Anton Korinek
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View article: AI Agents for Economic Research
AI Agents for Economic Research Open
View article: AI Agents for Economic Research
AI Agents for Economic Research Open
View article: Foundational Challenges in Assuring Alignment and Safety of Large Language Models
Foundational Challenges in Assuring Alignment and Safety of Large Language Models Open
This work identifies 18 foundational challenges in assuring the alignment and safety of large language models (LLMs). These challenges are organized into three different categories: scientific understanding of LLMs, development and deploym…
View article: Fiscal Monitor, April 2024
Fiscal Monitor, April 2024 Open
Even as the global economic outlook is stabilizing, fiscal policy continues to struggle with legacies of high debt and deficits, while facing new challenges. Public finances risks are acute this year as over 80 economies and economic areas…
View article: Scenarios for the Transition to AGI
Scenarios for the Transition to AGI Open
We analyze how output and wages behave under different scenarios for technological progress that may culminate in Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), defined as the ability of AI systems to perform all tasks that humans can perform. We …
View article: Scenarios for the Transition to AGI
Scenarios for the Transition to AGI Open
We analyze how output and wages behave under different scenarios for technological progress that may culminate in Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), defined as the ability of AI systems to perform all tasks that humans can perform.We a…
View article: Scenarios for the Transition to AGI
Scenarios for the Transition to AGI Open
View article: Scenarios for the Transition to AGI
Scenarios for the Transition to AGI Open
View article: Concentrating Intelligence: Scaling and Market Structure in Artificial Intelligence
Concentrating Intelligence: Scaling and Market Structure in Artificial Intelligence Open
View article: Generative AI for Economic Research: LLMs Learn to Collaborate and Reason
Generative AI for Economic Research: LLMs Learn to Collaborate and Reason Open
View article: Market Concentration Implications of Foundation Models
Market Concentration Implications of Foundation Models Open
We analyze the structure of the market for foundation models, i.e., large AI models such as those that power ChatGPT and that are adaptable to downstream uses, and we examine the implications for competition policy and regulation. We obser…
View article: Open-Sourcing Highly Capable Foundation Models: An evaluation of risks, benefits, and alternative methods for pursuing open-source objectives
Open-Sourcing Highly Capable Foundation Models: An evaluation of risks, benefits, and alternative methods for pursuing open-source objectives Open
Recent decisions by leading AI labs to either open-source their models or to restrict access to their models has sparked debate about whether, and how, increasingly capable AI models should be shared. Open-sourcing in AI typically refers t…
View article: Frontier AI Regulation: Managing Emerging Risks to Public Safety
Frontier AI Regulation: Managing Emerging Risks to Public Safety Open
Advanced AI models hold the promise of tremendous benefits for humanity, but society needs to proactively manage the accompanying risks. In this paper, we focus on what we term "frontier AI" models: highly capable foundation models that co…
View article: Language Models and Cognitive Automation for Economic Research
Language Models and Cognitive Automation for Economic Research Open
Large language models (LLMs) such as ChatGPT have the potential to revolutionize research in economics and other disciplines.I describe 25 use cases along six domains in which LLMs are starting to become useful as both research assistants …
View article: Language Models and Cognitive Automation for Economic Research
Language Models and Cognitive Automation for Economic Research Open
View article: Open-Sourcing Highly Capable Foundation Models: An Evaluation of Risks, Benefits, and Alternative Methods for Pursuing Open-Source Objectives
Open-Sourcing Highly Capable Foundation Models: An Evaluation of Risks, Benefits, and Alternative Methods for Pursuing Open-Source Objectives Open
View article: Long-Term Debt Propagation and Real Reversals
Long-Term Debt Propagation and Real Reversals Open
View article: Preparing for the (Non-Existent?) Future of Work
Preparing for the (Non-Existent?) Future of Work Open
This paper considers the labor market and distributional implications of a scenario of ever-moreintelligent autonomous machines that substitute for human labor and drive down wages.We lay out three concerns arising from such a scenario and…
View article: Aligned with Whom? Direct and social goals for AI systems
Aligned with Whom? Direct and social goals for AI systems Open
As artificial intelligence (AI) becomes more powerful and widespread, the AI alignment problem - how to ensure that AI systems pursue the goals that we want them to pursue - has garnered growing attention. This article distinguishes two ty…
View article: Aligned with Whom? Direct and Social Goals for AI Systems
Aligned with Whom? Direct and Social Goals for AI Systems Open
As artificial intelligence (AI) becomes more powerful and widespread, the AI alignment problem -how to ensure that AI systems pursue the goals that we want them to pursue-has garnered growing attention.This article distinguishes two types …
View article: Cyberattack on Abank
Cyberattack on Abank Open
View article: Preparing for the (Non-Existent?) Future of Work
Preparing for the (Non-Existent?) Future of Work Open
View article: Aligned with Whom? Direct and Social Goals for Ai Systems
Aligned with Whom? Direct and Social Goals for Ai Systems Open
View article: Technological Progress and Artificial Intelligence
Technological Progress and Artificial Intelligence Open
Advances in artificial intelligence and automation have the potential to be labor-saving and to increase inequality and poverty around the globe. They also give rise to winner-takes-all dynamics that advantage highly skilled individuals an…
View article: Technological Progress, Artificial Intelligence, and Inclusive Growth
Technological Progress, Artificial Intelligence, and Inclusive Growth Open
Advances in artificial intelligence and automation have the potential to be labor-saving and to increase inequality and poverty around the globe. They also give rise to winner-takes-all dynamics that advantage highly skilled individuals an…
View article: Technological Progress, Artificial Intelligence, and Inclusive Growth
Technological Progress, Artificial Intelligence, and Inclusive Growth Open
Advances in artificial intelligence and automation have the potential to be labor-saving and to increase inequality and poverty around the globe.They also give rise to winner-takes-all dynamics that advantage highly skilled individuals and…
View article: AI and Shared Prosperity
AI and Shared Prosperity Open
Future advances in AI that automate away human labor may have stark implications for labor markets and inequality. This paper proposes a framework to analyze the effects of specific types of AI systems on the labor market, based on how muc…
View article: Covid-19 driven advances in automation and artificial intelligence risk exacerbating economic inequality
Covid-19 driven advances in automation and artificial intelligence risk exacerbating economic inequality Open
Anton Korinek and Joseph E Stiglitz make the case for a deliberate effort to steer technological advances in a direction that enhances the role of human workers
View article: Artificial Intelligence, Globalization, and Strategies for Economic Development
Artificial Intelligence, Globalization, and Strategies for Economic Development Open
Progress in artificial intelligence and related forms of automation technologies threatens to reverse the gains that developing countries and emerging markets have experienced from integrating into the world economy over the past half cent…
View article: Artificial Intelligence, Globalization, and Strategies for Economic Development
Artificial Intelligence, Globalization, and Strategies for Economic Development Open