Aurelio Tobı́as
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View article: Desert Sand and Dust Storms and Desert Dust Episodes: Major Patterns to be Accounted for to Protect the Health of Exposed Population: A Review
Desert Sand and Dust Storms and Desert Dust Episodes: Major Patterns to be Accounted for to Protect the Health of Exposed Population: A Review Open
View article: The association between total precipitation and diarrhea morbidity: A multicountry study across diverse climate zones
The association between total precipitation and diarrhea morbidity: A multicountry study across diverse climate zones Open
Background: Although substantial evidence has shown that precipitation is associated with diarrhea in low- and middle-income countries, few multicountry studies have focused on middle- and high-income countries to comprehensively explore t…
View article: Seasonality in Mortality and Health: Environmental and Demographic Perspectives
Seasonality in Mortality and Health: Environmental and Demographic Perspectives Open
View article: Climate change and human adaptability: an integrated framework for historical insights and future capacity in Japan
Climate change and human adaptability: an integrated framework for historical insights and future capacity in Japan Open
Despite substantial evidence on temporal variations in temperature-mortality associations, the historical pace (direction and magnitude) of adaptation to climate change remains unclear. We employed a novel integrated framework to investiga…
View article: Determining Location-Specific Thresholds for Heat Warning Systems to Mitigate Heatstroke Mortality in Japan
Determining Location-Specific Thresholds for Heat Warning Systems to Mitigate Heatstroke Mortality in Japan Open
View article: Prognostic accuracy of clinical markers of postpartum bleeding in predicting maternal mortality or severe morbidity: a WHO individual participant data meta-analysis
Prognostic accuracy of clinical markers of postpartum bleeding in predicting maternal mortality or severe morbidity: a WHO individual participant data meta-analysis Open
View article: Comparing mortality burdens attributable to ambient temperature and seasonal variation across major causes of death in Spain
Comparing mortality burdens attributable to ambient temperature and seasonal variation across major causes of death in Spain Open
Background: Seasonal variation in mortality results from a combination of environmental, biological, and social factors, with ambient temperature recognized as a key contributor. However, comprehensive assessments disentangling temperature…
View article: Global excess deaths associated with heatwaves in 2023 and the contribution of human-induced climate change
Global excess deaths associated with heatwaves in 2023 and the contribution of human-induced climate change Open
View article: Associations of ambient exposure to benzene, toluene, ethylbenzene, and xylene with daily mortality: a multicountry time-series study in 757 global locations
Associations of ambient exposure to benzene, toluene, ethylbenzene, and xylene with daily mortality: a multicountry time-series study in 757 global locations Open
Noncommunicable Chronic Diseases-National Science and Technology Major Project, National Natural Science Foundation of China, Shanghai Municipal Science and Technology Major Project, Shanghai B&R Joint Laboratory Project, and Shanghai Inte…
View article: Short-term association between hot nights and mortality: a multicountry analysis in 178 locations considering hourly ambient temperature
Short-term association between hot nights and mortality: a multicountry analysis in 178 locations considering hourly ambient temperature Open
View article: Desert dust, sandstorms, and infectious diseases: A scoping review
Desert dust, sandstorms, and infectious diseases: A scoping review Open
View article: Overview of current limitations and challenges in data and methods for assessing the health effects of sand and dust storms under the climate change scenario
Overview of current limitations and challenges in data and methods for assessing the health effects of sand and dust storms under the climate change scenario Open
Sand and dust storms (SDS) present significant challenges in assessing their health effects, particularly as climate change may exacerbate desertification in some regions, potentially leading to more frequent and intense dust storms. This …
View article: Lethal Heat and Humidity Events
Lethal Heat and Humidity Events Open
Climate change increasingly threatens global health as more frequent extreme heat events, combined with varying humidity levels, exacerbate both direct and indirect health risks, strain energy resources, and lead to economic loss. Vulnerab…
View article: Do weekends matter in unraveling the impact of acute temperature exposure on the risk of daily mortality?
Do weekends matter in unraveling the impact of acute temperature exposure on the risk of daily mortality? Open
View article: Flexible Distributed Lag Models for Count Data Using <tt>mgcv</tt>
Flexible Distributed Lag Models for Count Data Using mgcv Open
In this tutorial we present the use of R package mgcv to implement Distributed Lag Non-Linear Models (DLNMs) in a flexible way. Interpretation of smoothing splines as random quantities enables approximate Bayesian inference, which in turn …
View article: Uterotonic agents for preventing postpartum haemorrhage: a network meta-analysis
Uterotonic agents for preventing postpartum haemorrhage: a network meta-analysis Open
Cochrane Library; Registration number: CD011689 and protocol [and previous versions] available via DOI: 10.1002/14651858.CD011689 [DOI: 10.1002/14651858.CD011689.pub3 and DOI: 10.1002/14651858.CD011689.pub2].
View article: Multi-country multi-city study on heterogeneous impacts of urbanicity on heat-related mortality
Multi-country multi-city study on heterogeneous impacts of urbanicity on heat-related mortality Open
Urbanicity might have complicated impacts on heat-related mortality, intertwined with national and regional context; however, the relevant evidence is limited. This multi-country study investigated the complex roles of urbanicity on heat-r…
View article: Using time series studies to unravel the short-term health effects of particulate matter air pollution in Eastern Mediterranean Region
Using time series studies to unravel the short-term health effects of particulate matter air pollution in Eastern Mediterranean Region Open
Peer reviewed
View article: Are there more cold deaths than heat deaths?
Are there more cold deaths than heat deaths? Open
Peer reviewed
View article: Toward a Cohort Perspective of Climate Epidemiology: The Case of Examining Intergenerational Inequalities in Susceptibility to Non-Optimal Temperatures in Japan
Toward a Cohort Perspective of Climate Epidemiology: The Case of Examining Intergenerational Inequalities in Susceptibility to Non-Optimal Temperatures in Japan Open
This nationwide, individual-level study adopted a novel cohort perspective to investigate how population susceptibility to short-term non-optimal temperature exposure varies across generations. Our findings revealed disparities in suscepti…
View article: Short-term exposure to desert dust and sandstorms and all-cause and cause-specific mortality and morbidity: A systematic review and meta-analysis
Short-term exposure to desert dust and sandstorms and all-cause and cause-specific mortality and morbidity: A systematic review and meta-analysis Open
Exposure to desert dust and sandstorms is linked to increased risks of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, as well as respiratory morbidity. The overall evidence quality for each exposure-outcome combination was assessed as moderate, a…
View article: A scoping review and thematic analysis of the effects of tropical cyclones on diarrheal diseases
A scoping review and thematic analysis of the effects of tropical cyclones on diarrheal diseases Open
Background: Tropical cyclones pose significant health risks and can trigger outbreaks of diarrheal diseases in affected populations. Although the effects of individual hazards, such as rainfall and flooding, on diarrheal diseases are well-…
View article: Knowledge of Sickle Cell Disease, Awareness of Sickle Cell Trait Status and Its Impact on Relationships Among Students at a Historically Black College
Knowledge of Sickle Cell Disease, Awareness of Sickle Cell Trait Status and Its Impact on Relationships Among Students at a Historically Black College Open
Sickle cell disease (SCD) primarily affects people of African American descent in the United States. Many individuals do not know their sickle cell trait (SCT) status or might not be aware of SCD. The purpose of this study was to assess SC…
View article: Mortalidad atribuible al calor en España durante el verano de 2025
Mortalidad atribuible al calor en España durante el verano de 2025 Open
View article: Prognostic Accuracy of Clinical Markers of Postpartum Bleeding in Predicting Maternal Mortality or Severe Morbidity: A Who Individual Participant Data Meta-Analysis
Prognostic Accuracy of Clinical Markers of Postpartum Bleeding in Predicting Maternal Mortality or Severe Morbidity: A Who Individual Participant Data Meta-Analysis Open
View article: Sand and dust storms: a growing global health threat calls for international health studies to support policy action
Sand and dust storms: a growing global health threat calls for international health studies to support policy action Open
View article: Source apportionment of ultrafine particles in urban Europe
Source apportionment of ultrafine particles in urban Europe Open
There is a body of evidence that ultrafine particles (UFP, those with diameters ≤ 100 nm) might have significant impacts on health. Accordingly, identifying sources of UFP is essential to develop abatement policies. This study focuses on u…
View article: Meteorological factors, population immunity, and COVID-19 incidence: A global multi-city analysis
Meteorological factors, population immunity, and COVID-19 incidence: A global multi-city analysis Open
Objectives: While COVID-19 continues to challenge the world, meteorological variables are thought to impact COVID-19 transmission. Previous studies showed evidence of negative associations between high temperature and absolute humidity on …
View article: Association of holidays and the day of the week with suicide risk: multicountry, two stage, time series study
Association of holidays and the day of the week with suicide risk: multicountry, two stage, time series study Open
Objectives To assess the short term temporal variations in suicide risk related to the day of the week and national holidays in multiple countries. Design Multicountry, two stage, time series design. Setting Data from 740 locations in 26 c…
View article: Time to Act for Clean Air for All in the WHO Eastern Mediterranean Region; Strategic Actions for the Health Sector
Time to Act for Clean Air for All in the WHO Eastern Mediterranean Region; Strategic Actions for the Health Sector Open
The WHO Eastern Mediterranean Region (EMR), encompassing nearly 745 million people across 22 countries, faces significant environmental health challenges [1, 2]. Every year, environmental health risks cause more than one million premature …