César A. Hidalgo
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View article: Decision support system for coastal area management in response to flooding and coastal erosion: a case study of Tumaco-Nariño
Decision support system for coastal area management in response to flooding and coastal erosion: a case study of Tumaco-Nariño Open
(English) Flood and erosion risk management in coastal areas affected by these processes requires integrated and, when conditions allow, coupled approaches that combine physical, socioeconomic, and cultural factors. This thesis develops a …
View article: Leveraging LLMs for Privacy-Aware Predictions in Participatory Budgeting
Leveraging LLMs for Privacy-Aware Predictions in Participatory Budgeting Open
Participatory Budgeting (PB) empowers citizens to propose and vote on public investment projects. Yet, despite its democratic potential, PB initiatives often suffer from low participation rates, limiting their visibility and perceived legi…
View article: The Theory of Economic Complexity
The Theory of Economic Complexity Open
Economic complexity methods have become popular tools in economic development, economic geography, and innovation. Yet, despite their widespread adoption, we lack a mechanistic model that provides these methods with a solid mathematical fo…
View article: Mapping global value chains at the product level
Mapping global value chains at the product level Open
View article: The disparities and development trajectories of nations in achieving the sustainable development goals
The disparities and development trajectories of nations in achieving the sustainable development goals Open
The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) provide a comprehensive framework for societal progress and planetary health. However, it remains unclear whether universal patterns exist in how nations pursue these goals and whether key developme…
View article: Economic Complexity Alignment and Sustainable Development
Economic Complexity Alignment and Sustainable Development Open
View article: Optimizing Economic Complexity
Optimizing Economic Complexity Open
View article: Large language models (LLMs) as agents for augmented democracy
Large language models (LLMs) as agents for augmented democracy Open
We explore an augmented democracy system built on off-the-shelf large language models (LLMs) fine-tuned to augment data on citizens’ preferences elicited over policies extracted from the government programmes of the two main candidates of …
View article: Augmenting the availability of historical GDP per capita estimates through machine learning
Augmenting the availability of historical GDP per capita estimates through machine learning Open
Can we use data on the biographies of historical figures to estimate the GDP per capita of countries and regions? Here, we introduce a machine learning method to estimate the GDP per capita of dozens of countries and hundreds of regions in…
View article: Estimating digital product trade through corporate revenue data
Estimating digital product trade through corporate revenue data Open
Despite global efforts to harmonize international trade statistics, our understanding of digital trade and its implications remains limited. Here, we introduce a method to estimate bilateral exports and imports for dozens of sectors starti…
View article: Cities as Engines of Opportunities: Evidence from Brazil
Cities as Engines of Opportunities: Evidence from Brazil Open
Are developing-world cities engines of opportunities for low-wage earners? In this study, we track a cohort of young low-income workers in Brazil for thirteen years to explore the contribution of factors such as industrial structure and sk…
View article: Intercity connectivity and urban innovation
Intercity connectivity and urban innovation Open
View article: Cities as Engines of Opportunities: Evidence from Brazil
Cities as Engines of Opportunities: Evidence from Brazil Open
View article: The Growth, Geography, and Implications of Trade in Digital Products
The Growth, Geography, and Implications of Trade in Digital Products Open
Despite global efforts to harmonize international trade statistics, our understanding about trade in digital products and its implications remains elusive. Here, we study five key aspects of trade in digital products by introducing a novel…
View article: Estimating Digital Product Trade through Corporate Revenue Data
Estimating Digital Product Trade through Corporate Revenue Data Open
Despite global efforts to harmonize international trade statistics, our understanding of digital trade and its implications remains limited. Here, we introduce a method to estimate bilateral exports and imports for dozens of sectors starti…
View article: Flow Prediction for Hydropower Generation using LMST Neural Networks
Flow Prediction for Hydropower Generation using LMST Neural Networks Open
The objective of this investigation is to predict the necessary flow to satisfy the demand in order to guarantee the generation of energy in a hydropower, for which the artificial neural network LMST (Long Short-Term Memory) was used. In t…
View article: Data collection of two real-world digital democracy systems
Data collection of two real-world digital democracy systems Open
This dataset includes data collected through two digital democracy systems released in 2022 in France and Brazil. The platforms can be found at https://monprogramme2022.org and https://brazucracia.org.
View article: Measuring and Controlling Divisiveness in Rank Aggregation
Measuring and Controlling Divisiveness in Rank Aggregation Open
In rank aggregation, members of a population rank issues to decide which are collectively preferred. We focus instead on identifying divisive issues that express disagreements among the preferences of individuals. We analyse the properties…
View article: Measuring and Controlling Divisiveness in Rank Aggregation
Measuring and Controlling Divisiveness in Rank Aggregation Open
In rank aggregation, members of a population rank issues to decide which are collectively preferred. We focus instead on identifying divisive issues that express disagreements among the preferences of individuals. We analyse the properties…
View article: Mapping Global Value Chains at the Product Level
Mapping Global Value Chains at the Product Level Open
Value chain data is crucial to navigate economic disruptions, such as those caused by the COVID-19 pandemic and the war in Ukraine. Yet, despite its importance, publicly available value chain datasets, such as the ``World Input-Output Data…
View article: Multidimensional economic complexity and inclusive green growth
Multidimensional economic complexity and inclusive green growth Open
View article: Acute psychosis following corticosteroid administration for COVID-19 and Respiratory Syncytial Virus infection: A case study
Acute psychosis following corticosteroid administration for COVID-19 and Respiratory Syncytial Virus infection: A case study Open
Introduction Steroids are a necessary treatment for hypoxic respiratory failure; however there are many side effects that should be taken into account. A 44- year-old-woman with asthma and no past psychiatric history was admitted due to CO…
View article: The role of immigrants, emigrants and locals in the historical formation of European knowledge agglomerations
The role of immigrants, emigrants and locals in the historical formation of European knowledge agglomerations Open
Did migrants make Paris a mecca for the arts and Vienna a beacon of classical music? Or was their rise a pure consequence of local actors? We use data on more than 22,000 historical individuals born between the years 1000 and 2000 to estim…
View article: Reciprocity heightens academic performance in elementary school students
Reciprocity heightens academic performance in elementary school students Open
View article: Replication data to Multidimensional economic complexity and inclusive green growth
Replication data to Multidimensional economic complexity and inclusive green growth Open
This dataset includes the data that needed to replicate the results of "Multidimensional economic complexity and Inclusive Green Growth" by Viktor Stojkoski, Philipp Koch, and César A. Hidalgo. For more information about data sources we re…
View article: Understanding Political Divisiveness using Online Participation data from the 2022 French and Brazilian Presidential Elections
Understanding Political Divisiveness using Online Participation data from the 2022 French and Brazilian Presidential Elections Open
Digital technologies can augment civic participation by facilitating the expression of detailed political preferences. Yet, digital participation efforts often rely on methods optimized for elections involving a few candidates. Here we pre…
View article: Why people judge humans differently from machines: The role of perceived agency and experience
Why people judge humans differently from machines: The role of perceived agency and experience Open
People are known to judge artificial intelligence using a utilitarian moral philosophy and humans using a moral philosophy emphasizing perceived intentions. But why do people judge humans and machines differently? Psychology suggests that …
View article: Bridging the polarization gap: Maximizing diffusion among dissimilar communities
Bridging the polarization gap: Maximizing diffusion among dissimilar communities Open
Polarized networks, composed of weakly connected and self-reinforcing groups, can limit the diffusion of ideas, behaviors, and innovations. Here, we use a complex contagion model, in which diffusion depends on both the connectivity and the…
View article: Multidimensional Economic Complexity and Inclusive Green Growth
Multidimensional Economic Complexity and Inclusive Green Growth Open
To achieve inclusive green growth, countries need to consider a multiplicity of economic, social, and environmental factors. These are often captured by metrics of economic complexity derived from the geography of trade, thus missing key i…
View article: Three empirical studies on the aggregate dynamics of humanly driven complex systems
Three empirical studies on the aggregate dynamics of humanly driven complex systems Open
Complex systems are characterized by having emergent properties that cannot be explained from their large number of interacting and heterogeneous components. Different aspects of human society can be described as a complex system, as large…