Stratospheric prognostic ozone for seamless Earth System Models Article Swipe
Beatriz M. Monge-Sanz
,
Alessio Bozzo
,
Nicholas Byrne
,
Martyn P. Chipperfield
,
Michail Diamantakis
,
Johannes Flemming
,
Lesley J. Gray
,
Robin J. Hogan
,
Luke Jones
,
Linus Magnusson
,
Inna Polichtchouk
,
Theodore G. Shepherd
,
Nils Wedi
,
Antje Weisheimer
·
YOU?
·
· 2022
· Open Access
·
· DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-12148
YOU?
·
· 2022
· Open Access
·
· DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-12148
<p>Our study shows the relevance of the interactions between atmospheric chemistry and physics to achieve better weather predictions. We provide evidence of the role that stratospheric ozone plays to improve weather forecasts on several timescales, and highlight the need for seamless models to include realistic prognostic ozone interactive with radiation.</p><p>Representing realistic feedbacks between ozone, radiation, temperature and dynamics is essential to correctly simulate the behaviour of the stratosphere and its links with tropospheric weather and climate. We have implemented an alternative stratospheric ozone model (Monge-Sanz et al., 2011) in the ECMWF system interactively with radiation, and we have assessed its performance and feedbacks with meteorological fields for different timescales, from medium-range to seasonal.  Here we will discuss results from the experiments and analyses conducted in our study (Monge-Sanz et al., 2021), showing the feasibility of this ozone model for a seamless numerical weather prediction approach.</p><p>We will show that the stratospheric ozone distribution provided by this new prognostic ozone model compares very well with observations even for unusual meteorological conditions. On assessing impacts on meteorological variables, the new ozone model improves the representation of the stratosphere, clearly reducing temperature biases in this region. We will also show the benefits it brings to tropospheric meteorological fields, highlighting the potential of this new ozone description to exploit stratospheric sources of predictability and improve weather predictions over Europe on a range of time scales.</p><p>Therefore, our results show the value of this prognostic stratospheric ozone model for seamless Earth System Models, as well as for global systems where atmospheric composition is coupled to weather forecasts, like the systems being run within the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS). We will also discuss challenges and possible strategies for the inclusion of chemistry-dynamics feedbacks in seamless Earth System Models.</p><p> </p><p>References:</p><p>Monge-Sanz BM, Chipperfield MP, Cariolle D, Feng W. Results from a new linear O3 scheme with embedded heterogeneous chemistry compared with the parent full-chemistry 3-D CTM. <em>Atmos. Chem. Phys</em>. 11, 1227-1242, 2011.</p><p>Monge-Sanz, B. M., Bozzo, A., Byrne, N., Chipperfield, M. P., Diamantakis, M., Flemming, J., Gray, L. J., Hogan, R. J., Jones, L., Magnusson, L., Polichtchouk, I., Shepherd, T. G., Wedi, N., and Weisheimer, A.: A stratospheric prognostic ozone for seamless Earth System Models: performance, impacts and future, <em>Atmos. Chem. Phys.</em>, accepted, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-2020-1261, 2021.</p>
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Metadata
- Type
- preprint
- Language
- en
- Landing Page
- https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-12148
- OA Status
- gold
- Related Works
- 10
- OpenAlex ID
- https://openalex.org/W4220745304
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Raw OpenAlex JSON
- OpenAlex ID
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https://openalex.org/W4220745304Canonical identifier for this work in OpenAlex
- DOI
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https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-12148Digital Object Identifier
- Title
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Stratospheric prognostic ozone for seamless Earth System ModelsWork title
- Type
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preprintOpenAlex work type
- Language
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enPrimary language
- Publication year
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2022Year of publication
- Publication date
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2022-03-28Full publication date if available
- Authors
-
Beatriz M. Monge-Sanz, Alessio Bozzo, Nicholas Byrne, Martyn P. Chipperfield, Michail Diamantakis, Johannes Flemming, Lesley J. Gray, Robin J. Hogan, Luke Jones, Linus Magnusson, Inna Polichtchouk, Theodore G. Shepherd, Nils Wedi, Antje WeisheimerList of authors in order
- Landing page
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https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-12148Publisher landing page
- Open access
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YesWhether a free full text is available
- OA status
-
goldOpen access status per OpenAlex
- OA URL
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https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-egu22-12148Direct OA link when available
- Concepts
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Stratosphere, Ozone layer, Environmental science, Ozone, Tropospheric ozone, Predictability, Atmospheric sciences, Meteorology, Ozone depletion, Climatology, Geography, Physics, Quantum mechanics, GeologyTop concepts (fields/topics) attached by OpenAlex
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10Other works algorithmically related by OpenAlex
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