Damon Luk
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View article: Aggregating Human Judgment Probabilistic Predictions of Coronavirus Disease 2019 Transmission, Burden, and Preventive Measures
Aggregating Human Judgment Probabilistic Predictions of Coronavirus Disease 2019 Transmission, Burden, and Preventive Measures Open
Aggregated human judgment forecasts for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) targets of public health importance are accurate, often outperforming computational models. Our work shows that aggregated human judgment forecasts for infectious …
View article: Aggregating human judgment probabilistic predictions of COVID-19 transmission, burden, and preventative measures
Aggregating human judgment probabilistic predictions of COVID-19 transmission, burden, and preventative measures Open
Aggregated human judgment forecasts for COVID-19 targets of public health importance are accurate, often outperforming computational models. Our work shows aggregated human judgment forecasts for infectious agents are timely, accurate, and…
View article: Chimeric forecasting: combining probabilistic predictions from computational models and human judgment
Chimeric forecasting: combining probabilistic predictions from computational models and human judgment Open
Forecasts of the trajectory of an infectious agent can help guide public health decision making. A traditional approach to forecasting fits a computational model to structured data and generates a predictive distribution. However, human ju…