Explanipedia

Navigating the Evolving Landscape of External Financing in Sub-Saharan Africa Open

Adrian Alter, Khushboo Khandelwal, Thibault Lemaire, Hamza Mighri, Can Sever , et al. · 2025

The landscape of external funding flows to sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) has evolved significantly over the past two decades. This paper provides an overview of the non-official external financing sources, emphasizing the trade-offs between for…

Perspectives économiques régionales : Afrique subsaharienne. Avril 2024. Open

Wenjie Chen, Luc Eyraud, Catherine Pattillo, Adrian Alter, Cleary Haines , et al. · 2024

Après quatre années mouvementées, les perspectives pour l'Afrique subsaharienne s'améliorent progressivement. La croissance va passer de 3,4 % en 2023 à 3,8 % en 2024, et près des deux tiers des pays s'attendent à une croissance plus élevé…

Perspetivas Económicas Regionais: África Subsariana. ABR 2024 Open

Perspetivas Económicas, Regionais Fundo, Monetário Internacional, Wenjie Chen, Luc Eyraud , et al. · 2024

Após quatro anos turbulentos, as perspetivas para a África Subsariana estão gradualmente a melhorar. O crescimento passará de 3,4%, em 2023, para 3,8%, em 2024, com cerca de dois terços dos países a antecipar um crescimento mais rápido. Es…

Financial Stability in a Higher-for-Longer Interest Rate Environment The Case of the Middle East and North Africa Open

Adrian Alter · 2024

Perspectives économiques regionals, Moyen-orient et asie centrale, Octobre 2023 Open

Azhin Abdulkarim, Nadia Ali, Adrian Alter, Anja Baum, Vizhdan Boranova , et al. · 2023

Au Moyen-Orient et en Asie centrale, les effets conjugués de vents contraires à l'échelle mondiale, de difficultés intérieures et de risques géopolitiques pèsent sur la dynamique économique, et une grande incertitude entoure les perspectiv…

Commercial Real Estate in Crisis: Evidence from Transaction-Level Data Open

Adrian Alter, Elizabeth M. Mahoney, Cristian Badarinza · 2023

During the past two decades, the commercial real estate (CRE) market has been impacted by major disruptions, including the global financial crisis and the Covid-19 pandemic.Using granular data from the U.S., we document how these crises ha…

Informality, Development, and the Business Cycle in North Africa Open

Jérôme Vacher, Matthew Gaertner, Priscilla Muthoora, Adrian Alter, Olivier Bizimana , et al. · 2022

Non-Primary Home Buyers, Shadow Banking, and the US Housing Market Open

Adrian Alter, Zaki Dernaoui · 2020

This paper studies the US housing market using a proprietary and comprehensive dataset covering nearly 90 million residential transactions over 1998–2018. First, we document the evolution of different types of investment purchases such as …

Non-Primary Home Buyers, Shadow Banking, and the US Housing Market Open

Adrian Alter, Zaki Dernaoui · 2020

This paper studies the US housing market using a proprietary and comprehensive dataset covering nearly 90 million residential transactions over 1998–2018. First, we document the evolution of different types of investment purchases such as …

Household Debt and House Prices-at-risk: A Tale of Two Countries Open

Adrian Alter, Elizabeth M. Mahoney · 2020

To identify and quantify downside risks to housing markets, we apply the house price-at-risk methodology to a sample of 37 cities across the United States and Canada using quarterly data from 1983 to 2018.This paper finds that downside ris…

Non-Primary Home Buyers, Shadow Banking, and the US Housing Market Open

Adrian Alter, Zaki Dernaoui · 2020

Household Debt and House Prices-at-Risk: A Tale of Two Countries Open

Adrian Alter, Elizabeth M. Mahoney · 2020

Digging Deeper--Evidence on the Effects of Macroprudential Policies from a New Database Open

Zohair Alam, Adrian Alter, Jesse Eiseman, Gastón Gelos, Heedon Kang , et al. · 2019

This paper introduces a new comprehensive database of macroprudential policies, which combines information from various sources and covers 134 countries from January 1990 to December 2016. Using these data, we first confirm that loan-targe…

Growth at Risk: Concept and Application in IMF Country Surveillance Open

Ananthakrishnan Prasad, Selim Elekdağ, Phakawa Jeasakul, Romain Lafarguette, Adrian Alter , et al. · 2019

The growth-at-risk (GaR) framework links current macrofinancial conditions to the distribution of future growth. Its main strength is its ability to assess the entire distribution of future GDP growth (in contrast to point forecasts), quan…

Growth at Risk: Concept and Application in IMF Country Surveillance Open

Ananthakrishnan Prasad, Selim Elekdağ, Phakawa Jeasakul, Romain Lafarguette, Adrian Alter , et al. · 2019

The growth-at-risk (GaR) framework links current macrofinancial conditions to the distribution of future growth.Its main strength is its ability to assess the entire distribution of future GDP growth (in contrast to point forecasts), quant…

Digging Deeper--Evidence on the Effects of Macroprudential Policies from a New Database Open

Zohair Alam, Adrian Alter, Jesse Eiseman, Gastón Gelos, Heedon Kang , et al. · 2019

This paper introduces a new comprehensive database of macroprudential policies, which combines information from various sources and covers 134 countries from January 1990 to December 2016.Using these data, we first confirm that loan-target…

Growth at Risk: Concept and Application in IMF Country Surveillance Open

Ananthakrishnan Prasad, Selim Elekdağ, Phakawa Jeasakul, Romain Lafarguette, Adrian Alter , et al. · 2019

Digging Deeper--Evidence on the Effects of Macroprudential Policies from a New Database Open

Zohair Alam, Adrian Alter, Jesse Elseman, Gastón Gelos, Heedon Kang , et al. · 2019

House Price Synchronicity, Banking Integration, and Global Financial Conditions Open

Adrian Alter, Jane Dokko, Dulani Seneviratne · 2018

We examine the relationship between house price synchronicity and global financial conditions across 40 countries and about 70 cities over the past three decades. The role played by cross-border banking flows in residential property market…

Understanding the Macro-Financial Effects of Household Debt: A Global Perspective Open

Adrian Alter, Alan Feng, Nico Valckx · 2018

House Price Synchronicity, Banking Integration, and Global Financial Conditions Open

Adrian Alter, Jane Dokko, Dulani Seneviratne · 2018

We examine the relationship between house price synchronicity and global financial conditions across 40 countries and about 70 cities over the past three decades.The role played by cross-border banking flows in residential property markets…

Understanding the Macro-Financial Effects of Household Debt: A Global Perspective Open

Adrian Alter, Alan Feng, Nico Valckx · 2018

We confirm the negative relationship between household debt and future GDP growth documented in Mian, Sufi, and Verner (2017) for a wider set of countries over the period 1950-2016.Three mutually reinforcing mechanisms help explain this re…

House Price Synchronicity, Banking Integration, and Global Financial Conditions Open

Adrian Alter, Jane Dokko, Dulani Seneviratne · 2018

Global Financial Stability Report, October 2016 Open

Luisa Menjivar, Jorge Salazar, Ali Al-Eyd, Adrian Alter, Nicolás Arregui , et al. · 2016

The current report finds that short-term risks to global financial stability have abated since April 2016, but that medium-term risks continue to build. Financial institutions in advanced economies face a number of cyclical and structural …

Emerging Market Corporate Leverage and Global Financial Conditions Open

Adrian Alter, Selim Elekdağ · 2016

Emerging Market Corporate Leverage and Global Financial Conditions Open

Adrian Alter, Selim Elekdağ · 2016

Centrality-based Capital Allocations Open

Adrian Alter, Ben R. Craig, Peter Raupach · 2015

This paper looks at the effect of capital rules on a banking system that is connected through correlated credit exposures and interbank lending. Keeping total capital in the system constant, the reallocation rules, which combine individual…

Centrality-based Capital Allocations Open

Adrian Alter, Ben R. Craig, Peter Raupach · 2015

This paper looks at the effect of capital rules on a banking system that is connected through correlated credit exposures and interbank lending. Keeping total capital in the system constant, the reallocation rules, which combine individual…

Centrality-Based Capital Allocations Open

Adrian Alter, Ben R. Craig, Peter Raupach · 2015

Public Investment in a Developing Country Facing Resource Depletion Open

Adrian Alter, Matteo Ghilardi, Dalia Hakura · 2015

This paper analyzes the tradeoffs between savings, debt and public investment in the Republic of Congo, a developing country with looming oil exhaustibility concerns. Our results highlight the risks to fiscal and capital sustainability of …

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