Next-generation regional ocean projections for living marine resource management in a changing climate Article Swipe
Elizabeth J. Drenkard
,
Charles A. Stock
,
Andrew Ross
,
Keith W. Dixon
,
Alistair Adcroft
,
Michael A. Alexander
,
V. Balaji
,
Steven J. Bograd
,
Momme Butenschön
,
Wei Cheng
,
Enrique Curchitser
,
Emanuele Di Lorenzo
,
Raphaël Dussin
,
Alan C. Haynie
,
Matthew Harrison
,
Albert J. Hermann
,
Anne B. Hollowed
,
Kirstin K. Holsman
,
Jason Holt
,
Michael G. Jacox
,
Chan Joo Jang
,
Kelly Kearney
,
Barbara Muhling
,
Mercedes Pozo Buil
,
Vincent S. Saba
,
Anne Britt Sandø
,
Désirée Tommasi
,
Muyin Wang
·
YOU?
·
· 2021
· Open Access
·
· DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fsab100
YOU?
·
· 2021
· Open Access
·
· DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fsab100
Efforts to manage living marine resources (LMRs) under climate change need projections of future ocean conditions, yet most global climate models (GCMs) poorly represent critical coastal habitats. GCM utility for LMR applications will increase with higher spatial resolution but obstacles including computational and data storage costs, obstinate regional biases, and formulations prioritizing global robustness over regional skill will persist. Downscaling can help address GCM limitations, but significant improvements are needed to robustly support LMR science and management. We synthesize past ocean downscaling efforts to suggest a protocol to achieve this goal. The protocol emphasizes LMR-driven design to ensure delivery of decision-relevant information. It prioritizes ensembles of downscaled projections spanning the range of ocean futures with durations long enough to capture climate change signals. This demands judicious resolution refinement, with pragmatic consideration for LMR-essential ocean features superseding theoretical investigation. Statistical downscaling can complement dynamical approaches in building these ensembles. Inconsistent use of bias correction indicates a need for objective best practices. Application of the suggested protocol should yield regional ocean projections that, with effective dissemination and translation to decision-relevant analytics, can robustly support LMR science and management under climate change.
Related Topics
Concepts
Downscaling
Computer science
Climate change
Environmental resource management
Protocol (science)
Environmental science
Robustness (evolution)
Futures contract
Marine spatial planning
Climatology
Business
Oceanography
Geology
Alternative medicine
Chemistry
Gene
Pathology
Biochemistry
Finance
Medicine
Metadata
- Type
- article
- Language
- en
- Landing Page
- https://doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fsab100
- https://academic.oup.com/icesjms/article-pdf/78/6/1969/40489272/fsab100.pdf
- OA Status
- bronze
- Cited By
- 84
- References
- 166
- Related Works
- 10
- OpenAlex ID
- https://openalex.org/W3173877905
All OpenAlex metadata
Raw OpenAlex JSON
- OpenAlex ID
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https://openalex.org/W3173877905Canonical identifier for this work in OpenAlex
- DOI
-
https://doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fsab100Digital Object Identifier
- Title
-
Next-generation regional ocean projections for living marine resource management in a changing climateWork title
- Type
-
articleOpenAlex work type
- Language
-
enPrimary language
- Publication year
-
2021Year of publication
- Publication date
-
2021-05-04Full publication date if available
- Authors
-
Elizabeth J. Drenkard, Charles A. Stock, Andrew Ross, Keith W. Dixon, Alistair Adcroft, Michael A. Alexander, V. Balaji, Steven J. Bograd, Momme Butenschön, Wei Cheng, Enrique Curchitser, Emanuele Di Lorenzo, Raphaël Dussin, Alan C. Haynie, Matthew Harrison, Albert J. Hermann, Anne B. Hollowed, Kirstin K. Holsman, Jason Holt, Michael G. Jacox, Chan Joo Jang, Kelly Kearney, Barbara Muhling, Mercedes Pozo Buil, Vincent S. Saba, Anne Britt Sandø, Désirée Tommasi, Muyin WangList of authors in order
- Landing page
-
https://doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fsab100Publisher landing page
- PDF URL
-
https://academic.oup.com/icesjms/article-pdf/78/6/1969/40489272/fsab100.pdfDirect link to full text PDF
- Open access
-
YesWhether a free full text is available
- OA status
-
bronzeOpen access status per OpenAlex
- OA URL
-
https://academic.oup.com/icesjms/article-pdf/78/6/1969/40489272/fsab100.pdfDirect OA link when available
- Concepts
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Downscaling, Computer science, Climate change, Environmental resource management, Protocol (science), Environmental science, Robustness (evolution), Futures contract, Marine spatial planning, Climatology, Business, Oceanography, Geology, Alternative medicine, Chemistry, Gene, Pathology, Biochemistry, Finance, MedicineTop concepts (fields/topics) attached by OpenAlex
- Cited by
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84Total citation count in OpenAlex
- Citations by year (recent)
-
2025: 16, 2024: 19, 2023: 31, 2022: 14, 2021: 4Per-year citation counts (last 5 years)
- References (count)
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166Number of works referenced by this work
- Related works (count)
-
10Other works algorithmically related by OpenAlex
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