Interactions between the stratospheric polar vortex and Atlantic circulation on seasonal to multi-decadal timescales Article Swipe
Oscar Dimdore‐Miles
,
Lesley J. Gray
,
Scott Osprey
,
Jon Robson
,
Rowan Sutton
,
Bablu Sinha
·
YOU?
·
· 2021
· Open Access
·
· DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-2021-688
YOU?
·
· 2021
· Open Access
·
· DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-2021-688
Variations in the strength of the Northern Hemisphere winter polar stratospheric vortex can influence surface variability in the Atlantic sector. Disruptions of the vortex, known as sudden stratospheric warmings (SSW), are associated with an equatorward shift and deceleration of the North Atlantic jet stream, negative phases of the North Atlantic Oscillation as well as cold snaps over Eurasia and North America. Despite clear influences at the surface on sub-seasonal timescales, how stratospheric vortex variability interacts with ocean circulation on decadal to multi-decadal timescales is less well understood. In this study, we use a 1000-year pre-industrial control simulation of the UK Earth System Model to study such interactions using a wavelet analysis technique to examine non-stationary periodic signals in the vortex and ocean. We find that intervals which exhibit persistent anomalous vortex behaviour lead to oscillatory responses in the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC). The origin of these responses appears to be highly non-stationary with spectral power in vortex variability and the AMOC at periods of 30 and 50 years. In contrast, AMOC variations on longer timescales (near 90-year periods) are found to lead to a vortex response, through a pathway involving the equatorial Pacific and Quasi-biennial Oscillation. Using the relationship between persistent vortex behaviour and the AMOC response established in the model, we use a regression analysis to estimate the potential contribution of the 8 year SSW hiatus interval in the 1990s to the recent negative trend in AMOC observations. The result suggests that approximately 30 % of the trend may have been caused by the SSW hiatus.
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- Type
- article
- Language
- en
- Landing Page
- https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-2021-688
- https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-2021-688
- OA Status
- gold
- References
- 64
- Related Works
- 10
- OpenAlex ID
- https://openalex.org/W3199066485
All OpenAlex metadata
Raw OpenAlex JSON
- OpenAlex ID
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https://openalex.org/W3199066485Canonical identifier for this work in OpenAlex
- DOI
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https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-2021-688Digital Object Identifier
- Title
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Interactions between the stratospheric polar vortex and Atlantic circulation on seasonal to multi-decadal timescalesWork title
- Type
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articleOpenAlex work type
- Language
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enPrimary language
- Publication year
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2021Year of publication
- Publication date
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2021-09-13Full publication date if available
- Authors
-
Oscar Dimdore‐Miles, Lesley J. Gray, Scott Osprey, Jon Robson, Rowan Sutton, Bablu SinhaList of authors in order
- Landing page
-
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-2021-688Publisher landing page
- PDF URL
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https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-2021-688Direct link to full text PDF
- Open access
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YesWhether a free full text is available
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goldOpen access status per OpenAlex
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https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-2021-688Direct OA link when available
- Concepts
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Polar vortex, Climatology, Northern Hemisphere, Vortex, North Atlantic oscillation, Geology, Zonal and meridional, Sea surface temperature, Lead (geology), Polar, Sudden stratospheric warming, Environmental science, Atmospheric sciences, Stratosphere, Physics, Meteorology, Geomorphology, AstronomyTop concepts (fields/topics) attached by OpenAlex
- Cited by
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0Total citation count in OpenAlex
- References (count)
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64Number of works referenced by this work
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10Other works algorithmically related by OpenAlex
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