Year of publication
- Publication date
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2024-08-07Full publication date if available
- Authors
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Woi Sok Oh, Wolfram Barfuß, Jonathan F. Donges, Simon A. Levin, Daniel I. RubensteinList of authors in order
- Landing page
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https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-4752717/v1Publisher landing page
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https://www.researchsquare.com/article/rs-4752717/latest.pdfDirect link to full text PDF
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YesWhether a free full text is available
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goldOpen access status per OpenAlex
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https://www.researchsquare.com/article/rs-4752717/latest.pdfDirect OA link when available
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Interdependence, Context (archaeology), Stressor, Dynamics (music), Computer science, Association (psychology), Human migration, Econometrics, Economic geography, Geography, Psychology, Political science, Economics, Sociology, Population, Demography, Psychotherapist, Pedagogy, Archaeology, Law, Clinical psychologyTop concepts (fields/topics) attached by OpenAlex
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0Total citation count in OpenAlex
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51Number of works referenced by this work
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10Other works algorithmically related by OpenAlex
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