Would the occurrence of a Maunder-like solar minimum reverse the observed climate change? Article Swipe
Márcio Cataldi
,
Rafael Rangel
,
Vitor Luiz Victalino Galves
,
Sónia Jerez
,
Juan Pedro Montávez
,
Amar Halifa‐Marín
,
Luiz Landau
·
YOU?
·
· 2025
· Open Access
·
· DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eve.2025.100068
YOU?
·
· 2025
· Open Access
·
· DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eve.2025.100068
This study examines a scenario combining a prolonged solar minimum, like the historical Maunder Minimum, with the increased CO2 emissions characteristic of the industrial era. Two scenarios were developed in NCAR/CESM 2.0 implemented at LAMMOC/UFF to create simulations from 1850 to 2000, it contrasts differing radiative forcings from 1950 onward—one reflecting actual observed changes, including rising CO2 levels, and the other simulating a decrease in solar output like that during the Maunder Minimum but with continued CO2 growth. The results were validated against ERA5 data and 20th-century reanalysis. By calculating meridional averages at 30-degree latitude intervals, distinct regional impacts of the Maunder Minimum were identified. Notably the simulated Maunder Minimum reduced global warming by and even mitigated 70 % in HS in the last decade of the 20th century. However, this attenuation was lower in the HN, especially in the 30–60N region where no attenuation was observed.
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- article
- Language
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- Landing Page
- https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eve.2025.100068
- OA Status
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https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eve.2025.100068Digital Object Identifier
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Would the occurrence of a Maunder-like solar minimum reverse the observed climate change?Work title
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articleOpenAlex work type
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enPrimary language
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2025Year of publication
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2025-01-01Full publication date if available
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Márcio Cataldi, Rafael Rangel, Vitor Luiz Victalino Galves, Sónia Jerez, Juan Pedro Montávez, Amar Halifa‐Marín, Luiz LandauList of authors in order
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https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eve.2025.100068Publisher landing page
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diamondOpen access status per OpenAlex
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https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eve.2025.100068Direct OA link when available
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Climate change, Environmental science, Atmospheric sciences, Solar variation, Climatology, Meteorology, Geology, Physics, OceanographyTop concepts (fields/topics) attached by OpenAlex
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0Total citation count in OpenAlex
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