Rethinking intelligent behaviour through the lens of accurate prediction: Adaptive control in uncertain environments Article Swipe
YOU?
·
· 2025
· Open Access
·
· DOI: https://doi.org/10.33735/phimisci.2025.11780
While recent cognitive science research shows a renewed interest in understanding intelligence, there is still little consensus on what constitutes intelligent behaviour and how it should be assessed. Here we propose a refined approach to biological intelligence as accurate prediction, according to which intelligent behaviour should be understood as adaptive control driven by the minimisation of uncertainty in dynamic environments with limited information. Central to this view is the concept of accuracy, which we argue is key to determining the success of predictions. We identify tensions in applying this framework to contemporary artificial systems such as large-language models, which, despite their impressive capacities for abstract prediction, show deficits in terms of context-sensitive knowledge transfer.
Related Topics
- Type
- article
- Language
- en
- Landing Page
- https://doi.org/10.33735/phimisci.2025.11780
- https://philosophymindscience.org/index.php/phimisci/article/download/11780/11982
- OA Status
- diamond
- Related Works
- 10
- OpenAlex ID
- https://openalex.org/W4410125859
Raw OpenAlex JSON
- OpenAlex ID
-
https://openalex.org/W4410125859Canonical identifier for this work in OpenAlex
- DOI
-
https://doi.org/10.33735/phimisci.2025.11780Digital Object Identifier
- Title
-
Rethinking intelligent behaviour through the lens of accurate prediction: Adaptive control in uncertain environmentsWork title
- Type
-
articleOpenAlex work type
- Language
-
enPrimary language
- Publication year
-
2025Year of publication
- Publication date
-
2025-05-06Full publication date if available
- Authors
-
Nina Poth, Trond A. Tjøstheim, Andreas StephensList of authors in order
- Landing page
-
https://doi.org/10.33735/phimisci.2025.11780Publisher landing page
- PDF URL
-
https://philosophymindscience.org/index.php/phimisci/article/download/11780/11982Direct link to full text PDF
- Open access
-
YesWhether a free full text is available
- OA status
-
diamondOpen access status per OpenAlex
- OA URL
-
https://philosophymindscience.org/index.php/phimisci/article/download/11780/11982Direct OA link when available
- Concepts
-
Lens (geology), Computer science, Control (management), Through-the-lens metering, Adaptive control, Artificial intelligence, Control engineering, Engineering, Petroleum engineeringTop concepts (fields/topics) attached by OpenAlex
- Cited by
-
0Total citation count in OpenAlex
- Related works (count)
-
10Other works algorithmically related by OpenAlex
Full payload
| id | https://openalex.org/W4410125859 |
|---|---|
| doi | https://doi.org/10.33735/phimisci.2025.11780 |
| ids.doi | https://doi.org/10.33735/phimisci.2025.11780 |
| ids.openalex | https://openalex.org/W4410125859 |
| fwci | 0.0 |
| type | article |
| title | Rethinking intelligent behaviour through the lens of accurate prediction: Adaptive control in uncertain environments |
| biblio.issue | |
| biblio.volume | 6 |
| biblio.last_page | |
| biblio.first_page | |
| topics[0].id | https://openalex.org/T10820 |
| topics[0].field.id | https://openalex.org/fields/17 |
| topics[0].field.display_name | Computer Science |
| topics[0].score | 0.4722999930381775 |
| topics[0].domain.id | https://openalex.org/domains/3 |
| topics[0].domain.display_name | Physical Sciences |
| topics[0].subfield.id | https://openalex.org/subfields/1702 |
| topics[0].subfield.display_name | Artificial Intelligence |
| topics[0].display_name | Fuzzy Logic and Control Systems |
| topics[1].id | https://openalex.org/T10320 |
| topics[1].field.id | https://openalex.org/fields/17 |
| topics[1].field.display_name | Computer Science |
| topics[1].score | 0.4528999924659729 |
| topics[1].domain.id | https://openalex.org/domains/3 |
| topics[1].domain.display_name | Physical Sciences |
| topics[1].subfield.id | https://openalex.org/subfields/1702 |
| topics[1].subfield.display_name | Artificial Intelligence |
| topics[1].display_name | Neural Networks and Applications |
| is_xpac | False |
| apc_list | |
| apc_paid | |
| concepts[0].id | https://openalex.org/C15336307 |
| concepts[0].level | 2 |
| concepts[0].score | 0.6406365036964417 |
| concepts[0].wikidata | https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1766051 |
| concepts[0].display_name | Lens (geology) |
| concepts[1].id | https://openalex.org/C41008148 |
| concepts[1].level | 0 |
| concepts[1].score | 0.5308312773704529 |
| concepts[1].wikidata | https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198 |
| concepts[1].display_name | Computer science |
| concepts[2].id | https://openalex.org/C2775924081 |
| concepts[2].level | 2 |
| concepts[2].score | 0.5305148959159851 |
| concepts[2].wikidata | https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q55608371 |
| concepts[2].display_name | Control (management) |
| concepts[3].id | https://openalex.org/C43091099 |
| concepts[3].level | 3 |
| concepts[3].score | 0.43942737579345703 |
| concepts[3].wikidata | https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1067788 |
| concepts[3].display_name | Through-the-lens metering |
| concepts[4].id | https://openalex.org/C107464732 |
| concepts[4].level | 3 |
| concepts[4].score | 0.43196043372154236 |
| concepts[4].wikidata | https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q235781 |
| concepts[4].display_name | Adaptive control |
| concepts[5].id | https://openalex.org/C154945302 |
| concepts[5].level | 1 |
| concepts[5].score | 0.38225609064102173 |
| concepts[5].wikidata | https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660 |
| concepts[5].display_name | Artificial intelligence |
| concepts[6].id | https://openalex.org/C133731056 |
| concepts[6].level | 1 |
| concepts[6].score | 0.32761073112487793 |
| concepts[6].wikidata | https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4917288 |
| concepts[6].display_name | Control engineering |
| concepts[7].id | https://openalex.org/C127413603 |
| concepts[7].level | 0 |
| concepts[7].score | 0.2092687487602234 |
| concepts[7].wikidata | https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023 |
| concepts[7].display_name | Engineering |
| concepts[8].id | https://openalex.org/C78762247 |
| concepts[8].level | 1 |
| concepts[8].score | 0.0 |
| concepts[8].wikidata | https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1273174 |
| concepts[8].display_name | Petroleum engineering |
| keywords[0].id | https://openalex.org/keywords/lens |
| keywords[0].score | 0.6406365036964417 |
| keywords[0].display_name | Lens (geology) |
| keywords[1].id | https://openalex.org/keywords/computer-science |
| keywords[1].score | 0.5308312773704529 |
| keywords[1].display_name | Computer science |
| keywords[2].id | https://openalex.org/keywords/control |
| keywords[2].score | 0.5305148959159851 |
| keywords[2].display_name | Control (management) |
| keywords[3].id | https://openalex.org/keywords/through-the-lens-metering |
| keywords[3].score | 0.43942737579345703 |
| keywords[3].display_name | Through-the-lens metering |
| keywords[4].id | https://openalex.org/keywords/adaptive-control |
| keywords[4].score | 0.43196043372154236 |
| keywords[4].display_name | Adaptive control |
| keywords[5].id | https://openalex.org/keywords/artificial-intelligence |
| keywords[5].score | 0.38225609064102173 |
| keywords[5].display_name | Artificial intelligence |
| keywords[6].id | https://openalex.org/keywords/control-engineering |
| keywords[6].score | 0.32761073112487793 |
| keywords[6].display_name | Control engineering |
| keywords[7].id | https://openalex.org/keywords/engineering |
| keywords[7].score | 0.2092687487602234 |
| keywords[7].display_name | Engineering |
| language | en |
| locations[0].id | doi:10.33735/phimisci.2025.11780 |
| locations[0].is_oa | True |
| locations[0].source.id | https://openalex.org/S4210217696 |
| locations[0].source.issn | 2699-0369 |
| locations[0].source.type | journal |
| locations[0].source.is_oa | True |
| locations[0].source.issn_l | 2699-0369 |
| locations[0].source.is_core | True |
| locations[0].source.is_in_doaj | True |
| locations[0].source.display_name | Philosophy and the Mind Sciences |
| locations[0].source.host_organization | |
| locations[0].source.host_organization_name | |
| locations[0].license | cc-by |
| locations[0].pdf_url | https://philosophymindscience.org/index.php/phimisci/article/download/11780/11982 |
| locations[0].version | publishedVersion |
| locations[0].raw_type | journal-article |
| locations[0].license_id | https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by |
| locations[0].is_accepted | True |
| locations[0].is_published | True |
| locations[0].raw_source_name | Philosophy and the Mind Sciences |
| locations[0].landing_page_url | https://doi.org/10.33735/phimisci.2025.11780 |
| locations[1].id | pmh:oai:lup.lub.lu.se:b98f37e0-4485-43ac-99ea-4c033acbc94f |
| locations[1].is_oa | True |
| locations[1].source.id | https://openalex.org/S4306400536 |
| locations[1].source.issn | |
| locations[1].source.type | repository |
| locations[1].source.is_oa | False |
| locations[1].source.issn_l | |
| locations[1].source.is_core | False |
| locations[1].source.is_in_doaj | False |
| locations[1].source.display_name | Lund University Publications (Lund University) |
| locations[1].source.host_organization | https://openalex.org/I187531555 |
| locations[1].source.host_organization_name | Lund University |
| locations[1].source.host_organization_lineage | https://openalex.org/I187531555 |
| locations[1].license | other-oa |
| locations[1].pdf_url | |
| locations[1].version | submittedVersion |
| locations[1].raw_type | text |
| locations[1].license_id | https://openalex.org/licenses/other-oa |
| locations[1].is_accepted | False |
| locations[1].is_published | False |
| locations[1].raw_source_name | ISSN: 2699-0369 |
| locations[1].landing_page_url | https://lup.lub.lu.se/record/b98f37e0-4485-43ac-99ea-4c033acbc94f |
| locations[2].id | pmh:oai:repository.ubn.ru.nl:2066/319024 |
| locations[2].is_oa | False |
| locations[2].source.id | https://openalex.org/S4306401067 |
| locations[2].source.issn | |
| locations[2].source.type | repository |
| locations[2].source.is_oa | False |
| locations[2].source.issn_l | |
| locations[2].source.is_core | False |
| locations[2].source.is_in_doaj | False |
| locations[2].source.display_name | Radboud Repository (Radboud University) |
| locations[2].source.host_organization | https://openalex.org/I145872427 |
| locations[2].source.host_organization_name | Radboud University Nijmegen |
| locations[2].source.host_organization_lineage | https://openalex.org/I145872427 |
| locations[2].license | |
| locations[2].pdf_url | |
| locations[2].version | submittedVersion |
| locations[2].raw_type | Article / Letter to editor |
| locations[2].license_id | |
| locations[2].is_accepted | False |
| locations[2].is_published | False |
| locations[2].raw_source_name | https://philosophymindscience.org/index.php/phimisci/article/view/11780/11983 |
| locations[2].landing_page_url | https://hdl.handle.net/2066/319024 |
| indexed_in | crossref, doaj |
| authorships[0].author.id | https://openalex.org/A5075333969 |
| authorships[0].author.orcid | https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0216-694X |
| authorships[0].author.display_name | Nina Poth |
| authorships[0].author_position | first |
| authorships[0].raw_author_name | Nina Laura Poth |
| authorships[0].is_corresponding | False |
| authorships[1].author.id | https://openalex.org/A5035618179 |
| authorships[1].author.orcid | https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2780-6093 |
| authorships[1].author.display_name | Trond A. Tjøstheim |
| authorships[1].author_position | middle |
| authorships[1].raw_author_name | Trond A. Tjøstheim |
| authorships[1].is_corresponding | False |
| authorships[2].author.id | https://openalex.org/A5085577959 |
| authorships[2].author.orcid | https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5684-3355 |
| authorships[2].author.display_name | Andreas Stephens |
| authorships[2].author_position | last |
| authorships[2].raw_author_name | Andreas Stephens |
| authorships[2].is_corresponding | False |
| has_content.pdf | True |
| has_content.grobid_xml | True |
| is_paratext | False |
| open_access.is_oa | True |
| open_access.oa_url | https://philosophymindscience.org/index.php/phimisci/article/download/11780/11982 |
| open_access.oa_status | diamond |
| open_access.any_repository_has_fulltext | False |
| created_date | 2025-10-10T00:00:00 |
| display_name | Rethinking intelligent behaviour through the lens of accurate prediction: Adaptive control in uncertain environments |
| has_fulltext | False |
| is_retracted | False |
| updated_date | 2025-11-06T03:46:38.306776 |
| primary_topic.id | https://openalex.org/T10820 |
| primary_topic.field.id | https://openalex.org/fields/17 |
| primary_topic.field.display_name | Computer Science |
| primary_topic.score | 0.4722999930381775 |
| primary_topic.domain.id | https://openalex.org/domains/3 |
| primary_topic.domain.display_name | Physical Sciences |
| primary_topic.subfield.id | https://openalex.org/subfields/1702 |
| primary_topic.subfield.display_name | Artificial Intelligence |
| primary_topic.display_name | Fuzzy Logic and Control Systems |
| related_works | https://openalex.org/W4321486002, https://openalex.org/W2050941231, https://openalex.org/W2348285641, https://openalex.org/W1622737280, https://openalex.org/W2969358681, https://openalex.org/W4321517506, https://openalex.org/W2112559358, https://openalex.org/W2107122120, https://openalex.org/W4387524676, https://openalex.org/W2390629623 |
| cited_by_count | 0 |
| locations_count | 3 |
| best_oa_location.id | doi:10.33735/phimisci.2025.11780 |
| best_oa_location.is_oa | True |
| best_oa_location.source.id | https://openalex.org/S4210217696 |
| best_oa_location.source.issn | 2699-0369 |
| best_oa_location.source.type | journal |
| best_oa_location.source.is_oa | True |
| best_oa_location.source.issn_l | 2699-0369 |
| best_oa_location.source.is_core | True |
| best_oa_location.source.is_in_doaj | True |
| best_oa_location.source.display_name | Philosophy and the Mind Sciences |
| best_oa_location.source.host_organization | |
| best_oa_location.source.host_organization_name | |
| best_oa_location.license | cc-by |
| best_oa_location.pdf_url | https://philosophymindscience.org/index.php/phimisci/article/download/11780/11982 |
| best_oa_location.version | publishedVersion |
| best_oa_location.raw_type | journal-article |
| best_oa_location.license_id | https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by |
| best_oa_location.is_accepted | True |
| best_oa_location.is_published | True |
| best_oa_location.raw_source_name | Philosophy and the Mind Sciences |
| best_oa_location.landing_page_url | https://doi.org/10.33735/phimisci.2025.11780 |
| primary_location.id | doi:10.33735/phimisci.2025.11780 |
| primary_location.is_oa | True |
| primary_location.source.id | https://openalex.org/S4210217696 |
| primary_location.source.issn | 2699-0369 |
| primary_location.source.type | journal |
| primary_location.source.is_oa | True |
| primary_location.source.issn_l | 2699-0369 |
| primary_location.source.is_core | True |
| primary_location.source.is_in_doaj | True |
| primary_location.source.display_name | Philosophy and the Mind Sciences |
| primary_location.source.host_organization | |
| primary_location.source.host_organization_name | |
| primary_location.license | cc-by |
| primary_location.pdf_url | https://philosophymindscience.org/index.php/phimisci/article/download/11780/11982 |
| primary_location.version | publishedVersion |
| primary_location.raw_type | journal-article |
| primary_location.license_id | https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by |
| primary_location.is_accepted | True |
| primary_location.is_published | True |
| primary_location.raw_source_name | Philosophy and the Mind Sciences |
| primary_location.landing_page_url | https://doi.org/10.33735/phimisci.2025.11780 |
| publication_date | 2025-05-06 |
| publication_year | 2025 |
| referenced_works_count | 0 |
| abstract_inverted_index.a | 6, 31 |
| abstract_inverted_index.We | 83 |
| abstract_inverted_index.as | 37, 48, 95 |
| abstract_inverted_index.be | 26, 46 |
| abstract_inverted_index.by | 52 |
| abstract_inverted_index.in | 9, 57, 86, 108 |
| abstract_inverted_index.is | 13, 67, 75 |
| abstract_inverted_index.it | 24 |
| abstract_inverted_index.of | 55, 70, 81, 110 |
| abstract_inverted_index.on | 17 |
| abstract_inverted_index.to | 34, 41, 64, 77, 90 |
| abstract_inverted_index.we | 29, 73 |
| abstract_inverted_index.and | 22 |
| abstract_inverted_index.for | 103 |
| abstract_inverted_index.how | 23 |
| abstract_inverted_index.key | 76 |
| abstract_inverted_index.the | 53, 68, 79 |
| abstract_inverted_index.Here | 28 |
| abstract_inverted_index.show | 106 |
| abstract_inverted_index.such | 94 |
| abstract_inverted_index.this | 65, 88 |
| abstract_inverted_index.view | 66 |
| abstract_inverted_index.what | 18 |
| abstract_inverted_index.with | 60 |
| abstract_inverted_index.While | 0 |
| abstract_inverted_index.argue | 74 |
| abstract_inverted_index.shows | 5 |
| abstract_inverted_index.still | 14 |
| abstract_inverted_index.terms | 109 |
| abstract_inverted_index.their | 100 |
| abstract_inverted_index.there | 12 |
| abstract_inverted_index.which | 42, 72 |
| abstract_inverted_index.driven | 51 |
| abstract_inverted_index.little | 15 |
| abstract_inverted_index.recent | 1 |
| abstract_inverted_index.should | 25, 45 |
| abstract_inverted_index.which, | 98 |
| abstract_inverted_index.Central | 63 |
| abstract_inverted_index.concept | 69 |
| abstract_inverted_index.control | 50 |
| abstract_inverted_index.despite | 99 |
| abstract_inverted_index.dynamic | 58 |
| abstract_inverted_index.limited | 61 |
| abstract_inverted_index.models, | 97 |
| abstract_inverted_index.propose | 30 |
| abstract_inverted_index.refined | 32 |
| abstract_inverted_index.renewed | 7 |
| abstract_inverted_index.science | 3 |
| abstract_inverted_index.success | 80 |
| abstract_inverted_index.systems | 93 |
| abstract_inverted_index.abstract | 104 |
| abstract_inverted_index.accurate | 38 |
| abstract_inverted_index.adaptive | 49 |
| abstract_inverted_index.applying | 87 |
| abstract_inverted_index.approach | 33 |
| abstract_inverted_index.deficits | 107 |
| abstract_inverted_index.identify | 84 |
| abstract_inverted_index.interest | 8 |
| abstract_inverted_index.research | 4 |
| abstract_inverted_index.tensions | 85 |
| abstract_inverted_index.according | 40 |
| abstract_inverted_index.accuracy, | 71 |
| abstract_inverted_index.assessed. | 27 |
| abstract_inverted_index.behaviour | 21, 44 |
| abstract_inverted_index.cognitive | 2 |
| abstract_inverted_index.consensus | 16 |
| abstract_inverted_index.framework | 89 |
| abstract_inverted_index.knowledge | 112 |
| abstract_inverted_index.transfer. | 113 |
| abstract_inverted_index.artificial | 92 |
| abstract_inverted_index.biological | 35 |
| abstract_inverted_index.capacities | 102 |
| abstract_inverted_index.impressive | 101 |
| abstract_inverted_index.understood | 47 |
| abstract_inverted_index.constitutes | 19 |
| abstract_inverted_index.determining | 78 |
| abstract_inverted_index.intelligent | 20, 43 |
| abstract_inverted_index.prediction, | 39, 105 |
| abstract_inverted_index.uncertainty | 56 |
| abstract_inverted_index.contemporary | 91 |
| abstract_inverted_index.environments | 59 |
| abstract_inverted_index.information. | 62 |
| abstract_inverted_index.intelligence | 36 |
| abstract_inverted_index.minimisation | 54 |
| abstract_inverted_index.predictions. | 82 |
| abstract_inverted_index.intelligence, | 11 |
| abstract_inverted_index.understanding | 10 |
| abstract_inverted_index.large-language | 96 |
| abstract_inverted_index.context-sensitive | 111 |
| cited_by_percentile_year | |
| countries_distinct_count | 0 |
| institutions_distinct_count | 3 |
| citation_normalized_percentile.value | 0.06494712 |
| citation_normalized_percentile.is_in_top_1_percent | False |
| citation_normalized_percentile.is_in_top_10_percent | True |