Quantifying global water cycle—CO2 feedbacks from Earth system models Article Swipe
Xuanze Zhang
,
Yongqiang Zhang
·
YOU?
·
· 2024
· Open Access
·
· DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-5358
YOU?
·
· 2024
· Open Access
·
· DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-5358
Large uncertainty in predicting surface water availability (precipitation minus evaporation) in a CO2-enriched climate is associated to rising CO2-related hydrological feedbacks to the global water cycle, primarily including hydrological sensitivity to CO2-physiological and -radiative effects. Using the 1pctCO2 experiments of twelve CMIP6 models, we first decoupled and quantified the magnitudes of these sensitivities at global and regional scales. Results show that under a 140-year transient 4×CO2 scenario, the global hydrological sensitivity (precipitation or evaporation) for CO2-physiological effect feedback is -0.09 ±0.07 % (100 ppm) ‒1 and for CO2 radiative effect feedback is 1.54 ±0.24 % K‒1. The latter is about 10% larger than the global apparent hydrological sensitivity ( = 1.39 ±0.22 % K‒1), as estimated from the fully coupled simulations. These hydrological sensitivities are relatively stable over transient 2× to 4×CO2 scenarios. The CMIP6 models project that global precipitation or evaporation increases at 4×CO2 are dominated by the CO2 radiative effect feedback (79 ±12%) and positively contributed by the interaction between the two feedbacks (6 ±12%) but are reduced by the CO2 physiological effect feedback (-10 ±8%). This underlines the importance of CO2 vegetation physiology in global water cycle projections under a CO2-enriched and warming climate.
Related Topics
Concepts
Metadata
- Type
- preprint
- Language
- en
- Landing Page
- https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-5358
- OA Status
- gold
- Related Works
- 10
- OpenAlex ID
- https://openalex.org/W4392599499
All OpenAlex metadata
Raw OpenAlex JSON
- OpenAlex ID
-
https://openalex.org/W4392599499Canonical identifier for this work in OpenAlex
- DOI
-
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-5358Digital Object Identifier
- Title
-
Quantifying global water cycle—CO2 feedbacks from Earth system modelsWork title
- Type
-
preprintOpenAlex work type
- Language
-
enPrimary language
- Publication year
-
2024Year of publication
- Publication date
-
2024-03-08Full publication date if available
- Authors
-
Xuanze Zhang, Yongqiang ZhangList of authors in order
- Landing page
-
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-5358Publisher landing page
- Open access
-
YesWhether a free full text is available
- OA status
-
goldOpen access status per OpenAlex
- OA URL
-
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-5358Direct OA link when available
- Concepts
-
Earth (classical element), Environmental science, Water cycle, Earth system science, Climatology, Oceanography, Geology, Ecology, Biology, Mathematics, Mathematical physicsTop concepts (fields/topics) attached by OpenAlex
- Cited by
-
0Total citation count in OpenAlex
- Related works (count)
-
10Other works algorithmically related by OpenAlex
Full payload
| id | https://openalex.org/W4392599499 |
|---|---|
| doi | https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-5358 |
| ids.doi | https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-5358 |
| ids.openalex | https://openalex.org/W4392599499 |
| fwci | 0.0 |
| type | preprint |
| title | Quantifying global water cycle—CO2 feedbacks from Earth system models |
| biblio.issue | |
| biblio.volume | |
| biblio.last_page | |
| biblio.first_page | |
| topics[0].id | https://openalex.org/T11588 |
| topics[0].field.id | https://openalex.org/fields/23 |
| topics[0].field.display_name | Environmental Science |
| topics[0].score | 0.9869999885559082 |
| topics[0].domain.id | https://openalex.org/domains/3 |
| topics[0].domain.display_name | Physical Sciences |
| topics[0].subfield.id | https://openalex.org/subfields/2306 |
| topics[0].subfield.display_name | Global and Planetary Change |
| topics[0].display_name | Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics |
| topics[1].id | https://openalex.org/T11302 |
| topics[1].field.id | https://openalex.org/fields/23 |
| topics[1].field.display_name | Environmental Science |
| topics[1].score | 0.954200029373169 |
| topics[1].domain.id | https://openalex.org/domains/3 |
| topics[1].domain.display_name | Physical Sciences |
| topics[1].subfield.id | https://openalex.org/subfields/2305 |
| topics[1].subfield.display_name | Environmental Engineering |
| topics[1].display_name | CO2 Sequestration and Geologic Interactions |
| topics[2].id | https://openalex.org/T10995 |
| topics[2].field.id | https://openalex.org/fields/23 |
| topics[2].field.display_name | Environmental Science |
| topics[2].score | 0.9205999970436096 |
| topics[2].domain.id | https://openalex.org/domains/3 |
| topics[2].domain.display_name | Physical Sciences |
| topics[2].subfield.id | https://openalex.org/subfields/2304 |
| topics[2].subfield.display_name | Environmental Chemistry |
| topics[2].display_name | Methane Hydrates and Related Phenomena |
| is_xpac | False |
| apc_list | |
| apc_paid | |
| concepts[0].id | https://openalex.org/C26148502 |
| concepts[0].level | 2 |
| concepts[0].score | 0.6476922035217285 |
| concepts[0].wikidata | https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2488752 |
| concepts[0].display_name | Earth (classical element) |
| concepts[1].id | https://openalex.org/C39432304 |
| concepts[1].level | 0 |
| concepts[1].score | 0.5835366249084473 |
| concepts[1].wikidata | https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q188847 |
| concepts[1].display_name | Environmental science |
| concepts[2].id | https://openalex.org/C133830359 |
| concepts[2].level | 2 |
| concepts[2].score | 0.5646501779556274 |
| concepts[2].wikidata | https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q81041 |
| concepts[2].display_name | Water cycle |
| concepts[3].id | https://openalex.org/C80368990 |
| concepts[3].level | 2 |
| concepts[3].score | 0.5362538695335388 |
| concepts[3].wikidata | https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3046459 |
| concepts[3].display_name | Earth system science |
| concepts[4].id | https://openalex.org/C49204034 |
| concepts[4].level | 1 |
| concepts[4].score | 0.35147908329963684 |
| concepts[4].wikidata | https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q52139 |
| concepts[4].display_name | Climatology |
| concepts[5].id | https://openalex.org/C111368507 |
| concepts[5].level | 1 |
| concepts[5].score | 0.32674896717071533 |
| concepts[5].wikidata | https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q43518 |
| concepts[5].display_name | Oceanography |
| concepts[6].id | https://openalex.org/C127313418 |
| concepts[6].level | 0 |
| concepts[6].score | 0.23885172605514526 |
| concepts[6].wikidata | https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1069 |
| concepts[6].display_name | Geology |
| concepts[7].id | https://openalex.org/C18903297 |
| concepts[7].level | 1 |
| concepts[7].score | 0.08778759837150574 |
| concepts[7].wikidata | https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7150 |
| concepts[7].display_name | Ecology |
| concepts[8].id | https://openalex.org/C86803240 |
| concepts[8].level | 0 |
| concepts[8].score | 0.08251670002937317 |
| concepts[8].wikidata | https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q420 |
| concepts[8].display_name | Biology |
| concepts[9].id | https://openalex.org/C33923547 |
| concepts[9].level | 0 |
| concepts[9].score | 0.07541459798812866 |
| concepts[9].wikidata | https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395 |
| concepts[9].display_name | Mathematics |
| concepts[10].id | https://openalex.org/C37914503 |
| concepts[10].level | 1 |
| concepts[10].score | 0.0 |
| concepts[10].wikidata | https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q156495 |
| concepts[10].display_name | Mathematical physics |
| keywords[0].id | https://openalex.org/keywords/earth |
| keywords[0].score | 0.6476922035217285 |
| keywords[0].display_name | Earth (classical element) |
| keywords[1].id | https://openalex.org/keywords/environmental-science |
| keywords[1].score | 0.5835366249084473 |
| keywords[1].display_name | Environmental science |
| keywords[2].id | https://openalex.org/keywords/water-cycle |
| keywords[2].score | 0.5646501779556274 |
| keywords[2].display_name | Water cycle |
| keywords[3].id | https://openalex.org/keywords/earth-system-science |
| keywords[3].score | 0.5362538695335388 |
| keywords[3].display_name | Earth system science |
| keywords[4].id | https://openalex.org/keywords/climatology |
| keywords[4].score | 0.35147908329963684 |
| keywords[4].display_name | Climatology |
| keywords[5].id | https://openalex.org/keywords/oceanography |
| keywords[5].score | 0.32674896717071533 |
| keywords[5].display_name | Oceanography |
| keywords[6].id | https://openalex.org/keywords/geology |
| keywords[6].score | 0.23885172605514526 |
| keywords[6].display_name | Geology |
| keywords[7].id | https://openalex.org/keywords/ecology |
| keywords[7].score | 0.08778759837150574 |
| keywords[7].display_name | Ecology |
| keywords[8].id | https://openalex.org/keywords/biology |
| keywords[8].score | 0.08251670002937317 |
| keywords[8].display_name | Biology |
| keywords[9].id | https://openalex.org/keywords/mathematics |
| keywords[9].score | 0.07541459798812866 |
| keywords[9].display_name | Mathematics |
| language | en |
| locations[0].id | doi:10.5194/egusphere-egu24-5358 |
| locations[0].is_oa | True |
| locations[0].source | |
| locations[0].license | cc-by |
| locations[0].pdf_url | |
| locations[0].version | acceptedVersion |
| locations[0].raw_type | posted-content |
| locations[0].license_id | https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by |
| locations[0].is_accepted | True |
| locations[0].is_published | False |
| locations[0].raw_source_name | |
| locations[0].landing_page_url | https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-5358 |
| indexed_in | crossref |
| authorships[0].author.id | https://openalex.org/A5012137140 |
| authorships[0].author.orcid | https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8515-5084 |
| authorships[0].author.display_name | Xuanze Zhang |
| authorships[0].author_position | first |
| authorships[0].raw_author_name | Xuanze Zhang |
| authorships[0].is_corresponding | False |
| authorships[1].author.id | https://openalex.org/A5023977235 |
| authorships[1].author.orcid | https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3562-2323 |
| authorships[1].author.display_name | Yongqiang Zhang |
| authorships[1].author_position | last |
| authorships[1].raw_author_name | Yongqiang Zhang |
| authorships[1].is_corresponding | False |
| has_content.pdf | False |
| has_content.grobid_xml | False |
| is_paratext | False |
| open_access.is_oa | True |
| open_access.oa_url | https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-5358 |
| open_access.oa_status | gold |
| open_access.any_repository_has_fulltext | False |
| created_date | 2025-10-10T00:00:00 |
| display_name | Quantifying global water cycle—CO2 feedbacks from Earth system models |
| has_fulltext | False |
| is_retracted | False |
| updated_date | 2025-11-06T03:46:38.306776 |
| primary_topic.id | https://openalex.org/T11588 |
| primary_topic.field.id | https://openalex.org/fields/23 |
| primary_topic.field.display_name | Environmental Science |
| primary_topic.score | 0.9869999885559082 |
| primary_topic.domain.id | https://openalex.org/domains/3 |
| primary_topic.domain.display_name | Physical Sciences |
| primary_topic.subfield.id | https://openalex.org/subfields/2306 |
| primary_topic.subfield.display_name | Global and Planetary Change |
| primary_topic.display_name | Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics |
| related_works | https://openalex.org/W2478024444, https://openalex.org/W3142799791, https://openalex.org/W3215469696, https://openalex.org/W2997680695, https://openalex.org/W4254302632, https://openalex.org/W2343061063, https://openalex.org/W1588148537, https://openalex.org/W2045944858, https://openalex.org/W2606085117, https://openalex.org/W3205061268 |
| cited_by_count | 0 |
| locations_count | 1 |
| best_oa_location.id | doi:10.5194/egusphere-egu24-5358 |
| best_oa_location.is_oa | True |
| best_oa_location.source | |
| best_oa_location.license | cc-by |
| best_oa_location.pdf_url | |
| best_oa_location.version | acceptedVersion |
| best_oa_location.raw_type | posted-content |
| best_oa_location.license_id | https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by |
| best_oa_location.is_accepted | True |
| best_oa_location.is_published | False |
| best_oa_location.raw_source_name | |
| best_oa_location.landing_page_url | https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-5358 |
| primary_location.id | doi:10.5194/egusphere-egu24-5358 |
| primary_location.is_oa | True |
| primary_location.source | |
| primary_location.license | cc-by |
| primary_location.pdf_url | |
| primary_location.version | acceptedVersion |
| primary_location.raw_type | posted-content |
| primary_location.license_id | https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by |
| primary_location.is_accepted | True |
| primary_location.is_published | False |
| primary_location.raw_source_name | |
| primary_location.landing_page_url | https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu24-5358 |
| publication_date | 2024-03-08 |
| publication_year | 2024 |
| referenced_works_count | 0 |
| abstract_inverted_index.% | 81, 94, 112 |
| abstract_inverted_index.( | 108 |
| abstract_inverted_index.= | 109 |
| abstract_inverted_index.a | 11, 62, 192 |
| abstract_inverted_index.(6 | 165 |
| abstract_inverted_index.as | 114 |
| abstract_inverted_index.at | 53, 143 |
| abstract_inverted_index.by | 147, 158, 170 |
| abstract_inverted_index.in | 2, 10, 186 |
| abstract_inverted_index.is | 14, 78, 91, 98 |
| abstract_inverted_index.of | 39, 50, 182 |
| abstract_inverted_index.or | 72, 140 |
| abstract_inverted_index.to | 16, 21, 30, 130 |
| abstract_inverted_index.we | 43 |
| abstract_inverted_index.(79 | 153 |
| abstract_inverted_index.10% | 100 |
| abstract_inverted_index.CO2 | 87, 149, 172, 183 |
| abstract_inverted_index.The | 96, 133 |
| abstract_inverted_index.and | 32, 46, 55, 85, 155, 194 |
| abstract_inverted_index.are | 124, 145, 168 |
| abstract_inverted_index.but | 167 |
| abstract_inverted_index.for | 74, 86 |
| abstract_inverted_index.the | 22, 36, 48, 67, 103, 117, 148, 159, 162, 171, 180 |
| abstract_inverted_index.two | 163 |
| abstract_inverted_index.(-10 | 176 |
| abstract_inverted_index.(100 | 82 |
| abstract_inverted_index.1.39 | 110 |
| abstract_inverted_index.1.54 | 92 |
| abstract_inverted_index.This | 178 |
| abstract_inverted_index.from | 116 |
| abstract_inverted_index.over | 127 |
| abstract_inverted_index.ppm) | 83 |
| abstract_inverted_index.show | 59 |
| abstract_inverted_index.than | 102 |
| abstract_inverted_index.that | 60, 137 |
| abstract_inverted_index.-0.09 | 79 |
| abstract_inverted_index.CMIP6 | 41, 134 |
| abstract_inverted_index.Large | 0 |
| abstract_inverted_index.These | 121 |
| abstract_inverted_index.Using | 35 |
| abstract_inverted_index.about | 99 |
| abstract_inverted_index.cycle | 189 |
| abstract_inverted_index.first | 44 |
| abstract_inverted_index.fully | 118 |
| abstract_inverted_index.minus | 8 |
| abstract_inverted_index.these | 51 |
| abstract_inverted_index.under | 61, 191 |
| abstract_inverted_index.water | 5, 24, 188 |
| abstract_inverted_index.cycle, | 25 |
| abstract_inverted_index.effect | 76, 89, 151, 174 |
| abstract_inverted_index.global | 23, 54, 68, 104, 138, 187 |
| abstract_inverted_index.larger | 101 |
| abstract_inverted_index.latter | 97 |
| abstract_inverted_index.models | 135 |
| abstract_inverted_index.rising | 17 |
| abstract_inverted_index.stable | 126 |
| abstract_inverted_index.twelve | 40 |
| abstract_inverted_index.1pctCO2 | 37 |
| abstract_inverted_index.Results | 58 |
| abstract_inverted_index.between | 161 |
| abstract_inverted_index.climate | 13 |
| abstract_inverted_index.coupled | 119 |
| abstract_inverted_index.models, | 42 |
| abstract_inverted_index.project | 136 |
| abstract_inverted_index.reduced | 169 |
| abstract_inverted_index.scales. | 57 |
| abstract_inverted_index.surface | 4 |
| abstract_inverted_index.warming | 195 |
| abstract_inverted_index.140-year | 63 |
| abstract_inverted_index.apparent | 105 |
| abstract_inverted_index.climate. | 196 |
| abstract_inverted_index.effects. | 34 |
| abstract_inverted_index.feedback | 77, 90, 152, 175 |
| abstract_inverted_index.regional | 56 |
| abstract_inverted_index.decoupled | 45 |
| abstract_inverted_index.dominated | 146 |
| abstract_inverted_index.estimated | 115 |
| abstract_inverted_index.feedbacks | 20, 164 |
| abstract_inverted_index.including | 27 |
| abstract_inverted_index.increases | 142 |
| abstract_inverted_index.primarily | 26 |
| abstract_inverted_index.radiative | 88, 150 |
| abstract_inverted_index.scenario, | 66 |
| abstract_inverted_index.transient | 64, 128 |
| abstract_inverted_index.-radiative | 33 |
| abstract_inverted_index.associated | 15 |
| abstract_inverted_index.importance | 181 |
| abstract_inverted_index.magnitudes | 49 |
| abstract_inverted_index.physiology | 185 |
| abstract_inverted_index.positively | 156 |
| abstract_inverted_index.predicting | 3 |
| abstract_inverted_index.quantified | 47 |
| abstract_inverted_index.relatively | 125 |
| abstract_inverted_index.scenarios. | 132 |
| abstract_inverted_index.underlines | 179 |
| abstract_inverted_index.vegetation | 184 |
| abstract_inverted_index.2× | 129 |
| abstract_inverted_index.CO2-related | 18 |
| abstract_inverted_index.contributed | 157 |
| abstract_inverted_index.evaporation | 141 |
| abstract_inverted_index.experiments | 38 |
| abstract_inverted_index.interaction | 160 |
| abstract_inverted_index.projections | 190 |
| abstract_inverted_index.sensitivity | 29, 70, 107 |
| abstract_inverted_index.uncertainty | 1 |
| abstract_inverted_index.‒1 | 84 |
| abstract_inverted_index.CO2-enriched | 12, 193 |
| abstract_inverted_index.availability | 6 |
| abstract_inverted_index.evaporation) | 9, 73 |
| abstract_inverted_index.hydrological | 19, 28, 69, 106, 122 |
| abstract_inverted_index.simulations. | 120 |
| abstract_inverted_index.physiological | 173 |
| abstract_inverted_index.precipitation | 139 |
| abstract_inverted_index.sensitivities | 52, 123 |
| abstract_inverted_index.±0.07 | 80 |
| abstract_inverted_index.±0.22 | 111 |
| abstract_inverted_index.±0.24 | 93 |
| abstract_inverted_index.±12%) | 154, 166 |
| abstract_inverted_index.±8%). | 177 |
| abstract_inverted_index.(precipitation | 7, 71 |
| abstract_inverted_index.4×CO2 | 65, 131, 144 |
| abstract_inverted_index.K‒1. | 95 |
| abstract_inverted_index.K‒1), | 113 |
| abstract_inverted_index.CO2-physiological | 31, 75 |
| cited_by_percentile_year | |
| countries_distinct_count | 0 |
| institutions_distinct_count | 2 |
| sustainable_development_goals[0].id | https://metadata.un.org/sdg/6 |
| sustainable_development_goals[0].score | 0.5299999713897705 |
| sustainable_development_goals[0].display_name | Clean water and sanitation |
| citation_normalized_percentile.value | 0.03923936 |
| citation_normalized_percentile.is_in_top_1_percent | False |
| citation_normalized_percentile.is_in_top_10_percent | False |