PROBABILIDADE DE EXCEDÊNCIA NA PREVISÃO DE SAFRA AGRÍCOLA DE SEQUEIRO NO ESTADO DO CEARÁ Article Swipe

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Marco Antônio Rosa de Carvalho , Lílian Cristina Castro de Carvalho ·

YOU? · · 2025 · Open Access · · DOI: https://doi.org/10.56346/ijsa.v8i3.544

A dependência exclusiva da chuva para suprir as necessidades hídricas das culturas é um risco permanente no Estado do Ceará, perdas de safra causadas pela “seca” na estação chuvosa são constantes e em anos atípicos as perdas são ocasionadas por “enchentes”. A presente pesquisa foi conduzida via internet onde foram digitados os registros mensais de precipitação pluviométrica do Estado do Ceará no período de 1974 a 2024, em planilhas do Excel, sendo estes dados fornecidos pelos Postos Pluviométricos da Fundação Cearense de Meteorologia – FUNCEME. A seguir foi calculado a Média Aritmética Simples, para cada ano observado, o histórico anual de precipitações, as probabilidades de safra na agricultura de sequeiro para as culturas de feijão e milho e as probabilidades de perda de safra por falta ou excesso de chuva.

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Title: PROBABILIDADE DE EXCEDÊNCIA NA PREVISÃO DE SAFRA AGRÍCOLA DE SEQUEIRO NO ESTADO DO CEARÁ

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Publication year: 2025

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Authors: Marco Antônio Rosa de Carvalho, Lílian Cristina Castro de Carvalho

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Landing page: https://doi.org/10.56346/ijsa.v8i3.544

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