Carlos Arnade
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View article: The Impact of Public Information on Commodity Market Performance: The Response of Corn Futures to USDA Corn Production Forecasts
The Impact of Public Information on Commodity Market Performance: The Response of Corn Futures to USDA Corn Production Forecasts Open
This paper examines the impact of the U.S. Department of Agriculture’s (USDA) projections of annual corn output on the price of corn futures. We tested if output projections significantly drive responses to the futures market. We also test…
View article: Chickens, Feed Grains, or Both: The Mexican Market
Chickens, Feed Grains, or Both: The Mexican Market Open
This study connects Mexico’s imports of U.S. broiler meat with its imports of feed products. Two demand systems for Mexico are estimated: a two-stage Almost Ideal Demand System (AIDS) model for broiler meat and a demand for feed derived fr…
View article: Maize Price Relationships in a Changing International Market: Have Brazil and/or Ukraine Crossed a Threshold?
Maize Price Relationships in a Changing International Market: Have Brazil and/or Ukraine Crossed a Threshold? Open
In this study we examine changing relationships among maize prices in four global markets. In doing so, we allow the quantity of exports to play a role in both price transmission and price response. That is, we adapt threshold cointegratio…
View article: Consumers' welfare and off-season produce imports
Consumers' welfare and off-season produce imports Open
In recent years, produce imports to the United States from the southern hemisphere made wintertime consumption common. Focusing on imports of fresh berries – strawberries, blueberries, blackberries and raspberries – this study asks what is…
View article: THE IMPACT OF PRICE VARIABILITY ON CASH/FUTURES MARKET RELATIONSHIPS: IMPLICATIONS FOR MARKET EFFICIENCY AND PRICE DISCOVERY
THE IMPACT OF PRICE VARIABILITY ON CASH/FUTURES MARKET RELATIONSHIPS: IMPLICATIONS FOR MARKET EFFICIENCY AND PRICE DISCOVERY Open
This study investigates the relationship between cash and futures prices of soybeans and soybean meal from 1992 to 2013. Error correction models are estimated for the prices of both commodities. An exogenous measure of price variability is…
View article: Effects of Rising Feed and Labor Costs on China’s Chicken Price
Effects of Rising Feed and Labor Costs on China’s Chicken Price Open
China’s poultry production and consumption are growing rapidly, but rising input costs could slow its development. Increases in corn and soybean prices and wages are partially transmitted to rising retail chicken prices in China. Corn and …
View article: Measuring the Impacts of Off-Season Berry Imports
Measuring the Impacts of Off-Season Berry Imports Open
This report estimates the value to U.S. consumers from the increased availability of strawberries, blueberries, blackberries, and raspberries during winter months. Findings suggest that additional supplies of these fruits from domestic off…
View article: The Impact of Price Variability on Cash/Futures Market Relationships: Implications for Market Efficiency and Price Discovery
The Impact of Price Variability on Cash/Futures Market Relationships: Implications for Market Efficiency and Price Discovery Open
This study investigates the relationship between cash and future prices of soybeans and soybean meal over periods of high and low price variability. Error Correction models are estimated for each commodity’s cash and futures price. An exog…