THERMAL TOLERANCE MISMATCH EXPLAINS PATTERNS OF PATHOGEN PREVALENCE WITHIN AND AMONG FROG SPECIES Article Swipe

PDF

Richard P. Duncan , Benjamin C. Scheele , Simon Clulow ·

YOU? · · 2024 · Open Access · · DOI: https://doi.org/10.22541/au.171110804.49295478/v1

Emerging infectious diseases threaten many wildlife populations, yet there is considerable variation in pathogen impacts both within and among species. Understanding this variability is key to identifying where and when pathogens will have substantial effects. Here we use data on prevalence of the invasive pathogen Batrachochytrium dendrobatidis (Bd) in Australian frogs to test two predictions derived from the hypothesis that mismatches in host-pathogen thermal tolerances can explain prevalence patterns. We show that: 1) the slope of the relationship between Bd prevalence and temperature within host species transitions predictably from positive to increasingly negative as the host species’ thermal optima increases; and 2) among host species, mean Bd prevalence increases, peaks, and declines as the host species’ thermal optima increase. Both results align with theoretical expectations and suggest that mismatches in environmental tolerance between hosts and pathogens can explain much of the variation in pathogen impacts observed within and among species.

Related Topics

Concepts

Host (biology) Pathogen Biology Ecology Wildlife Zoology Immunology

Metadata

Type: preprint
Language: en
Landing Page: https://doi.org/10.22541/au.171110804.49295478/v1
PDF: https://www.authorea.com/doi/pdf/10.22541/au.171110804.49295478/v1
OA Status: gold
Related Works: 10
OpenAlex ID: https://openalex.org/W4393071638

All OpenAlex metadata

Raw OpenAlex JSON

OpenAlex ID: https://openalex.org/W4393071638

Canonical identifier for this work in OpenAlex
DOI: https://doi.org/10.22541/au.171110804.49295478/v1

Digital Object Identifier
Title: THERMAL TOLERANCE MISMATCH EXPLAINS PATTERNS OF PATHOGEN PREVALENCE WITHIN AND AMONG FROG SPECIES

Work title
Type: preprint

OpenAlex work type
Language: en

Primary language
Publication year: 2024

Year of publication
Publication date: 2024-03-22

Full publication date if available
Authors: Richard P. Duncan, Benjamin C. Scheele, Simon Clulow

List of authors in order
Landing page: https://doi.org/10.22541/au.171110804.49295478/v1

Publisher landing page
PDF URL: https://www.authorea.com/doi/pdf/10.22541/au.171110804.49295478/v1

Direct link to full text PDF
Open access: Yes

Whether a free full text is available
OA status: gold

Open access status per OpenAlex
OA URL: https://www.authorea.com/doi/pdf/10.22541/au.171110804.49295478/v1

Direct OA link when available
Concepts: Host (biology), Pathogen, Biology, Ecology, Wildlife, Zoology, Immunology

Top concepts (fields/topics) attached by OpenAlex
Cited by: 0

Total citation count in OpenAlex
Related works (count): 10

Other works algorithmically related by OpenAlex

Full payload

id	https://openalex.org/W4393071638
doi	https://doi.org/10.22541/au.171110804.49295478/v1
ids.doi	https://doi.org/10.22541/au.171110804.49295478/v1
ids.openalex	https://openalex.org/W4393071638
fwci	0.0
type	preprint
title	THERMAL TOLERANCE MISMATCH EXPLAINS PATTERNS OF PATHOGEN PREVALENCE WITHIN AND AMONG FROG SPECIES
biblio.issue
biblio.volume
biblio.last_page
biblio.first_page
topics[0].id	https://openalex.org/T10332
topics[0].field.id	https://openalex.org/fields/23
topics[0].field.display_name	Environmental Science
topics[0].score	0.9991999864578247
topics[0].domain.id	https://openalex.org/domains/3
topics[0].domain.display_name	Physical Sciences
topics[0].subfield.id	https://openalex.org/subfields/2306
topics[0].subfield.display_name	Global and Planetary Change
topics[0].display_name	Amphibian and Reptile Biology
topics[1].id	https://openalex.org/T11764
topics[1].field.id	https://openalex.org/fields/13
topics[1].field.display_name	Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology
topics[1].score	0.9991999864578247
topics[1].domain.id	https://openalex.org/domains/1
topics[1].domain.display_name	Life Sciences
topics[1].subfield.id	https://openalex.org/subfields/1311
topics[1].subfield.display_name	Genetics
topics[1].display_name	Evolution and Genetic Dynamics
topics[2].id	https://openalex.org/T10895
topics[2].field.id	https://openalex.org/fields/23
topics[2].field.display_name	Environmental Science
topics[2].score	0.9937999844551086
topics[2].domain.id	https://openalex.org/domains/3
topics[2].domain.display_name	Physical Sciences
topics[2].subfield.id	https://openalex.org/subfields/2302
topics[2].subfield.display_name	Ecological Modeling
topics[2].display_name	Species Distribution and Climate Change
is_xpac	False
apc_list
apc_paid
concepts[0].id	https://openalex.org/C126831891
concepts[0].level	2
concepts[0].score	0.8209388256072998
concepts[0].wikidata	https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q221673
concepts[0].display_name	Host (biology)
concepts[1].id	https://openalex.org/C2776460866
concepts[1].level	2
concepts[1].score	0.7970114946365356
concepts[1].wikidata	https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q170065
concepts[1].display_name	Pathogen
concepts[2].id	https://openalex.org/C86803240
concepts[2].level	0
concepts[2].score	0.7363409996032715
concepts[2].wikidata	https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q420
concepts[2].display_name	Biology
concepts[3].id	https://openalex.org/C18903297
concepts[3].level	1
concepts[3].score	0.579348087310791
concepts[3].wikidata	https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7150
concepts[3].display_name	Ecology
concepts[4].id	https://openalex.org/C29376679
concepts[4].level	2
concepts[4].score	0.5685573816299438
concepts[4].wikidata	https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q241741
concepts[4].display_name	Wildlife
concepts[5].id	https://openalex.org/C90856448
concepts[5].level	1
concepts[5].score	0.42359331250190735
concepts[5].wikidata	https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q431
concepts[5].display_name	Zoology
concepts[6].id	https://openalex.org/C203014093
concepts[6].level	1
concepts[6].score	0.09980538487434387
concepts[6].wikidata	https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q101929
concepts[6].display_name	Immunology
keywords[0].id	https://openalex.org/keywords/host
keywords[0].score	0.8209388256072998
keywords[0].display_name	Host (biology)
keywords[1].id	https://openalex.org/keywords/pathogen
keywords[1].score	0.7970114946365356
keywords[1].display_name	Pathogen
keywords[2].id	https://openalex.org/keywords/biology
keywords[2].score	0.7363409996032715
keywords[2].display_name	Biology
keywords[3].id	https://openalex.org/keywords/ecology
keywords[3].score	0.579348087310791
keywords[3].display_name	Ecology
keywords[4].id	https://openalex.org/keywords/wildlife
keywords[4].score	0.5685573816299438
keywords[4].display_name	Wildlife
keywords[5].id	https://openalex.org/keywords/zoology
keywords[5].score	0.42359331250190735
keywords[5].display_name	Zoology
keywords[6].id	https://openalex.org/keywords/immunology
keywords[6].score	0.09980538487434387
keywords[6].display_name	Immunology
language	en
locations[0].id	doi:10.22541/au.171110804.49295478/v1
locations[0].is_oa	True
locations[0].source
locations[0].license
locations[0].pdf_url	https://www.authorea.com/doi/pdf/10.22541/au.171110804.49295478/v1
locations[0].version	acceptedVersion
locations[0].raw_type	posted-content
locations[0].license_id
locations[0].is_accepted	True
locations[0].is_published	False
locations[0].raw_source_name
locations[0].landing_page_url	https://doi.org/10.22541/au.171110804.49295478/v1
indexed_in	crossref
authorships[0].author.id	https://openalex.org/A5021627147
authorships[0].author.orcid	https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2295-449X
authorships[0].author.display_name	Richard P. Duncan
authorships[0].countries	AU
authorships[0].affiliations[0].institution_ids	https://openalex.org/I188329596
authorships[0].affiliations[0].raw_affiliation_string	University of Canberra
authorships[0].institutions[0].id	https://openalex.org/I188329596
authorships[0].institutions[0].ror	https://ror.org/04s1nv328
authorships[0].institutions[0].type	education
authorships[0].institutions[0].lineage	https://openalex.org/I188329596
authorships[0].institutions[0].country_code	AU
authorships[0].institutions[0].display_name	University of Canberra
authorships[0].author_position	first
authorships[0].raw_author_name	Richard Duncan
authorships[0].is_corresponding	False
authorships[0].raw_affiliation_strings	University of Canberra
authorships[1].author.id	https://openalex.org/A5033071621
authorships[1].author.orcid	https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7284-629X
authorships[1].author.display_name	Benjamin C. Scheele
authorships[1].countries	AU
authorships[1].affiliations[0].institution_ids	https://openalex.org/I118347636
authorships[1].affiliations[0].raw_affiliation_string	Australian National University
authorships[1].institutions[0].id	https://openalex.org/I118347636
authorships[1].institutions[0].ror	https://ror.org/019wvm592
authorships[1].institutions[0].type	education
authorships[1].institutions[0].lineage	https://openalex.org/I118347636
authorships[1].institutions[0].country_code	AU
authorships[1].institutions[0].display_name	Australian National University
authorships[1].author_position	middle
authorships[1].raw_author_name	Benjamin Scheele
authorships[1].is_corresponding	False
authorships[1].raw_affiliation_strings	Australian National University
authorships[2].author.id	https://openalex.org/A5038805354
authorships[2].author.orcid	https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5700-6345
authorships[2].author.display_name	Simon Clulow
authorships[2].countries	AU
authorships[2].affiliations[0].institution_ids	https://openalex.org/I188329596
authorships[2].affiliations[0].raw_affiliation_string	University of Canberra
authorships[2].institutions[0].id	https://openalex.org/I188329596
authorships[2].institutions[0].ror	https://ror.org/04s1nv328
authorships[2].institutions[0].type	education
authorships[2].institutions[0].lineage	https://openalex.org/I188329596
authorships[2].institutions[0].country_code	AU
authorships[2].institutions[0].display_name	University of Canberra
authorships[2].author_position	last
authorships[2].raw_author_name	Simon Clulow
authorships[2].is_corresponding	False
authorships[2].raw_affiliation_strings	University of Canberra
has_content.pdf	True
has_content.grobid_xml	True
is_paratext	False
open_access.is_oa	True
open_access.oa_url	https://www.authorea.com/doi/pdf/10.22541/au.171110804.49295478/v1
open_access.oa_status	gold
open_access.any_repository_has_fulltext	False
created_date	2025-10-10T00:00:00
display_name	THERMAL TOLERANCE MISMATCH EXPLAINS PATTERNS OF PATHOGEN PREVALENCE WITHIN AND AMONG FROG SPECIES
has_fulltext	False
is_retracted	False
updated_date	2025-11-06T03:46:38.306776
primary_topic.id	https://openalex.org/T10332
primary_topic.field.id	https://openalex.org/fields/23
primary_topic.field.display_name	Environmental Science
primary_topic.score	0.9991999864578247
primary_topic.domain.id	https://openalex.org/domains/3
primary_topic.domain.display_name	Physical Sciences
primary_topic.subfield.id	https://openalex.org/subfields/2306
primary_topic.subfield.display_name	Global and Planetary Change
primary_topic.display_name	Amphibian and Reptile Biology
related_works	https://openalex.org/W2000315402, https://openalex.org/W2361909619, https://openalex.org/W3118313439, https://openalex.org/W3113123330, https://openalex.org/W2091398531, https://openalex.org/W2343234619, https://openalex.org/W3173815060, https://openalex.org/W4393700755, https://openalex.org/W4393655603, https://openalex.org/W4286497165
cited_by_count	0
locations_count	1
best_oa_location.id	doi:10.22541/au.171110804.49295478/v1
best_oa_location.is_oa	True
best_oa_location.source
best_oa_location.license
best_oa_location.pdf_url	https://www.authorea.com/doi/pdf/10.22541/au.171110804.49295478/v1
best_oa_location.version	acceptedVersion
best_oa_location.raw_type	posted-content
best_oa_location.license_id
best_oa_location.is_accepted	True
best_oa_location.is_published	False
best_oa_location.raw_source_name
best_oa_location.landing_page_url	https://doi.org/10.22541/au.171110804.49295478/v1
primary_location.id	doi:10.22541/au.171110804.49295478/v1
primary_location.is_oa	True
primary_location.source
primary_location.license
primary_location.pdf_url	https://www.authorea.com/doi/pdf/10.22541/au.171110804.49295478/v1
primary_location.version	acceptedVersion
primary_location.raw_type	posted-content
primary_location.license_id
primary_location.is_accepted	True
primary_location.is_published	False
primary_location.raw_source_name
primary_location.landing_page_url	https://doi.org/10.22541/au.171110804.49295478/v1
publication_date	2024-03-22
publication_year	2024
referenced_works_count	0
abstract_inverted_index.1)	72
abstract_inverted_index.2)	101
abstract_inverted_index.Bd	79, 106
abstract_inverted_index.We	69
abstract_inverted_index.as	93, 112
abstract_inverted_index.in	12, 48, 61, 129, 142
abstract_inverted_index.is	9, 23
abstract_inverted_index.of	41, 75, 139
abstract_inverted_index.on	39
abstract_inverted_index.to	25, 51, 90
abstract_inverted_index.we	36
abstract_inverted_index.and	17, 28, 81, 100, 110, 125, 134, 147
abstract_inverted_index.can	65, 136
abstract_inverted_index.key	24
abstract_inverted_index.the	42, 57, 73, 76, 94, 113, 140
abstract_inverted_index.two	53
abstract_inverted_index.use	37
abstract_inverted_index.yet	7
abstract_inverted_index.(Bd)	47
abstract_inverted_index.Both	119
abstract_inverted_index.Here	35
abstract_inverted_index.both	15
abstract_inverted_index.data	38
abstract_inverted_index.from	56, 88
abstract_inverted_index.have	32
abstract_inverted_index.host	84, 95, 103, 114
abstract_inverted_index.many	4
abstract_inverted_index.mean	105
abstract_inverted_index.much	138
abstract_inverted_index.show	70
abstract_inverted_index.test	52
abstract_inverted_index.that	59, 127
abstract_inverted_index.this	21
abstract_inverted_index.when	29
abstract_inverted_index.will	31
abstract_inverted_index.with	122
abstract_inverted_index.align	121
abstract_inverted_index.among	18, 102, 148
abstract_inverted_index.frogs	50
abstract_inverted_index.hosts	133
abstract_inverted_index.slope	74
abstract_inverted_index.that:	71
abstract_inverted_index.there	8
abstract_inverted_index.where	27
abstract_inverted_index.optima	98, 117
abstract_inverted_index.peaks,	109
abstract_inverted_index.within	16, 83, 146
abstract_inverted_index.between	78, 132
abstract_inverted_index.derived	55
abstract_inverted_index.explain	66, 137
abstract_inverted_index.impacts	14, 144
abstract_inverted_index.results	120
abstract_inverted_index.species	85
abstract_inverted_index.suggest	126
abstract_inverted_index.thermal	63, 97, 116
abstract_inverted_index.Emerging	0
abstract_inverted_index.declines	111
abstract_inverted_index.diseases	2
abstract_inverted_index.effects.	34
abstract_inverted_index.invasive	43
abstract_inverted_index.negative	92
abstract_inverted_index.observed	145
abstract_inverted_index.pathogen	13, 44, 143
abstract_inverted_index.positive	89
abstract_inverted_index.species,	104
abstract_inverted_index.species.	19, 149
abstract_inverted_index.threaten	3
abstract_inverted_index.wildlife	5
abstract_inverted_index.increase.	118
abstract_inverted_index.pathogens	30, 135
abstract_inverted_index.patterns.	68
abstract_inverted_index.tolerance	131
abstract_inverted_index.variation	11, 141
abstract_inverted_index.Australian	49
abstract_inverted_index.hypothesis	58
abstract_inverted_index.increases,	108
abstract_inverted_index.increases;	99
abstract_inverted_index.infectious	1
abstract_inverted_index.mismatches	60, 128
abstract_inverted_index.prevalence	40, 67, 80, 107
abstract_inverted_index.species’	96, 115
abstract_inverted_index.tolerances	64
abstract_inverted_index.identifying	26
abstract_inverted_index.predictably	87
abstract_inverted_index.predictions	54
abstract_inverted_index.substantial	33
abstract_inverted_index.temperature	82
abstract_inverted_index.theoretical	123
abstract_inverted_index.transitions	86
abstract_inverted_index.variability	22
abstract_inverted_index.considerable	10
abstract_inverted_index.expectations	124
abstract_inverted_index.increasingly	91
abstract_inverted_index.populations,	6
abstract_inverted_index.relationship	77
abstract_inverted_index.Understanding	20
abstract_inverted_index.dendrobatidis	46
abstract_inverted_index.environmental	130
abstract_inverted_index.host-pathogen	62
abstract_inverted_index.Batrachochytrium	45
cited_by_percentile_year
countries_distinct_count	1
institutions_distinct_count	3
sustainable_development_goals[0].id	https://metadata.un.org/sdg/15
sustainable_development_goals[0].score	0.7200000286102295
sustainable_development_goals[0].display_name	Life in Land
citation_normalized_percentile.value	0.06138876
citation_normalized_percentile.is_in_top_1_percent	False
citation_normalized_percentile.is_in_top_10_percent	False