David A. Bailey
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View article: Observed winds alone cannot explain recent Arctic warming and sea ice loss
Observed winds alone cannot explain recent Arctic warming and sea ice loss Open
Since the 1980s, observations show the Arctic surface has warmed four times more than the global mean. Over the Arctic Ocean, this recent large warming is connected to sea ice loss. While earth system models are useful tools for prediction…
View article: Impacts of the CICE sea ice model and ERA atmosphere on an Antarctic MetROMS ocean model, MetROMS-UHel-v1.0
Impacts of the CICE sea ice model and ERA atmosphere on an Antarctic MetROMS ocean model, MetROMS-UHel-v1.0 Open
In recent years, the Antarctic sea ice has experienced major changes, which are neither well understood nor adequately reproduced by Earth system models. To support model development with an aim to improve Antarctic sea ice and upper-ocean…
View article: Stratospheric Aerosol Injection Could Prevent Future Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation Decline, But Injection Location is Key
Stratospheric Aerosol Injection Could Prevent Future Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation Decline, But Injection Location is Key Open
The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) plays a crucial role in the global climate system. Various studies report both ongoing and projected reductions in AMOC strength, with important implications for climate and society. W…
View article: Unraveling Arctic Sea Ice Response to Atmospheric Rivers—Insights From Sea Ice Modeling
Unraveling Arctic Sea Ice Response to Atmospheric Rivers—Insights From Sea Ice Modeling Open
Atmospheric rivers (ARs) in winter can induce significant melting of sea ice as they approach the ice cover. However, due to the complex physical properties of sea ice, the specific processes within the ice pack that are responsible for it…
View article: Impacts of CICE sea ice model and ERA atmosphere on an Antarctic MetROMS ocean model, MetROMS-UHel-v1.0
Impacts of CICE sea ice model and ERA atmosphere on an Antarctic MetROMS ocean model, MetROMS-UHel-v1.0 Open
In recent years, the Antarctic sea ice has experienced major changes, which are neither well understood nor adequately reproduced by earth system models. To support model development with an aim to improve Antarctic sea ice and upper ocean…
View article: Predicting snow structures relevant to reindeer husbandry
Predicting snow structures relevant to reindeer husbandry Open
Snow conditions in the High North are an important control on wintertime forage availability for reindeer, and under climate change, they are changing rapidly. In the European Arctic, this has the potential to disrupt traditional reindeer …
View article: CICE on a C-grid: new momentum, stress, and transport schemes for CICEv6.5
CICE on a C-grid: new momentum, stress, and transport schemes for CICEv6.5 Open
This article presents the C-grid implementation of the CICE sea ice model, including the C-grid discretization of the momentum equation, the boundary conditions (BCs), and the modifications to the code required to use the incremental remap…
View article: Predicting September Arctic Sea Ice: A Multimodel Seasonal Skill Comparison
Predicting September Arctic Sea Ice: A Multimodel Seasonal Skill Comparison Open
This study quantifies the state of the art in the rapidly growing field of seasonal Arctic sea ice prediction. A novel multimodel dataset of retrospective seasonal predictions of September Arctic sea ice is created and analyzed, consisting…
View article: New model ensemble reveals how forcing uncertainty and model structure alter climate simulated across CMIP generations of the Community Earth System Model
New model ensemble reveals how forcing uncertainty and model structure alter climate simulated across CMIP generations of the Community Earth System Model Open
Climate simulation uncertainties arise from internal variability, model structure, and external forcings. Model intercomparisons (such as the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project; CMIP) and single-model large ensembles have provided insig…
View article: CICE on a C-grid: new momentum, stress, and transport schemes for CICEv6.5
CICE on a C-grid: new momentum, stress, and transport schemes for CICEv6.5 Open
This article presents the C-grid implementation of the CICE sea ice model, including the C-grid discretization of the momentum equation, the boundary conditions, and the modifications to the code required to use the incremental remapping t…
View article: Comment on gmd-2023-125
Comment on gmd-2023-125 Open
Abstract. Climate simulation uncertainties arise from internal variability, model structure, and external forcings. Model intercomparisons (such as the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project; CMIP) and single-model large ensembles have prov…
View article: Comment on egusphere-2023-1337
Comment on egusphere-2023-1337 Open
Abstract. An accurate representation of the annual evolution of surface albedo, especially during the melting period, is crucial to obtain reliable climate model predictions. Therefore, the output of the surface albedo scheme of the couple…
View article: Comment on gmd-2023-125
Comment on gmd-2023-125 Open
Abstract. Climate simulation uncertainties arise from internal variability, model structure, and external forcings. Model intercomparisons (such as the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project; CMIP) and single-model large ensembles have prov…
View article: New model ensemble reveals how forcing uncertainty and model structure alter climate simulated across CMIP generations of the Community Earth System Model
New model ensemble reveals how forcing uncertainty and model structure alter climate simulated across CMIP generations of the Community Earth System Model Open
Climate simulation uncertainties arise from internal variability, model structure, and external forcings. Model intercomparisons (such as the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project; CMIP) and single-model large ensembles have provided insig…
View article: High‐Latitude Stratospheric Aerosol Injection to Preserve the Arctic
High‐Latitude Stratospheric Aerosol Injection to Preserve the Arctic Open
Stratospheric aerosol injection (SAI) has been shown in climate models to reduce some impacts of global warming in the Arctic, including the loss of sea ice, permafrost thaw, and reduction of Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS) mass; SAI at high la…
View article: Assessing Responses and Impacts of Solar climate intervention on the Earth system with stratospheric aerosol injection (ARISE-SAI): protocol and initial results from the first simulations
Assessing Responses and Impacts of Solar climate intervention on the Earth system with stratospheric aerosol injection (ARISE-SAI): protocol and initial results from the first simulations Open
Solar climate intervention using stratospheric aerosol injection is a proposed method of reducing global mean temperatures to reduce the worst consequences of climate change. A detailed assessment of responses and impacts of such an interv…
View article: The Seasonal-to-Multiyear Large Ensemble (SMYLE) prediction system using the Community Earth System Model version 2
The Seasonal-to-Multiyear Large Ensemble (SMYLE) prediction system using the Community Earth System Model version 2 Open
The potential for multiyear prediction of impactful Earth system change remains relatively underexplored compared to shorter (subseasonal to seasonal) and longer (decadal) timescales. In this study, we introduce a new initialized predictio…
View article: High-latitude stratospheric aerosol injection to preserve the Arctic
High-latitude stratospheric aerosol injection to preserve the Arctic Open
Stratospheric aerosol injection (SAI) has been shown in climate models to reduce some impacts of global warming in the Arctic, including the loss of sea ice, permafrost thaw, and reduction of Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS) mass; SAI at high la…
View article: Enhanced simulated early 21st century Arctic sea ice loss due to CMIP6 biomass burning emissions
Enhanced simulated early 21st century Arctic sea ice loss due to CMIP6 biomass burning emissions Open
The mechanisms underlying decadal variability in Arctic sea ice remain actively debated. Here, we show that variability in boreal biomass burning (BB) emissions strongly influences simulated Arctic sea ice on multidecadal time scales. In p…
View article: Beyond Visuals : Examining the Experiences of Geoscience Professionals With Vision Disabilities in Accessing Data Visualizations
Beyond Visuals : Examining the Experiences of Geoscience Professionals With Vision Disabilities in Accessing Data Visualizations Open
Data visualizations are ubiquitous in all disciplines and have become the primary means of analysing data and communicating insights. However, the predominant reliance on visual encoding of data continues to create accessibility barriers f…
View article: Reply on RC2
Reply on RC2 Open
Solar climate intervention using stratospheric aerosol injection is a proposed method of reducing global mean temperatures to reduce some of the consequences of climate change. A detailed assessment of responses and impacts of such an inte…
View article: Comment on egusphere-2022-125
Comment on egusphere-2022-125 Open
Abstract. Solar climate intervention using stratospheric aerosol injection is a proposed method of reducing global mean temperatures to reduce some of the consequences of climate change. A detailed assessment of responses and impacts of su…
View article: Effects of increasing the category resolution of the sea ice thickness distribution in a coupled climate model on Arctic and Antarctic sea ice
Effects of increasing the category resolution of the sea ice thickness distribution in a coupled climate model on Arctic and Antarctic sea ice Open
Earth and Space Science Open Archive This preprint has been submitted to and is under consideration at Journal of Geophysical Research - Oceans. ESSOAr is a venue for early communication or feedback before peer review. Data may be prelimin…
View article: Comment on egusphere-2022-125
Comment on egusphere-2022-125 Open
Abstract. Solar climate intervention using stratospheric aerosol injection is a proposed method of reducing global mean temperatures to reduce some of the consequences of climate change. A detailed assessment of responses and impacts of su…
View article: Reply on AC3
Reply on AC3 Open
Abstract. Solar climate intervention using stratospheric aerosol injection is a proposed method of reducing global mean temperatures to reduce some of the consequences of climate change. A detailed assessment of responses and impacts of su…
View article: Reply on CC3
Reply on CC3 Open
Solar climate intervention using stratospheric aerosol injection is a proposed method of reducing global mean temperatures to reduce some of the consequences of climate change. A detailed assessment of responses and impacts of such an inte…
View article: Assessing Responses and Impacts of Solar climate intervention on the Earth system with stratospheric aerosol injection (ARISE-SAI)
Assessing Responses and Impacts of Solar climate intervention on the Earth system with stratospheric aerosol injection (ARISE-SAI) Open
Solar climate intervention using stratospheric aerosol injection is a proposed method of reducing global mean temperatures to reduce some of the consequences of climate change. A detailed assessment of responses and impacts of such an inte…
View article: Less Surface Sea Ice Melt in the CESM2 Improves Arctic Sea Ice Simulation With Minimal Non‐Polar Climate Impacts
Less Surface Sea Ice Melt in the CESM2 Improves Arctic Sea Ice Simulation With Minimal Non‐Polar Climate Impacts Open
This study isolates the influence of sea ice mean state on pre‐industrial climate and transient 1850–2100 climate change within a fully coupled global model: The Community Earth System Model version 2 (CESM2). The CESM2 sea ice model physi…