The YOPP site Model Intercomparison Project (YOPPsiteMIP) phase 1: project overview and Arctic winter forecast evaluation Article Swipe
Jonathan J. Day
,
Gunilla Svensson
,
Barbara Casati
,
Taneil Uttal
,
S. S. Khalsa
,
Éric Bazile
,
Elena Akish
,
Niramson Azouz
,
Lara Ferrighi
,
Helmut Frank
,
Michael Gallagher
,
Øystein Godøy
,
Leslie M. Hartten
,
Laura X. Huang
,
Jareth Holt
,
Massimo Di Stefano
,
Irene Suomi
,
Zen Mariani
,
Sara Morris
,
Ewan O’Connor
,
Roberta Pirazzini
,
Teresa Remes
,
R. Yu. Fadeev
,
Amy Solomon
,
Johanna Tjernström
,
M. A. Tolstykh
·
YOU?
·
· 2023
· Open Access
·
· DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1951
YOU?
·
· 2023
· Open Access
·
· DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1951
Although the quality of weather forecasts in the polar regions is improving, forecast skill there still lags the lower latitudes. So far there have been relatively few efforts to evaluate processes in Numerical Weather Prediction systems using in-situ and remote sensing datasets from meteorological observatories in the terrestrial Arctic and Antarctic, compared to the mid-latitudes. Progress has been limited both by the heterogeneous nature of observatory and forecast data but also by limited availability of the parameters needed to perform process-oriented evaluation in multi-model forecast archives. The YOPP site Model Inter-comparison Project (YOPPsiteMIP) is addressing this gap by producing Merged Observatory Data Files (MODFs) and Merged Model Data Files (MMDFs), bringing together observations and forecast data at polar meteorological observatories in a format designed to facilitate process-oriented evaluation. An evaluation of forecast performance was performed at seven Arctic sites, focussing on the first YOPP Special Observing Period in the Northern Hemisphere (SOP1), February and March 2018. It demonstrated that although the characteristics of forecast skill vary between the different sites and systems, an underestimation in boundary layer temperature variance across models, which goes hand in hand with an inability to capture cold extremes, is a common issue at several sites. Diagnostic analysis using surface fluxes suggests that this is at least partly related to insufficient thermal representation of the land-surface in the models, which all use a single layer snow model.
Related Topics
Concepts
Environmental science
Climatology
Meteorology
Arctic
Northern Hemisphere
Forecast skill
Coupled model intercomparison project
Snow
The arctic
Latitude
Climate model
Geography
Climate change
Geology
Oceanography
Geodesy
Metadata
- Type
- preprint
- Language
- en
- Landing Page
- https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1951
- OA Status
- gold
- Cited By
- 7
- References
- 49
- Related Works
- 10
- OpenAlex ID
- https://openalex.org/W4390032671
All OpenAlex metadata
Raw OpenAlex JSON
- OpenAlex ID
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https://openalex.org/W4390032671Canonical identifier for this work in OpenAlex
- DOI
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https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1951Digital Object Identifier
- Title
-
The YOPP site Model Intercomparison Project (YOPPsiteMIP) phase 1: project overview and Arctic winter forecast evaluationWork title
- Type
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preprintOpenAlex work type
- Language
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enPrimary language
- Publication year
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2023Year of publication
- Publication date
-
2023-12-20Full publication date if available
- Authors
-
Jonathan J. Day, Gunilla Svensson, Barbara Casati, Taneil Uttal, S. S. Khalsa, Éric Bazile, Elena Akish, Niramson Azouz, Lara Ferrighi, Helmut Frank, Michael Gallagher, Øystein Godøy, Leslie M. Hartten, Laura X. Huang, Jareth Holt, Massimo Di Stefano, Irene Suomi, Zen Mariani, Sara Morris, Ewan O’Connor, Roberta Pirazzini, Teresa Remes, R. Yu. Fadeev, Amy Solomon, Johanna Tjernström, M. A. TolstykhList of authors in order
- Landing page
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https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1951Publisher landing page
- Open access
-
YesWhether a free full text is available
- OA status
-
goldOpen access status per OpenAlex
- OA URL
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https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1951Direct OA link when available
- Concepts
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Environmental science, Climatology, Meteorology, Arctic, Northern Hemisphere, Forecast skill, Coupled model intercomparison project, Snow, The arctic, Latitude, Climate model, Geography, Climate change, Geology, Oceanography, GeodesyTop concepts (fields/topics) attached by OpenAlex
- Cited by
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7Total citation count in OpenAlex
- Citations by year (recent)
-
2024: 7Per-year citation counts (last 5 years)
- References (count)
-
49Number of works referenced by this work
- Related works (count)
-
10Other works algorithmically related by OpenAlex
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