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View article: Emerging Hotspots of Agricultural Drought under Climate Change
Emerging Hotspots of Agricultural Drought under Climate Change Open
Heightened agricultural drought risk is a potentially severe consequence of climate change, yet projections remain uncertain, reflecting both inconsistent precipitation projections and limited understanding of how land–atmosphere interacti…
View article: Artificial Intelligence Software Changes Rare Disease Testing Strategy in Real Time: An International Case Series Using <scp>Face2Gene</scp>
Artificial Intelligence Software Changes Rare Disease Testing Strategy in Real Time: An International Case Series Using <span>Face2Gene</span> Open
Genetic disorders commonly share features such as developmental delays, cognitive impairment, and behavioral challenges, yet many conditions also present unique dysmorphic features that distinguish them. Performing a thorough medical and f…
View article: Farmers’ knowledge improves identification of drought impacts: A nationwide statistical analysis in Zambia
Farmers’ knowledge improves identification of drought impacts: A nationwide statistical analysis in Zambia Open
Climate adaptation policies rely on accurate estimates of weather-related impacts on community-level food insecurity. These estimates must capture local livelihoods and their varying sensitivity to climate extremes. This paper develops a n…
View article: Trends in Heat Stress During Heat Waves Across Europe (1979–2023)
Trends in Heat Stress During Heat Waves Across Europe (1979–2023) Open
View article: A computationally lightweight model for ensemble forecasting of environmental hazards: General TAMSAT-ALERT v1.2.1
A computationally lightweight model for ensemble forecasting of environmental hazards: General TAMSAT-ALERT v1.2.1 Open
Efficient methods for predicting weather-related hazards are crucial for the effective management of environmental risk. Many environmental hazards depend on the evolution of meteorological conditions over protracted periods, requiring ass…
View article: Comment on gmd-2024-75
Comment on gmd-2024-75 Open
Abstract. Efficient methods for predicting weather-related hazards are crucial for stakeholders managing environmental risks. Many environmental hazards depend on the evolution of meteorological conditions over protracted …
View article: Supplementary material to "A computationally light-weight model for ensemble forecasting of environmental hazard: General TAMSAT-ALERT v1.2.1"
Supplementary material to "A computationally light-weight model for ensemble forecasting of environmental hazard: General TAMSAT-ALERT v1.2.1" Open
View article: A computationally light-weight model for ensemble forecasting of environmental hazard: General TAMSAT-ALERT v1.2.1
A computationally light-weight model for ensemble forecasting of environmental hazard: General TAMSAT-ALERT v1.2.1 Open
Efficient methods for predicting weather-related hazards are crucial for stakeholders managing environmental risks. Many environmental hazards depend on the evolution of meteorological conditions over protracted periods, requiring assessme…
View article: A new drought model for disaster risk management in the Punjab, Sindh and Baluchistan provinces of Pakistan
A new drought model for disaster risk management in the Punjab, Sindh and Baluchistan provinces of Pakistan Open
Drought poses a continual threat to both lives and livelihoods in the Global South. Although the impact on food security from drought could be reduced through early release of funds, the humanitarian sector typically reacts to crises rathe…
View article: The potential value of seasonal drought forecasts in the context of climate change: A case study of the African elephant conservation sector
The potential value of seasonal drought forecasts in the context of climate change: A case study of the African elephant conservation sector Open
This study investigates meteorological drought in sub‐Saharan Africa within the context of elephant conservation. Prolonged drought significantly impacts elephants, leading to increased mortality rates and heightened human–elephant conflic…
View article: Farmers’ Recollection Identifies Drought Impacts in Context: A Case from Zambia
Farmers’ Recollection Identifies Drought Impacts in Context: A Case from Zambia Open
View article: Effect of Corn Type and Form of Supplement on Grazing Steers – Year 3
Effect of Corn Type and Form of Supplement on Grazing Steers – Year 3 Open
Eighty stocker steers were grazed on bromegrass from the middle of May to the beginning of November and were provided five different feeds while on grass during the summer. Treatments evaluated included (1) mineral only; (2) free-choice su…
View article: Evaluation of Grazing Options During Summer for Growing Heifers – Year 3
Evaluation of Grazing Options During Summer for Growing Heifers – Year 3 Open
Developing methods to provide high quality forage through most of the year is important for cattle operations. The purpose of this study was to determine forage management options to offset the summer “slump” with fescue. Three grass pastu…
View article: Global Change in Agricultural Flash Drought over the 21st Century
Global Change in Agricultural Flash Drought over the 21st Century Open
Agricultural flash droughts are high-impact phenomena, characterized by rapid soil moisture dry down. The ensuing dry conditions can persist for weeks to months, with detrimental effects on natural ecosystems and crop cultivation. Increase…
View article: Drivers and impacts of Eastern African rainfall variability
Drivers and impacts of Eastern African rainfall variability Open
View article: Application of TAMSAT-ALERT soil moisture forecasts for planting date decision support in Africa
Application of TAMSAT-ALERT soil moisture forecasts for planting date decision support in Africa Open
Deciding when to plant is critical for smallholders in Africa. If they plant too early, farmers risk seedling death if the rains are not established; if they plant too late, there will not be enough rain to sustain the crop through critica…
View article: An Information-Theoretic Approach to Reconciling Historical Climate Observations and Impacts on Agriculture
An Information-Theoretic Approach to Reconciling Historical Climate Observations and Impacts on Agriculture Open
Decision-makers in climate risk management often face problems of how to reconcile diverse and conflicting sources of information about weather and its impact on human activity, such as when they are determining a quantitative threshold fo…
View article: Time of emergence of impacts of climate change on groundwater levels in sub-Saharan Africa
Time of emergence of impacts of climate change on groundwater levels in sub-Saharan Africa Open
The impacts of climate change on groundwater are poorly constrained, particularly in regions such as sub-Saharan Africa where global circulation models (GCMs) project different directions of precipitation change. Moreover, the timing of wh…
View article: Algorithmic Fairness and Vertical Equity: Income Fairness with IRS Tax Audit Models
Algorithmic Fairness and Vertical Equity: Income Fairness with IRS Tax Audit Models Open
This study examines issues of algorithmic fairness in the context of systems that inform tax audit selection by the United States Internal Revenue Service (IRS). While the field of algorithmic fairness has developed primarily around notion…
View article: Consistent Trends in Dry Spell Length in Recent Observations and Future Projections
Consistent Trends in Dry Spell Length in Recent Observations and Future Projections Open
We identify global observed changes in dry‐spell characteristics that are consistent with future projections and involve common physical drivers. Future projections of longer dry spells in the dry season increase vegetation water stress an…
View article: Projected increases in potential groundwater recharge and reduced evapotranspiration under future climate conditions in West Africa
Projected increases in potential groundwater recharge and reduced evapotranspiration under future climate conditions in West Africa Open
Study region
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\nWest Africa, with a focus between 5°W and 5°E.
\nStudy focus
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\nThe effects of changing climate and CO2 concentration (RCP8.5 between 2000 and 2100) on the West African monsoon are examined using the UPSCALE high-resolu…
View article: Towards drought impact-based forecasting in a multi-hazard context
Towards drought impact-based forecasting in a multi-hazard context Open
The lives and livelihoods of people around the world are increasingly threatened by climate-related risks as climate change increases the frequency and severity of high-impact weather. In turn, the risk of multiple hazards occurring simult…
View article: Correction to: TAMSAT
Correction to: TAMSAT Open
The original version of this chapter was revised. The original version of this chapter was previously published non-open access. An erratum to this chapter can be found at https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-24568-9_22
View article: Subseasonal prediction performance for South American land–atmosphere coupling in extended austral summer
Subseasonal prediction performance for South American land–atmosphere coupling in extended austral summer Open
Land–atmosphere feedbacks, through water and energy exchanges, provide subseasonal‐to‐seasonal predictability of the hydrological cycle. We analyse subseasonal land–atmosphere coupling over South America (SA) during extended austral summer…
View article: Reduced-bias estimation of the residual dependence index with unnamed marginals
Reduced-bias estimation of the residual dependence index with unnamed marginals Open
This paper addresses important weaknesses in current methodology for the estimation of multivariate extreme event distributions. The estimation of the residual dependence index $η\in (0,1]$ is notoriously problematic. We introduce a flexib…
View article: Issue Information
Issue Information Open
route for new shorter contributions in the field of atmospheric and closely related sciences.Through its ability to publish shorter contributions more rapidly than conventional journals, ASL offers a framework that promotes new understandi…
View article: A flexible method for determining decorrelation ranges in rainfall applied to Ghana
A flexible method for determining decorrelation ranges in rainfall applied to Ghana Open
<p>The spatial structure of rainfall events over west Africa is not very well understood, and a major limitation for improving this understanding is the generally sparse rain gauge network. This lack of spatial knowledge makes it dif…
View article: Phenological tracking of a seasonal climate window in a recovering tropical island bird species
Phenological tracking of a seasonal climate window in a recovering tropical island bird species Open
Constraints on evolutionary adaptation and range shifts mean that phenotypic plasticity, which includes physiological, developmental or behavioural responses to environmental conditions, could be an important mode of adaptation to a changi…
View article: Subseasonal Precipitation Prediction for Africa: Forecast Evaluation and Sources of Predictability
Subseasonal Precipitation Prediction for Africa: Forecast Evaluation and Sources of Predictability Open
This paper evaluates subseasonal precipitation forecasts for Africa using hindcasts from three models (ECMWF, UKMO, and NCEP) participating in the Subseasonal to Seasonal (S2S) prediction project. A variety of verification metrics are empl…
View article: In Situ Observations and Lumped Parameter Model Reconstructions Reveal Intra‐Annual to Multidecadal Variability in Groundwater Levels in Sub‐Saharan Africa
In Situ Observations and Lumped Parameter Model Reconstructions Reveal Intra‐Annual to Multidecadal Variability in Groundwater Levels in Sub‐Saharan Africa Open
Understanding temporal variability in groundwater levels is essential for water resources management. In sub‐Saharan Africa, groundwater level dynamics are poorly constrained due to limited long‐term observations. Here, we present the firs…