Similar patterns of tropical precipitation and circulation changes under solar and greenhouse gas forcing Article Swipe
Stergios Misios
,
Matthew Kasoar
,
Elliott Kasoar
,
Lesley J. Gray
,
Joanna D. Haigh
,
Stavros Stathopoulos
,
Konstantinos Kourtidis
,
Gunnar Myhre
,
Dirk Olivié
,
Drew Shindell
,
Tao Tang
·
YOU?
·
· 2021
· Open Access
·
· DOI: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac28b1
YOU?
·
· 2021
· Open Access
·
· DOI: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac28b1
Theory and model evidence indicate a higher global hydrological sensitivity for the same amount of surface warming to solar as to greenhouse gas (GHG) forcing, but regional patterns are highly uncertain due to their dependence on circulation and dynamics. We analyse a multi-model ensemble of idealized experiments and a set of simulations of the last millennium and we demonstrate similar global signatures and patterns of forced response in the tropical Pacific, of higher sensitivity for the solar forcing. In the idealized simulations, both solar and GHG forcing warm the equatorial Pacific, enhance precipitation in the central Pacific, and weaken and shift the Walker circulation eastward. Centennial variations in the solar forcing over the last millennium cause similar patterns of enhanced equatorial precipitation and slowdown of the Walker circulation in response to periods with stronger solar forcing. Similar forced patterns albeit of considerably weaker magnitude are identified for variations in GHG concentrations over the 20th century, with the lower sensitivity explained by fast atmospheric adjustments. These findings differ from previous studies that have typically suggested divergent responses in tropical precipitation and circulation between the solar and GHG forcings. We conclude that tropical Walker circulation and precipitation might be more susceptible to solar variability rather than GHG variations during the last-millennium, assuming comparable global mean surface temperature changes.
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Metadata
- Type
- article
- Language
- en
- Landing Page
- https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac28b1
- https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ac28b1/pdf
- OA Status
- gold
- Cited By
- 4
- References
- 52
- Related Works
- 10
- OpenAlex ID
- https://openalex.org/W3199500906
All OpenAlex metadata
Raw OpenAlex JSON
- OpenAlex ID
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https://openalex.org/W3199500906Canonical identifier for this work in OpenAlex
- DOI
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https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac28b1Digital Object Identifier
- Title
-
Similar patterns of tropical precipitation and circulation changes under solar and greenhouse gas forcingWork title
- Type
-
articleOpenAlex work type
- Language
-
enPrimary language
- Publication year
-
2021Year of publication
- Publication date
-
2021-09-21Full publication date if available
- Authors
-
Stergios Misios, Matthew Kasoar, Elliott Kasoar, Lesley J. Gray, Joanna D. Haigh, Stavros Stathopoulos, Konstantinos Kourtidis, Gunnar Myhre, Dirk Olivié, Drew Shindell, Tao TangList of authors in order
- Landing page
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https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac28b1Publisher landing page
- PDF URL
-
https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ac28b1/pdfDirect link to full text PDF
- Open access
-
YesWhether a free full text is available
- OA status
-
goldOpen access status per OpenAlex
- OA URL
-
https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ac28b1/pdfDirect OA link when available
- Concepts
-
Forcing (mathematics), Climatology, Precipitation, Environmental science, Walker circulation, Atmospheric sciences, Greenhouse gas, Atmospheric circulation, Climate model, Climate change, Sea surface temperature, Geology, Meteorology, Geography, OceanographyTop concepts (fields/topics) attached by OpenAlex
- Cited by
-
4Total citation count in OpenAlex
- Citations by year (recent)
-
2025: 1, 2024: 1, 2023: 2Per-year citation counts (last 5 years)
- References (count)
-
52Number of works referenced by this work
- Related works (count)
-
10Other works algorithmically related by OpenAlex
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| publication_date | 2021-09-21 |
| publication_year | 2021 |
| referenced_works | https://openalex.org/W3014395776, https://openalex.org/W2083917276, https://openalex.org/W1480489343, https://openalex.org/W1977269155, https://openalex.org/W2034518773, https://openalex.org/W2126681088, https://openalex.org/W2345336796, https://openalex.org/W1995177525, https://openalex.org/W2926186816, https://openalex.org/W1999037513, https://openalex.org/W2170553462, https://openalex.org/W3048449324, https://openalex.org/W2115446626, https://openalex.org/W1866455737, https://openalex.org/W2133791054, https://openalex.org/W2124419979, https://openalex.org/W2128349082, https://openalex.org/W1973233492, https://openalex.org/W2054054760, https://openalex.org/W2053393338, https://openalex.org/W2993529034, https://openalex.org/W1942344706, https://openalex.org/W3016022489, https://openalex.org/W2122511023, https://openalex.org/W3041088561, https://openalex.org/W1538710699, https://openalex.org/W2590107759, https://openalex.org/W1979993739, https://openalex.org/W2054095426, https://openalex.org/W2160336235, https://openalex.org/W2108531121, https://openalex.org/W1732802524, https://openalex.org/W2001862744, https://openalex.org/W2152385561, https://openalex.org/W2928084921, https://openalex.org/W2156247540, https://openalex.org/W2532086395, https://openalex.org/W2896775815, https://openalex.org/W2078790182, https://openalex.org/W1941426989, https://openalex.org/W2896386633, https://openalex.org/W2345267547, https://openalex.org/W2610828852, https://openalex.org/W3010979522, https://openalex.org/W2620427999, https://openalex.org/W2968018036, https://openalex.org/W2081640350, https://openalex.org/W2072128221, https://openalex.org/W2075893334, https://openalex.org/W2970194065, https://openalex.org/W2128641046, https://openalex.org/W2052453570 |
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| corresponding_author_ids | https://openalex.org/A5011996188 |
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| sustainable_development_goals[0].display_name | Life below water |
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