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Interpretable Net Load Forecasting Using Smooth Multiperiodic Features
January 2024 • Mehmet Öğüt, Bennet Meyers, Stephen Boyd
We consider the problem of forecasting net load over a horizon such as one day,\nusing a trailing window of past net load values as well as date and time. We focus\non three variations on this problem: point forecasts, marginal quantile forecasts,\nand generating conditional samples of the future value. We propose a method\nthat relies on linear regression using some custom engineered time-based features\nto capture multiple periodicities, such as daily, weekly, and seasonal, and their\ninteractions. Our proposed …
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