Erin T. Mansur
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View article: Why marginal CO2 emissions are not decreasing for US electricity: Estimates and implications for climate policy
Why marginal CO2 emissions are not decreasing for US electricity: Estimates and implications for climate policy Open
Marginal emissions of CO2 from the electricity sector are critical for evaluating climate policies that rely on shifts in electricity demand or supply. This paper provides estimates of marginal CO2 emissions from US electricity generation …
View article: On the Feasibility, Costs, and Benefits of an Immediate Phasedown of Coal for U.S. Electricity Generation
On the Feasibility, Costs, and Benefits of an Immediate Phasedown of Coal for U.S. Electricity Generation Open
The phasedown of coal for electricity generation is considered vital to meeting global climate targets.Many countries have pledged to stop using coal, with some as early as 2030.While the United States has no target currently in place, sev…
View article: Regularization from Economic Constraints: A New Estimator for Marginal Emissions
Regularization from Economic Constraints: A New Estimator for Marginal Emissions Open
Environmental policy is increasingly concerned with measuring emissions resulting from local changes to electricity consumption.These marginal emissions are challenging to measure because electricity grids encompass multiple locations and …
View article: The Economics of Electricity Reliability
The Economics of Electricity Reliability Open
The physics of an electrical grid requires that the supply injected into the grid is always in balance with the quantity consumed. If that balance is not maintained, cascading outages are likely to disrupt supply to all consumers on the gr…
View article: Reply to Gagnon et al.: Short-run estimates vs. long-run conjectures
Reply to Gagnon et al.: Short-run estimates vs. long-run conjectures Open
Microbial communities are found throughout the biosphere, from human guts to glaciers, from soil to activated sludge. Understanding the statistical properties of such diverse communities can pave the way to elucidate the common mechanisms …
View article: Decarbonization and Electrification in the Long Run
Decarbonization and Electrification in the Long Run Open
Decarbonization and electrification will require a transformed electricity grid.Our long-run model of entry and exit of generation and storage capacity captures crucial aspects of the electricity industry such as time-varying demand for el…
View article: Why marginal CO<sub>2</sub>emissions are not decreasing for US electricity: Estimates and implications for climate policy
Why marginal CO<sub>2</sub>emissions are not decreasing for US electricity: Estimates and implications for climate policy Open
Significance Marginal emissions of CO 2 from the electricity sector are critical for evaluating many climate policies. We provide estimates of marginal CO 2 emissions for electricity use in the United States that vary by region, hour of da…
View article: The Electric Vehicle Transition and the Economics of Banning Gasoline Vehicles
The Electric Vehicle Transition and the Economics of Banning Gasoline Vehicles Open
Electric vehicles have a unique potential to transform personal transportation. We analyze this transition with a dynamic model capturing falling costs of electric vehicles, decreasing pollution from electricity, and increasing vehicle sub…
View article: Should we ban gasoline cars
Should we ban gasoline cars Open
As electric vehicles become commercially viable, they have the potential to yield dramatic reductions in air pollution. The UK plans to have no gasoline vehicles by 2030, Norway by 2025, and California by 2035. But what is the best policy …
View article: Replication Data for: On the measurement of environmental inequality: Ranking emissions distributions generated by different policy instruments
Replication Data for: On the measurement of environmental inequality: Ranking emissions distributions generated by different policy instruments Open
Final data, Stata, and Latex programs to replicate article tables and figures.
View article: Expected Health Effects of Reduced Air Pollution from COVID-19 Social Distancing
Expected Health Effects of Reduced Air Pollution from COVID-19 Social Distancing Open
The COVID-19 pandemic resulted in stay-at-home policies and other social distancing behaviors in the United States in spring of 2020.This paper examines the impact that these actions had on emissions and expected health effects through red…
View article: The Environmental Benefits from Transportation Electrification: Urban Buses
The Environmental Benefits from Transportation Electrification: Urban Buses Open
We determine the environmental benefit of using electric buses rather than diesel or CNG for urban transit.For diesel and CNG we calculate air pollution damages by combining emission rates with damage valuations from the AP3 integrated ass…
View article: Are There Environmental Benefits from Driving Electric Vehicles? The Importance of Local Factors
Are There Environmental Benefits from Driving Electric Vehicles? The Importance of Local Factors Open
We combine a theoretical discrete-choice model of vehicle purchases, an econometric analysis of electricity emissions, and the AP2 air pollution model to estimate the geographic variation in the environmental benefits from driving electric…
View article: The Electric Vehicle Transition and the Economics of Banning Gasoline Vehicles
The Electric Vehicle Transition and the Economics of Banning Gasoline Vehicles Open
Electric vehicles have a unique potential to transform personal transportation.We analyze the transition to electric vehicles with a dynamic model that captures the falling costs of producing electric vehicles, the decreasing pollution fro…
View article: Do Pollution Markets Harm Low Income and Minority Communities? Ranking Emissions Distributions Generated by California's Reclaim Program
Do Pollution Markets Harm Low Income and Minority Communities? Ranking Emissions Distributions Generated by California's Reclaim Program Open
We compare the spatial distribution of emissions from Southern California’s pollution-trading program with that of a counterfactual command-and-control policy. We develop a normatively significant metric with which to rank the various dist…
View article: Decompositions and Policy Consequences of an Extraordinary Decline in Air Pollution from Electricity Generation
Decompositions and Policy Consequences of an Extraordinary Decline in Air Pollution from Electricity Generation Open
We determine the change in air pollution damages from U.S. power plant emissions over 2010 to 2017. Annual damages fell from $245 billion to $133 billion over this period, with most of the decline occurring in the East. Decomposition shows…
View article: Decompositions and Policy Consequences of an Extraordinary Decline in Air Pollution from Electricity Generation
Decompositions and Policy Consequences of an Extraordinary Decline in Air Pollution from Electricity Generation Open
We determine the change in air pollution damages from U.S. power plant emissions over 2010 to 2017.Annual damages fell from $245 billion to $133 billion over this period, with most of the decline occurring in the East.Decomposition shows t…
View article: Why electric cars aren’t always environmentally sound
Why electric cars aren’t always environmentally sound Open
For them to help solve our air pollution problems, we need to clean up the electricity grid, write Stephen P. Holland, Erin T. Mansur, Nicholas Z. Muller and Andrew J. Yates
View article: Replication data for: Geographic Dispersion of Economic Shocks: Evidence from the Fracking Revolution
Replication data for: Geographic Dispersion of Economic Shocks: Evidence from the Fracking Revolution Open
We track the geographic and temporal propagation of local economic shocks from new oil and gas production generated by hydrofracturing. Each million dollars of new production produces $80,000 in wage income and $132,000 in royalty and busi…
View article: Replication data for: Inferring Carbon Abatement Costs in Electricity Markets: A Revealed Preference Approach Using the Shale Revolution
Replication data for: Inferring Carbon Abatement Costs in Electricity Markets: A Revealed Preference Approach Using the Shale Revolution Open
This paper examines how carbon pricing would reduce emissions in the electricity sector. Both carbon prices and cheap natural gas reduce the historic cost advantage of coal plants. The shale revolution resulted in unprecedented variation i…
View article: Are There Environmental Benefits from Driving Electric Vehicles? The Importance of Local Factors
Are There Environmental Benefits from Driving Electric Vehicles? The Importance of Local Factors Open
We combine a theoretical discrete-choice model of vehicle purchases, an econometric analysis of electricity emissions, and the AP2 air pollution model to estimate the geographic variation in the environmental benefits from driving electric…
View article: Distributional Effects of Air Pollution from Electric Vehicle Adoption
Distributional Effects of Air Pollution from Electric Vehicle Adoption Open
We examine the distributional effects of changes in local air pollution from driving electric vehicles in the United States. We employ an econometric model to estimate power plant emissions and an integrated assessment model to value damag…
View article: Distributional Effects of Air Pollution from Electric Vehicle Adoption
Distributional Effects of Air Pollution from Electric Vehicle Adoption Open
We examine the distributional effects of changes in local air pollution from driving electric vehicles in the United States.We employ an econometric model to estimate power plant emissions and an integrated assessment model to value damage…