Nonlinear Radiative Response to Patterned Global Warming due to Convection Aggregation and Nonlinear Tropical Dynamics Article Swipe
Heng Quan
,
Bosong Zhang
,
Chenggong Wang
,
S. Fueglistaler
·
YOU?
·
· 2024
· Open Access
·
· DOI: https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-23-0539.1
YOU?
·
· 2024
· Open Access
·
· DOI: https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-23-0539.1
Climate responses to global warming exhibit large dependence on the spatial pattern of sea surface temperature (SST) changes. A Green’s function (GF) approach—predicting the global climate response to a complex SST pattern change as the linear superposition of the response to finite-area SST perturbations evaluated in isolation—has been used to systematically evaluate and understand the top of atmosphere (TOA) radiation response to patterned warming. However, in general, the linear GF approach fails for TOA radiation reconstruction under future global warming scenarios in coupled models. Here, we show that the linear superposition of global mean TOA radiation responses to large SST warming perturbations at multiple patches (the GF approach prediction) overestimates the actual response to simultaneous multipatch perturbation. This is because the linear superposition overestimates tropical large-scale convection aggregation strengthening upon localized heating that enhances longwave radiative cooling, which is further explained by the overestimation of circulation response and associated horizontal water vapor transport. The nonadditivity of TOA radiation response is caused by the nonadditivity of convection aggregation, ultimately rooted in nonlinear tropical dynamics. We also demonstrate that the prediction error of the GF approach grows with decreasing patch size (equivalently, increasing patch number). We conclude that using the GF approach to predict future climate change could overestimate longwave radiative cooling and underestimate (effective) climate sensitivity. Numerical experiments may be used to identify specific perturbation patterns where the errors are smaller than the signal. Our research also highlights that an increase in the degree of large-scale convection aggregation has a nonlinear and negative feedback for mean warming.
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Metadata
- Type
- article
- Language
- en
- Landing Page
- https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-23-0539.1
- https://journals.ametsoc.org/downloadpdf/view/journals/clim/aop/JCLI-D-23-0539.1/JCLI-D-23-0539.1.pdf
- OA Status
- bronze
- Cited By
- 3
- References
- 51
- Related Works
- 10
- OpenAlex ID
- https://openalex.org/W4401547113
All OpenAlex metadata
Raw OpenAlex JSON
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https://openalex.org/W4401547113Canonical identifier for this work in OpenAlex
- DOI
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https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-23-0539.1Digital Object Identifier
- Title
-
Nonlinear Radiative Response to Patterned Global Warming due to Convection Aggregation and Nonlinear Tropical DynamicsWork title
- Type
-
articleOpenAlex work type
- Language
-
enPrimary language
- Publication year
-
2024Year of publication
- Publication date
-
2024-08-13Full publication date if available
- Authors
-
Heng Quan, Bosong Zhang, Chenggong Wang, S. FueglistalerList of authors in order
- Landing page
-
https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-23-0539.1Publisher landing page
- PDF URL
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https://journals.ametsoc.org/downloadpdf/view/journals/clim/aop/JCLI-D-23-0539.1/JCLI-D-23-0539.1.pdfDirect link to full text PDF
- Open access
-
YesWhether a free full text is available
- OA status
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bronzeOpen access status per OpenAlex
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https://journals.ametsoc.org/downloadpdf/view/journals/clim/aop/JCLI-D-23-0539.1/JCLI-D-23-0539.1.pdfDirect OA link when available
- Concepts
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Outgoing longwave radiation, Longwave, Environmental science, Radiative transfer, Climatology, Superposition principle, Perturbation (astronomy), Atmospheric sciences, Convection, Global warming, Climate change, Climate model, Shortwave, Meteorology, Physics, Geology, Quantum mechanics, OceanographyTop concepts (fields/topics) attached by OpenAlex
- Cited by
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3Total citation count in OpenAlex
- Citations by year (recent)
-
2025: 2, 2024: 1Per-year citation counts (last 5 years)
- References (count)
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51Number of works referenced by this work
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10Other works algorithmically related by OpenAlex
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| publication_date | 2024-08-13 |
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