David Sirl
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View article: Urban mapping in Dar es Salaam using Angle-Based Joint and Individual Variation Explained
Urban mapping in Dar es Salaam using Angle-Based Joint and Individual Variation Explained Open
Mapping deprivation in urban areas is important, for example, for identifying areas of greatest need and planning interventions. Traditional ways of obtaining deprivation estimates are based on either census or household survey data, which…
View article: Modelling the spread of two successive SIR epidemics on a configuration model network
Modelling the spread of two successive SIR epidemics on a configuration model network Open
View article: Comparative judgement modelling to map forced marriage at local levels
Comparative judgement modelling to map forced marriage at local levels Open
Forcing someone into marriage against their will is a violation of their human rights. In 2021, the county of Nottinghamshire, UK, launched a strategy to tackle forced marriage and violence against women and girls. We set out to map the ri…
View article: Modelling the spread of two successive SIR epidemics on a configuration model network
Modelling the spread of two successive SIR epidemics on a configuration model network Open
We present a stochastic model for two successive SIR (Susceptible, Infectious, Recovered) epidemics in the same network structured population. Individuals infected during the first epidemic might have (partial) immunity for the second one.…
View article: SIR epidemics in populations with large sub-communities
SIR epidemics in populations with large sub-communities Open
We investigate final outcome properties of an SIR (susceptible → in-fective → recovered) epidemic model defined on a population of large sub-communities in which there is stronger disease transmission within the communities than between th…
View article: Urban mapping in Dar es Salaam using AJIVE
Urban mapping in Dar es Salaam using AJIVE Open
Mapping deprivation in urban areas is important, for example for identifying areas of greatest need and planning interventions. Traditional ways of obtaining deprivation estimates are based on either census or household survey data, which …
View article: The impact of household structure on disease-induced herd immunity
The impact of household structure on disease-induced herd immunity Open
View article: Multi-Level Spatial Comparative Judgement Models To Map Deprivation
Multi-Level Spatial Comparative Judgement Models To Map Deprivation Open
While current comparative judgement models provide strong algorithmic efficiency, they remain data inefficient, often requiring days or weeks of extensive data collection to provide sufficient pair- wise comparisons for stable and accurate…
View article: SIR epidemics in populations with large sub-communities
SIR epidemics in populations with large sub-communities Open
We investigate final outcome properties of an SIR (susceptible $\to$ infective $\to$ recovered) epidemic model defined on a population of large sub-communities in which there is stronger disease transmission within the communities than bet…
View article: The Bayesian Spatial Bradley–Terry Model: Urban Deprivation Modelling in Tanzania
The Bayesian Spatial Bradley–Terry Model: Urban Deprivation Modelling in Tanzania Open
Identifying the most deprived regions of any country or city is key if policy makers are to design successful interventions. However, locating areas with the greatest need is often surprisingly challenging in developing countries. Due to t…
View article: The Bayesian Spatial Bradley--Terry Model: Urban Deprivation Modeling in Tanzania
The Bayesian Spatial Bradley--Terry Model: Urban Deprivation Modeling in Tanzania Open
Identifying the most deprived regions of any country or city is key if policy makers are to design successful interventions. However, locating areas with the greatest need is often surprisingly challenging in developing countries. Due to t…
View article: Study Habits and Attainment in Undergraduate Mathematics: A Social Network Analysis
Study Habits and Attainment in Undergraduate Mathematics: A Social Network Analysis Open
In this article, we argue that although mathematics educators are concerned about social issues, minimal attention has been paid to student–student interactions outside the classroom. We discuss social network analysis as a methodology for…
View article: A stochastic SIR network epidemic model with preventive dropping of edges
A stochastic SIR network epidemic model with preventive dropping of edges Open
View article: A stochastic SIR network epidemic model with preventive dropping of\n edges
A stochastic SIR network epidemic model with preventive dropping of\n edges Open
A Markovian SIR (Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered) model is considered for\nthe spread of an epidemic on a configuration model network, in which\nsusceptible individuals may take preventive measures by dropping edges to\ninfectious neighbo…
View article: A stochastic SIR network epidemic model with preventive dropping of edges
A stochastic SIR network epidemic model with preventive dropping of edges Open
A Markovian SIR (Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered) model is considered for the spread of an epidemic on a configuration model network, in which susceptible individuals may take preventive measures by dropping edges to infectious neighbours…
View article: Individual preventive social distancing during an epidemic may have negative population-level outcomes
Individual preventive social distancing during an epidemic may have negative population-level outcomes Open
The outbreak of an infectious disease in a human population can lead to individuals responding with preventive measures in an attempt to avoid getting infected. This leads to changes in contact patterns. However, as we show in this paper, …
View article: Individual preventive measures during an epidemic may have negative population-level outcomes
Individual preventive measures during an epidemic may have negative population-level outcomes Open
The outbreak of an infectious disease in a human population can lead to individuals responding with preventive measures in an attempt to avoid getting infected. This leads to changes in contact patterns. However, as we show in this paper, …
View article: Supplementary material from "Individual preventive social distancing during an epidemic may have negative population-level outcomes"
Supplementary material from "Individual preventive social distancing during an epidemic may have negative population-level outcomes" Open
The outbreak of an infectious disease in a human population can lead to individuals responding with preventive measures in an attempt to avoid getting infected. This leads to changes in contact patterns. However, as we show in this paper, …
View article: Evaluation of vaccination strategies for SIR epidemics on random networks incorporating household structure
Evaluation of vaccination strategies for SIR epidemics on random networks incorporating household structure Open
View article: Evaluation of vaccination strategies for SIR epidemics on random\n networks incorporating household structure
Evaluation of vaccination strategies for SIR epidemics on random\n networks incorporating household structure Open
This paper is concerned with the analysis of vaccination strategies in a\nstochastic SIR (susceptible $\\to$ infected $\\to$ removed) model for the spread\nof an epidemic amongst a population of individuals with a random network of\nsocial…
View article: Evaluation of vaccination strategies for SIR epidemics on random networks incorporating household structure
Evaluation of vaccination strategies for SIR epidemics on random networks incorporating household structure Open
This paper is concerned with the analysis of vaccination strategies in a stochastic SIR (susceptible $\to$ infected $\to$ removed) model for the spread of an epidemic amongst a population of individuals with a random network of social cont…
View article: Appendix A. Deterministic fixed points and the transformation.
Appendix A. Deterministic fixed points and the transformation. Open
Deterministic fixed points and the transformation.
View article: Correction
Correction Open
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