Prediction of Cancer Incidence and Mortality in Korea, 2025 Article Swipe
Kyu‐Won Jung
,
Mee Joo Kang
,
Eun Hye Park
,
E Hwa Yun
,
Hye-Jin Kim
,
Jeong‐Eun Kim
,
Hyun‐Joo Kong
,
Kui-Son Choi
,
Han-Kwang Yang
·
YOU?
·
· 2025
· Open Access
·
· DOI: https://doi.org/10.4143/crt.2025.263
YOU?
·
· 2025
· Open Access
·
· DOI: https://doi.org/10.4143/crt.2025.263
Purpose This study aimed to project cancer incidence and mortality for 2025 to estimate Korea’s current cancer burden.Materials and Methods Cancer incidence data from 1999 to 2022 were obtained from the Korea National Cancer Incidence Database, while cancer mortality data from 1993 to 2023 were acquired from Statistics Korea. Cancer incidence and mortality were projected by fitting a linear regression model to observed age-specific cancer rates against their respective years and then by multiplying the projected age-specific rates by the anticipated age-specific population for 2025. A joinpoint regression model was applied to identify significant changes in trends, using only the most recent trend data for predictions.Results A total of 304,754 new cancer cases and 84,019 cancer deaths are expected in Korea in 2025. The most commonly diagnosed cancer is projected to be thyroid cancer, followed by the colorectal, lung, breast, prostate and stomach cancers. These six cancers are expected to account for 63.8% of the total cancer burden. Lung cancer is expected to be the leading cause of cancer-related deaths, followed by liver, colorectal, pancreatic, stomach, and gallbladder cancers, together comprising 66.6% of total cancer deaths.Conclusion The increasing incidence of female breast cancer and the rise in prostate and pancreatic cancers are expected to continue. As aging accelerates, cancer commonly found in older adults are projected to rise significantly.
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Metadata
- Type
- article
- Language
- en
- Landing Page
- https://doi.org/10.4143/crt.2025.263
- https://www.e-crt.org/upload/pdf/crt-2025-263.pdf
- OA Status
- diamond
- Cited By
- 3
- References
- 3
- Related Works
- 10
- OpenAlex ID
- https://openalex.org/W4408283871
All OpenAlex metadata
Raw OpenAlex JSON
- OpenAlex ID
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https://openalex.org/W4408283871Canonical identifier for this work in OpenAlex
- DOI
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https://doi.org/10.4143/crt.2025.263Digital Object Identifier
- Title
-
Prediction of Cancer Incidence and Mortality in Korea, 2025Work title
- Type
-
articleOpenAlex work type
- Language
-
enPrimary language
- Publication year
-
2025Year of publication
- Publication date
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2025-03-11Full publication date if available
- Authors
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Kyu‐Won Jung, Mee Joo Kang, Eun Hye Park, E Hwa Yun, Hye-Jin Kim, Jeong‐Eun Kim, Hyun‐Joo Kong, Kui-Son Choi, Han-Kwang YangList of authors in order
- Landing page
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https://doi.org/10.4143/crt.2025.263Publisher landing page
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https://www.e-crt.org/upload/pdf/crt-2025-263.pdfDirect link to full text PDF
- Open access
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YesWhether a free full text is available
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diamondOpen access status per OpenAlex
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https://www.e-crt.org/upload/pdf/crt-2025-263.pdfDirect OA link when available
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Medicine, Incidence (geometry), Cancer, Cancer incidence, Demography, Internal medicine, Optics, Sociology, PhysicsTop concepts (fields/topics) attached by OpenAlex
- Cited by
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3Total citation count in OpenAlex
- Citations by year (recent)
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2025: 3Per-year citation counts (last 5 years)
- References (count)
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3Number of works referenced by this work
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10Other works algorithmically related by OpenAlex
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