Frank C. Keil
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View article: Euclid preparation. Cosmology Likelihood for Observables in Euclid (CLOE). 6: Impact of systematic uncertainties on the cosmological analysis
Euclid preparation. Cosmology Likelihood for Observables in Euclid (CLOE). 6: Impact of systematic uncertainties on the cosmological analysis Open
Extracting cosmological information from the Euclid galaxy survey will require modelling numerous systematic effects during the inference process. This implies varying a large number of nuisance parameters, which have to be marginalised ov…
View article: Euclid preparation. Cosmology Likelihood for Observables in Euclid (CLOE). 3. Inference and Forecasts
Euclid preparation. Cosmology Likelihood for Observables in Euclid (CLOE). 3. Inference and Forecasts Open
The Euclid mission aims to measure the positions, shapes, and redshifts of over a billion galaxies to provide unprecedented constraints on the nature of dark matter and dark energy. Achieving this goal requires a continuous reassessment of…
View article: Euclid preparation. Cosmology Likelihood for Observables in Euclid (CLOE). 5. Extensions beyond the standard modelling of theoretical probes and systematic effects
Euclid preparation. Cosmology Likelihood for Observables in Euclid (CLOE). 5. Extensions beyond the standard modelling of theoretical probes and systematic effects Open
Euclid is expected to establish new state-of-the-art constraints on extensions beyond the standard LCDM cosmological model by measuring the positions and shapes of billions of galaxies. Specifically, its goal is to shed light on the nature…
View article: Cosmology Likelihood for Observables in \Euclid (CLOE). 1. Theoretical recipe
Cosmology Likelihood for Observables in \Euclid (CLOE). 1. Theoretical recipe Open
As the statistical precision of cosmological measurements increases, the accuracy of the theoretical description of these measurements needs to increase correspondingly in order to infer the underlying cosmology that governs the Universe. …
View article: A simple approach for the optimization of deep rolling and burnishing processes
A simple approach for the optimization of deep rolling and burnishing processes Open
The mechanical surface treatment by deep rolling and burnishing is a widely used process in many industrial applications to optimize surface characteristics such as roughness, hardness and the residual stress state. Multiple process parame…
View article: Agenda setting and The Emperor’s New Clothes: people diagnose information cascades during sequential testimony by reasoning about informants’ speaking order and social status
Agenda setting and The Emperor’s New Clothes: people diagnose information cascades during sequential testimony by reasoning about informants’ speaking order and social status Open
Consensus-based social learning strategies often outcompete other strategies in evolutionary models. But while formal proofs suggest that consensus’ reliability is compromised when individual judgments are not independent, this makes for a…
View article: Causal Explanations and the Growth of Understanding
Causal Explanations and the Growth of Understanding Open
Causal explanations are central to cognitive development. Once considered beyond the grasp of young children, causal reasoning is now understood to be present in infants, driving curiosity and learning. The search for causal explanations u…
View article: Mechanistic complexity is fundamental: Evidence from judgments, attention, and memory
Mechanistic complexity is fundamental: Evidence from judgments, attention, and memory Open
What makes an object complex? Complexity comes in many different forms. Some objects are visually complex but mechanistically simple (e.g., a hairbrush). Other objects are the opposite; they look simple but work in a complex way (e.g., an …
View article: Explanatory Power as a Substitute for Statistical Reasoning
Explanatory Power as a Substitute for Statistical Reasoning Open
People judge the strength of cause-and-effect relationships as a matter of routine, and often do so in the absence of evidence about the covariation between cause and effect. Here, we examine the possibility that explanatory power is used …
View article: Young children can infer information preferences from goals and recommend appropriate sources to others.
Young children can infer information preferences from goals and recommend appropriate sources to others. Open
As adults, we intuitively understand how others' goals influence their information-seeking preferences. For example, you might recommend a dense book full of mechanistic details to someone trying to learn about a topic in-depth, but a more…
View article: No privileged link between intentionality and causation: Generalizable effects of agency in language
No privileged link between intentionality and causation: Generalizable effects of agency in language Open
People are more inclined to agree with certain causal statements when a person acts intentionally than when a person acts unintentionally or without agency. Most existing research has assumed that this effect is to be explained in terms of…
View article: Belief Digitization: Do We Treat Uncertainty as Probabilities or as Bits?
Belief Digitization: Do We Treat Uncertainty as Probabilities or as Bits? Open
Humans are often characterized as Bayesian reasoners. Here, we question the core Bayesian assumption that probabilities reflect degrees of belief. Across 8 studies, we find that people instead reason in a digital manner, assuming that unce…
View article: Same people, different group: Social structures are a central component of group concepts
Same people, different group: Social structures are a central component of group concepts Open
We examine whether people conceptualize organized groups as having at least two parts: In addition to members (e.g., Alice), they also have social structures (i.e., roles and relations). If groups have members and social structures, then n…
View article: Anger, evidence, & trending opinions: we trust consensus when we believe it reflects genuine persuasion
Anger, evidence, & trending opinions: we trust consensus when we believe it reflects genuine persuasion Open
Social learners frequently treat the consensus judgment of multiple informants as evidence favoring one option over another. However, in populations of social learners, learners’ informants are also learning from each other, making consens…
View article: No privileged link between intentionality and causation: Generalizable effects of agency in language
No privileged link between intentionality and causation: Generalizable effects of agency in language Open
Consider a causal claim like “Tom caused the train delay.” Previous research has shown that the extent to which Tom is seen to act intentionally (i.e., through his own agency) affects the extent to which people agree with this claim. But i…
View article: Says who? Children consider informants’ sources when deciding whom to believe.
Says who? Children consider informants’ sources when deciding whom to believe. Open
To successfully navigate the world, we cannot simply accept everything we hear as true. We must think critically about others' testimony, believing only sources who are well-informed and trustworthy. This ability is especially crucial in e…
View article: Quantity perception: The forest and the trees
Quantity perception: The forest and the trees Open
Park (2021) has described “flawed stimulus design(s)” in our recent studies on area perception. Here, we briefly respond to those critiques. While the rigorous, computational approaches taken by Park (and others) certainly have value, we b…
View article: Subjectivity and social constitution: Contrasting conceptions of institutions, artifacts, and animals
Subjectivity and social constitution: Contrasting conceptions of institutions, artifacts, and animals Open
We systematically compared beliefs about animal (e.g., lion), artifactual (e.g., hammer), and institutional (e.g., police officer) categories, aiming to identify if people draw different inferences about which categories are subjective and…
View article: Says who? Children consider informants’ sources when deciding whom to believe
Says who? Children consider informants’ sources when deciding whom to believe Open
To successfully navigate the world, we cannot simply accept everything we hear as true. We must think critically about others’ testimony, believing only sources who are well-informed and trustworthy. This ability is especially crucial in e…
View article: Common structure underlying visual and non-visual judgments of randomness
Common structure underlying visual and non-visual judgments of randomness Open
If you flip a coin and receive 10 'tails' in a row, that outcome is surprising; you may even question whether that outcome was truly random. Much work has addressed how we reason about randomness in cases like these. Yet randomness is not …
View article: Binding information to discrete objects improves retention in working memory
Binding information to discrete objects improves retention in working memory Open
Spatial information uniquely influences working memory. In many cases, task-irrelevant spatial information influences memory while other kinds of task-irrelevant information (e.g., color, auditory tones) do not. But how does this spatial i…
View article: Do children estimate area using an ‘Additive-Area Heuristic’?
Do children estimate area using an ‘Additive-Area Heuristic’? Open
A large and growing body of work has documented large, robust illusions of area perception in adults. To date, however, there has been surprisingly little in-depth investigation into children’s area perception, despite the importance of th…
View article: Evidence for multiple sources of inductive potential: Occupations and their relations to social institutions
Evidence for multiple sources of inductive potential: Occupations and their relations to social institutions Open
Several current theories have essences as primary drivers of inductive potential: e.g., people infer dogs share properties because they share essences. We investigated the possibility that people take occupational roles as having robust in…
View article: You can’t trust an angry group- asymmetric evaluations of angry and surprised rhetoric affect confidence in trending opinions
You can’t trust an angry group- asymmetric evaluations of angry and surprised rhetoric affect confidence in trending opinions Open
Communication in groups allows social learners to influence one another and change their beliefs over time. Though some of the same heuristics that guide learners’ trust in individual informants can be applied to groups, variation in how i…
View article: Adult Intuitions about Mechanistic Content in Elementary School Science Lessons
Adult Intuitions about Mechanistic Content in Elementary School Science Lessons Open
Elementary schools provide students with their first encounters with formal science, creating both foundations for students’ knowledge of science content, and impressions of what it means to learn science. Here, we examined adult, includin…