Robust inference for moment condition models without rational expectations Article Swipe
Xiaohong Chen
,
Lars Peter Hansen
,
Peter G. Hansen
·
YOU?
·
· 2024
· Open Access
·
· DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2023.105653
YOU?
·
· 2024
· Open Access
·
· DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2023.105653
Applied researchers using structural models under rational expectations (RE) often confront empirical evidence of misspecification. In this paper we consider a generic dynamic model that is posed as a vector of unconditional moment restrictions. We suppose that the model is globally misspecified under RE, and thus empirically flawed in a way that is not econometrically subtle. We relax the RE restriction by allowing subjective beliefs to differ from the data-generating probability (DGP) model while still maintaining that the moment conditions are satisfied under the subjective beliefs of economic agents. We use statistical measures of divergence relative to RE to bound the set of subjective probabilities. This form of misspecification alters econometric identification and inferences in a substantial way, leading us to construct robust confidence sets for various set identified functionals.
Related Topics
Concepts
Econometrics
Moment (physics)
Inference
Statistical inference
Divergence (linguistics)
Set (abstract data type)
Identification (biology)
Rational expectations
Mathematics
Econometric model
Economics
Computer science
Statistics
Artificial intelligence
Linguistics
Programming language
Biology
Botany
Physics
Classical mechanics
Philosophy
Metadata
- Type
- article
- Language
- en
- Landing Page
- https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2023.105653
- OA Status
- hybrid
- Cited By
- 8
- References
- 88
- Related Works
- 10
- OpenAlex ID
- https://openalex.org/W4391234184
All OpenAlex metadata
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https://openalex.org/W4391234184Canonical identifier for this work in OpenAlex
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https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2023.105653Digital Object Identifier
- Title
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Robust inference for moment condition models without rational expectationsWork title
- Type
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articleOpenAlex work type
- Language
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enPrimary language
- Publication year
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2024Year of publication
- Publication date
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2024-01-25Full publication date if available
- Authors
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Xiaohong Chen, Lars Peter Hansen, Peter G. HansenList of authors in order
- Landing page
-
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2023.105653Publisher landing page
- Open access
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YesWhether a free full text is available
- OA status
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hybridOpen access status per OpenAlex
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https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2023.105653Direct OA link when available
- Concepts
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Econometrics, Moment (physics), Inference, Statistical inference, Divergence (linguistics), Set (abstract data type), Identification (biology), Rational expectations, Mathematics, Econometric model, Economics, Computer science, Statistics, Artificial intelligence, Linguistics, Programming language, Biology, Botany, Physics, Classical mechanics, PhilosophyTop concepts (fields/topics) attached by OpenAlex
- Cited by
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8Total citation count in OpenAlex
- Citations by year (recent)
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2025: 6, 2024: 2Per-year citation counts (last 5 years)
- References (count)
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88Number of works referenced by this work
- Related works (count)
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10Other works algorithmically related by OpenAlex
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| corresponding_author_ids | https://openalex.org/A5101650373 |
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