Ben R. Craig
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View article: Do Market-Based Networks Reflect True Exposures between Banks?
Do Market-Based Networks Reflect True Exposures between Banks? Open
View article: Constructing banking networks under decreasing costs of link formation
Constructing banking networks under decreasing costs of link formation Open
The structure of networks plays a central role in the behavior of financial systems and their response to policy. Real-world networks, however, are rarely directly observable: banks’ assets and liabilities are typically known, but not who …
View article: Two Approaches to Predicting the Path of the COVID-19 Pandemic: Is One Better?
Two Approaches to Predicting the Path of the COVID-19 Pandemic: Is One Better? Open
We compare two types of models used to predict the spread of the coronavirus, both of which have been used by government officials and agencies. We describe the nature of the difference between the two approaches and their advantages and l…
View article: Modeling Behavioral Responses to COVID-19
Modeling Behavioral Responses to COVID-19 Open
Many models have been developed to forecast the spread of the COVID-19 virus. We present one that is enhanced to allow individuals to alter their behavior in response to the virus. We show how adding this feature to the model both changes …
View article: How Well Does the Cleveland Fed’s Systemic Risk Indicator Predict Stress?
How Well Does the Cleveland Fed’s Systemic Risk Indicator Predict Stress? Open
A number of financial stress measures were developed after the financial crisis of 2007–2009 in the hope that they could provide regulators with advance warning of conditions that might warrant a corrective response. The Cleveland Fed’s sy…
View article: Improving Epidemic Modeling with Networks
Improving Epidemic Modeling with Networks Open
Many of the models used to track, forecast, and inform the response to epidemics such as COVID-19 assume that everyone has an equal chance of encountering those who are infected with a disease. But this assumption does not reflect the fact…
View article: Intermediation in the Interbank Lending Market
Intermediation in the Interbank Lending Market Open
This paper studies systemic risk in the interbank market. We first establish that in the German interbank lending market, a few large banks intermediate funding flows between many smaller periphery banks and that shocks to these intermedia…
View article: The Effect of Possible EU Diversification Requirements on the Risk of Banks’ Sovereign Bond Portfolios
The Effect of Possible EU Diversification Requirements on the Risk of Banks’ Sovereign Bond Portfolios Open
View article: The Souk al-Manakh Crash
The Souk al-Manakh Crash Open
From 1978 to 1981, Kuwait’s two stock markets, one the conservatively regulated “official” market and the other the unregulated Souk al-Manakh, exploded in size, growing to the point where the amount of capital actively traded exceeded tha…
View article: Re-Creating Banking Networks under Decreasing Fixed Costs
Re-Creating Banking Networks under Decreasing Fixed Costs Open
Theory emphasizes the central role of the structure of networks in the behavior of financial systems and their response to policy. Real-world networks, however, are rarely directly observable: Banks’ assets and liabilities are typically kn…
View article: Bitcoin’s Decentralized Decision Structure
Bitcoin’s Decentralized Decision Structure Open
With the introduction of bitcoin, the world got not just a new currency, it also got evidence that a decentralized control structure could work in practice for institutional governance. This Commentary discusses the advantages and disadvan…
View article: The Effect of Possible EU Diversification Requirements on the Risk of Banks' Sovereign Bond Portfolios
The Effect of Possible EU Diversification Requirements on the Risk of Banks' Sovereign Bond Portfolios Open
Recent policy discussion includes the introduction of diversification requirements for sovereign bond portfolios of European banks. In this paper, we evaluate the possible effects of these constraints on risk and diversification in the sov…
View article: The Effect of Possible EU Diversification Requirements on the Risk of Banks' Sovereign Bond Portfolios
The Effect of Possible EU Diversification Requirements on the Risk of Banks' Sovereign Bond Portfolios Open
View article: Recreating Banking Networks under Decreasing Fixed Costs
Recreating Banking Networks under Decreasing Fixed Costs Open
View article: Intermediation in the Interbank Lending Market
Intermediation in the Interbank Lending Market Open
View article: Payments Delay: Propagation and Punishment
Payments Delay: Propagation and Punishment Open
View article: The Federal Funds Market since the Financial Crisis
The Federal Funds Market since the Financial Crisis Open
Before the financial crisis, the federal funds market was a market in which domestic commercial banks with excess reserves would lend funds overnight to other commercial banks with temporary shortfalls in liquidity. What has happened to th…
View article: Effects of Diversification and Capital Buffers on the EU Sovereign-Bank Network
Effects of Diversification and Capital Buffers on the EU Sovereign-Bank Network Open
View article: Spatial Dependence and Data-Driven Networks of International Banks
Spatial Dependence and Data-Driven Networks of International Banks Open
This paper computes data-driven correlation networks based on the stock returns of international banks and conducts a comprehensive analysis of their topological properties. We first apply spatial-dependence methods to filter the effects o…
View article: Spatial Dependence and Data-Driven Networks of International Banks
Spatial Dependence and Data-Driven Networks of International Banks Open
This paper computes data-driven correlation networks based on the stock returns of international banks and conducts a comprehensive analysis of their topological properties. We first apply spatial-dependence methods to filter the effects o…
View article: Spatial Dependence and Data-Driven Networks of International Banks
Spatial Dependence and Data-Driven Networks of International Banks Open
View article: Credit Market Information Feedback
Credit Market Information Feedback Open
We examine how a combination of credit market and asset quality information can jointly be used in assessing bank franchise value. We find that expectations of future credit demand and future asset quality explain contemporaneous bank fran…
View article: Excess Reserves: Oceans of Cash
Excess Reserves: Oceans of Cash Open
Excess reserves—cash funds held by banks over and above the Federal Reserve's requirements—have grown dramatically since the financial crisis. Holding excess reserves is now much more attractive to banks because the cost of doing so is low…
View article: Centrality-based Capital Allocations
Centrality-based Capital Allocations Open
This paper looks at the effect of capital rules on a banking system that is connected through correlated credit exposures and interbank lending. Keeping total capital in the system constant, the reallocation rules, which combine individual…
View article: Centrality-based Capital Allocations
Centrality-based Capital Allocations Open
This paper looks at the effect of capital rules on a banking system that is connected through correlated credit exposures and interbank lending. Keeping total capital in the system constant, the reallocation rules, which combine individual…
View article: Centrality-Based Capital Allocations
Centrality-Based Capital Allocations Open
View article: Credit Market Information Feedback
Credit Market Information Feedback Open
View article: Intraday Liquidity and Delays in the European Payments System
Intraday Liquidity and Delays in the European Payments System Open
Parallel Sessions D: Systemic Risk Measurements and Networks
View article: Centrality-Based Capital Allocations
Centrality-Based Capital Allocations Open
View article: Centrality-Based Capital Allocations
Centrality-Based Capital Allocations Open