Augusto Cerqua
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View article: Femicides, anti-violence centers, and policy targeting
Femicides, anti-violence centers, and policy targeting Open
View article: On the (Mis)Use of Machine Learning With Panel Data
On the (Mis)Use of Machine Learning With Panel Data Open
We provide the first systematic assessment of data leakage issues in the use of machine learning on panel data. Our organising framework clarifies why neglecting the cross‐sectional and longitudinal structure of these data leads to hard‐to…
View article: The Bright Side of Breaking Up: How Territorial Fragmentation Increases Political Engagement in Local Communities
The Bright Side of Breaking Up: How Territorial Fragmentation Increases Political Engagement in Local Communities Open
Territorial reforms of administrative boundaries primarily aim at pursuing cost and administrative efficiency objectives, but their impact on the political engagement of local communities remains unclear. Moreover, while amalgamations have…
View article: The Causal Effect of Municipal Mergers on Local Institutional Quality
The Causal Effect of Municipal Mergers on Local Institutional Quality Open
View article: Signature Spending Politics <br>
Signature Spending Politics Open
View article: Pay Incentives in Politics: Evaluating a Large-Scale Salary Increase for Local Politicians
Pay Incentives in Politics: Evaluating a Large-Scale Salary Increase for Local Politicians Open
View article: The Causal Relationship between Jurisdiction Size and Institutional Quality
The Causal Relationship between Jurisdiction Size and Institutional Quality Open
View article: The Municipal Administration Quality Index: The Italian case
The Municipal Administration Quality Index: The Italian case Open
View article: Causal Inference and Policy Evaluation Without a Control Group
Causal Inference and Policy Evaluation Without a Control Group Open
View article: Pay Incentives in Politics: Evaluating a Large-Scale Salary Increase for Local Politicians
Pay Incentives in Politics: Evaluating a Large-Scale Salary Increase for Local Politicians Open
View article: 'Dead Man Working': A Place-based Approach to Workplace Fatalities
'Dead Man Working': A Place-based Approach to Workplace Fatalities Open
View article: Pay Incentives in Politics: Evaluating a Large-Scale Salary Increase for Local Politicians
Pay Incentives in Politics: Evaluating a Large-Scale Salary Increase for Local Politicians Open
View article: Pay Incentives to Run for Local Governments
Pay Incentives to Run for Local Governments Open
View article: Measuring Territorial Political Representation
Measuring Territorial Political Representation Open
View article: On the (Mis)Use of Machine Learning with Panel Data
On the (Mis)Use of Machine Learning with Panel Data Open
We provide the first systematic assessment of data leakage issues in the use of machine learning on panel data. Our organizing framework clarifies why neglecting the cross-sectional and longitudinal structure of these data leads to hard-to…
View article: A decade of Eurasian integration: An ex-post non-parametric assessment of the Eurasian economic union
A decade of Eurasian integration: An ex-post non-parametric assessment of the Eurasian economic union Open
This paper provides a sound ex-post evaluation of the impact of the Eurasian integration on member countries’ bilateral trade after a decade of implementation. We overcome the main limitations of current empirical analyses on the effects o…
View article: On the (Mis)Use of Machine Learning with Panel Data
On the (Mis)Use of Machine Learning with Panel Data Open
View article: Femicides, Anti-Violence Centers, and Public Salience: A Territorial Approach
Femicides, Anti-Violence Centers, and Public Salience: A Territorial Approach Open
View article: Do Green Parties Affect Local Environmental Outcomes?
Do Green Parties Affect Local Environmental Outcomes? Open
View article: Femicides, Anti-Violence Centers, and Public Salience
Femicides, Anti-Violence Centers, and Public Salience Open
View article: Pay Incentives in Politics: Evaluating a Large-Scale Salary Increase for Local Politicians
Pay Incentives in Politics: Evaluating a Large-Scale Salary Increase for Local Politicians Open
View article: Causal inference and policy evaluation without a control group
Causal inference and policy evaluation without a control group Open
Without a control group, the most widespread methodologies for estimating causal effects cannot be applied. To fill this gap, we propose the Machine Learning Control Method, a new approach for causal panel analysis that estimates causal pa…
View article: The long-term effects of mass layoffs: do local economies (ever) recover?
The long-term effects of mass layoffs: do local economies (ever) recover? Open
This article investigates the long-term reaction of local labor markets (LLMs) to a mass layoff in a manufacturing plant. We adopt a non-parametric generalization of the difference-in-differences estimator expressly developed for time-seri…
View article: Electoral earthquake: Local shocks and authoritarian voting
Electoral earthquake: Local shocks and authoritarian voting Open
A growing literature has highlighted the role of economic grievances, global transformations, cultural cleavages and long-term trends of isolation and decline in engendering political discontent. However, this literature is silent on the p…
View article: Losing Control (Group)? The Machine Learning Control Method for Counterfactual Forecasting
Losing Control (Group)? The Machine Learning Control Method for Counterfactual Forecasting Open
View article: The Bright Side of Breaking Up: How Territorial Fragmentation Increases Political Engagement in Local Communities
The Bright Side of Breaking Up: How Territorial Fragmentation Increases Political Engagement in Local Communities Open
View article: I will survive! The impact of place-based policies when public transfers fade out
I will survive! The impact of place-based policies when public transfers fade out Open
Are place-based policies capable of taking lagging areas to a higher growth trajectory permanently? We answer this crucial question by investigating what happens when strongly subsidized regions experience a substantial reduction in fundin…
View article: GPU-accelerated Monte Carlo simulation of electron and photon interactions for radiotherapy applications
GPU-accelerated Monte Carlo simulation of electron and photon interactions for radiotherapy applications Open
Objective . The Monte Carlo simulation software is a valuable tool in radiation therapy, in particular to achieve the needed accuracy in the dose evaluation for the treatment plans optimisation. The current challenge in this field is the t…
View article: Can regional policies shape migration flows?
Can regional policies shape migration flows? Open
View article: Local inequalities of the COVID-19 crisis
Local inequalities of the COVID-19 crisis Open