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View article: 2024 Standard Scenarios Report: A U.S. Electricity Sector Outlook
2024 Standard Scenarios Report: A U.S. Electricity Sector Outlook Open
The 2024 Edition of NREL's Standard Scenarios report documents assumptions and key highlights from a suite of forward-looking projections of the possible evolution of the U.S. electricity sector.
View article: Solar and Wind Forecast Error Reserve Sharing in a Multi-Utility Region
Solar and Wind Forecast Error Reserve Sharing in a Multi-Utility Region Open
As electricity systems transition to higher levels of solar and wind generation, electric system operators will likely need to hold additional reserves to manage the forecast error associated with these resources. Because wind and solar fo…
View article: Solar and Wind Forecast Error Reserve Sharing in a Multi-Utility Region
Solar and Wind Forecast Error Reserve Sharing in a Multi-Utility Region Open
As electricity systems transition to higher levels of solar and wind generation, electric system operators will likely need to hold additional reserves to manage solar and wind forecast error. Because solar and wind forecast errors tend to…
View article: Solar and Storage Integration in the Southeastern United States: Economics, Reliability, and Operations
Solar and Storage Integration in the Southeastern United States: Economics, Reliability, and Operations Open
Solar energy has the potential to be a core energy resource for the southeastern United States. To better understand the implications of higher levels of solar PV (27%-43% of total generation capacity) and electricity storage (13%-49% of p…
View article: Evaluating Transmission's Role in Resource Adequacy
Evaluating Transmission's Role in Resource Adequacy Open
Transmission can play an important role in ensuring systems are resource adequate, yet in many cases quantifying that value can be difficult. This presentation explores different ways to understand transmission resource adequacy value, and…
View article: Impacts of Spatial Resolution in a High-Fidelity Capacity Expansion Model: An ERCOT Case Study
Impacts of Spatial Resolution in a High-Fidelity Capacity Expansion Model: An ERCOT Case Study Open
Capacity expansion models are important tools in examining the evolution of the electric power sector. Embedded in these tools are many modeling choices with consequential impacts on computational burden and associated analysis. In this st…
View article: The interplay of future solar energy, land cover change, and their projected impacts on natural lands and croplands in the US
The interplay of future solar energy, land cover change, and their projected impacts on natural lands and croplands in the US Open
Projections for deep decarbonization require large amounts of solar energy, which may compete with other land uses such as agriculture, urbanization, and conservation of natural lands. Existing capacity expansion models do not integrate la…
View article: Solar, Wind, and Load Forecasting Dataset for MISO, NYISO, and SPP Balancing Areas
Solar, Wind, and Load Forecasting Dataset for MISO, NYISO, and SPP Balancing Areas Open
The Performance-based Energy Resource Feedback, Optimization, and Risk Management (PERFORM) program is an initiative intended to foster "a fundamental shift in grid management rooted in an understanding of asset risk and system risk" (ARPA…
View article: Solar Photovoltaics and Land-Based Wind Technical Potential and Supply Curves for the Contiguous United States (2023 Edition)
Solar Photovoltaics and Land-Based Wind Technical Potential and Supply Curves for the Contiguous United States (2023 Edition) Open
Estimates of the potential of renewable energy are essential for understanding how we can decarbonize our electric grid and economy. They provide key data for policymakers, land managers, and energy modelers by defining the quantity, quali…
View article: U.S. Wind and Solar PV Supply Curves with Future Land-use Change
U.S. Wind and Solar PV Supply Curves with Future Land-use Change Open
This dataset provides future supply curves representing the total resource potential for land-based wind and solar photovoltaic (PV) deployment in the conterminous United States after accounting for the impact of land-use and land-cover ch…
View article: 2023 Standard Scenarios Report: A U.S. Electricity Sector Outlook
2023 Standard Scenarios Report: A U.S. Electricity Sector Outlook Open
This report, originally published in December 2023, has been revised in January 2024. There were three changes in the revision. First, Anthony Lopez was added as a contributing author, as he had been erroneously omitted in the original pub…
View article: Impact of Detailed Parameter Modeling of Open-Cycle Gas Turbines on Production Cost Simulation
Impact of Detailed Parameter Modeling of Open-Cycle Gas Turbines on Production Cost Simulation Open
Flexible resources are increasingly important as variable renewable energy deployment in the power system increases. Although many systems are transitioning away from fossil fuels, open-cycle gas turbines are likely to play an important ba…
View article: Phase 1: Duke Energy Zero Emission Resource Integration Study (ZERIS); Phase 2: Carbon-Free Resource Integration Study for Duke Energy (Final Report)
Phase 1: Duke Energy Zero Emission Resource Integration Study (ZERIS); Phase 2: Carbon-Free Resource Integration Study for Duke Energy (Final Report) Open
Phase 1: This statement of work makes up Phase 1 of a larger effort. During this Phase 1 effort, NREL will work with Duke Energy to analyze the impacts of integrating significant amounts of new solar power into the Duke Energy power system…
View article: Understanding How Siting Ordinances Impact Wind and Solar Resource Availability
Understanding How Siting Ordinances Impact Wind and Solar Resource Availability Open
This poster summarizes the wind and solar ordinances collected by NREL in 2018 and in 2022. It demonstrates the impact of those ordinances on land availability through the contiguous United States.
View article: The Hidden Flexibility of the Natural Gas Network for Electric Power Operations: A Case Study of a Near-Miss Winter Event
The Hidden Flexibility of the Natural Gas Network for Electric Power Operations: A Case Study of a Near-Miss Winter Event Open
The U.S. power sector has become increasingly reliant on gas pipeline networks to deliver fuel to natural gas power plants. In addition to supplying relatively low-cost fuel, gas networks offer generators flexibility in their operations th…
View article: County-Level Hourly Renewable Capacity Factor Dataset for the ReEDS Model
County-Level Hourly Renewable Capacity Factor Dataset for the ReEDS Model Open
This dataset contains hourly capacity factors for each renewable resource class and region (in this case, county). Technologies like large-scale utility PV (UPV), onshore wind, offshore wind, and concentrating solar power (CSP) are include…
View article: 2022 Standard Scenarios Report: A U.S. Electricity Sector Outlook
2022 Standard Scenarios Report: A U.S. Electricity Sector Outlook Open
This report documents the eighth edition of the annual Standard Scenarios. It summarizes 70 forward-looking scenarios of the U.S. electricity sector that have been designed to capture a wide range of possible futures. In August 2022, the U…
View article: Modeling Integrated Electricity and Natural Gas Systems Using Co-Simulation
Modeling Integrated Electricity and Natural Gas Systems Using Co-Simulation Open
One approach for modeling natural gas and electricity networks as integrated systems is co-simulation, which involves separating a single model into subproblems that are solved iteratively, with coupling information passed between then. Al…
View article: Examining Supply-Side Options to Achieve 100% Clean Electricity by 2035
Examining Supply-Side Options to Achieve 100% Clean Electricity by 2035 Open
The growing climate emergency requires a dramatic and rapid reduction of greenhouse gas emissions in the United States and internationally. This study evaluates a variety of 100% clean electricity system scenarios in 2035 that could put th…
View article: Duke Energy Carbon-Free Resource Integration Study
Duke Energy Carbon-Free Resource Integration Study Open
Duke Energy has partnered with the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) to evaluate pathways to achieving their carbon-free targets and to assess the operational impacts of the resulting system. This report details findings from Pha…
View article: An Evaluation of Co-Simulation for Modeling Coupled Natural Gas and Electricity Networks
An Evaluation of Co-Simulation for Modeling Coupled Natural Gas and Electricity Networks Open
Reliance on natural gas for power generation has increased the coupling between gas and power networks. While this coupling can bring operational and economic benefits, it can also yield challenges, as the constraints in one system can imp…
View article: Duke Energy Carbon-Free Resource Integration Study: Summary of Study Results
Duke Energy Carbon-Free Resource Integration Study: Summary of Study Results Open
We present an overview of the Duke Energy Carbon-free Resource Integration Study, with a focus on the production cost modeling results that have come out of the last phase of the analysis.