Explanipedia

An improved approach to estimate the natural land carbon sink Open

Michael O’Sullivan, Pierre Friedlingstein, Stephen Sitch, Julia Pongratz, Clemens Schwingshackl , et al. · 2025

The natural land carbon sink (SLAND) absorbs roughly 25-30% of anthropogenic CO2 emissions, thus playing a critical role in offsetting climate warming. In the Global Carbon Budget (GCB), SLAND is estimated using model simulations that isol…

Publisher Correction: Future ocean warming may cause large reductions in Prochlorococcus biomass and productivity Open

François Ribalet, Stephanie Dutkiewicz, Erwan Monier, E. Virginia Armbrust · 2025

Future ocean warming may cause large reductions in Prochlorococcus biomass and productivity Open

François Ribalet, Stephanie Dutkiewicz, Erwan Monier, E. Virginia Armbrust · 2025

A Geographically Weighted Gaussian Process Regression Emulator of the GCHP 13.0.0 Global Air Quality Model Open

Anthony Y. H. Wong, Sebastian D. Eastham, Erwan Monier, Noelle E. Selin · 2025

Air quality modelling has been an essential tool to study the impacts of socio-economic changes and policies on air quality and associated social costs due to human health impacts. However, high computational and human resource demands lim…

Biochemical remodeling of phytoplankton cell composition under climate change Open

Shlomit Sharoni, Keisuke Inomura, Stephanie Dutkiewicz, Oliver Jahn, Zoe V. Finkel , et al. · 2025

The macromolecular composition of phytoplankton shapes the nutrition available to marine ecosystems and regulates the interwoven global ocean cycles of carbon and nutrients. Despite these fundamental roles, there is currently no global-sca…

Increasing Exposures to Compound Wildfire Smoke and Extreme Heat Hazards in California, 2011–2020 Open

Caitlin G. Jones, Sara Ludwick, Mohammad Z. Al‐Hamdan, Jason Vargo, Rebecca J. Schmidt , et al. · 2025

Climate change is simultaneously worsening wildfire and extreme heat events in California increasing the likelihood of exposure to compound hazards (CH). This study examines the exposure distribution of compound wildfire smoke and extreme …

Joint Effects of Wildfire Smoke and Extreme Heat on Hospitalizations in California, 2011–2020 Open

Caitlin G. Jones, Rebecca J. Schmidt, Erwan Monier, Sara Ludwick, Mohammad Z. Al‐Hamdan , et al. · 2025

Wildfire smoke and extreme heat events are worsening in California, but their combined health effects are not well understood. This study estimates joint effects of extreme heat and wildfire smoke on hospitalizations in California, 2011–20…

Advancing the Modeling of Future Climate and Innovation Impacts on Perennial Crops to Support Adaptation: A Case Study of California Almonds Open

Shuaiqi Wu, Prudentia Zikalala, Sequoia Alba, Katherine Jarvis-Shean, Isaya Kisekka , et al. · 2025

Perennial crops are vital to the global food supply, providing valuable nutrition and economic benefits, but are at risk of severe climate damages. Most climate research has focused on major annual crops like cereals and has focused on the…

Effect modification of temporally compounding wildfire smoke and extreme heat in California Open

Caitlin G Jones Ngo, Rebecca J. Schmidt, Jason Vargo, Mohammad Al Hamdan, Erwan Monier , et al. · 2024

Joint effects of wildfire smoke and extreme heat on hospitalizations in California, 2011-2020 Open

Caitlin G Jones Ngo, Rebecca J. Schmidt, Jason Vargo, Mohammad Al Hamdan, Erwan Monier , et al. · 2024

Projecting Changes in the Frequency and Magnitude of Ozone Pollution Events Under Uncertain Climate Sensitivity Open

James D. East, Erwan Monier, Rebecca K. Saari, Fernando Garcia–Menendez · 2024

Climate change is projected to worsen ozone pollution over many populated regions, with larger impacts at higher concentrations. More intense and frequent ozone episodes risk setbacks to human health and environmental policy achievements. …

Health and equity implications of individual adaptation to air pollution in a changing climate Open

Matt Sparks, Isaiah Farahbakhsh, Madhur Anand, Chris T. Bauch, Kathryn C. Conlon , et al. · 2024

Future climate change can cause more days with poor air quality. This could trigger more alerts telling people to stay inside to protect themselves, with potential consequences for health and health equity. Here, we study the change in US …

MultiSector Dynamics: 2023 Inaugural Workshop Report Open

Erwan Monier, Patrick M. Reed, Chris Vernon, Antonia Hadjimichael, Christa Brelsford , et al. · 2024

Preface The MultiSector Dynamics (MSD) Community of Practice (CoP) hosted an inaugural workshop on October 3-5, 2023 at the University of California, Davis, to bring together members of the MSD community of practice to advance understandin…

Historical evaluation and future projections of compound heatwave and drought extremes over the conterminous United States in CMIP6 <sup>*</sup> Open

Deeksha Rastogi, Jared T. Trok, Nicholas Depsky, Erwan Monier, Andrew D. Jones · 2023

Independently, both droughts and heatwaves can induce severe impacts on human and natural systems. However, when these two climate extremes occur concurrently in a given region, their compound impacts are often more pronounced. With the im…

Increasing exposures to compound wildfire smoke and extreme heat hazards in California, 2011-2020 Open

Caitlin G. Jones, Sara Ludwick, Mohammad Al Hamdan, Jason Vargo, Erwan Monier , et al. · 2023

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Wildfire smoke and extreme heat hazards are inherently linked, yet the frequency and distribution of exposure to compound events, i.e., co-occurring wildfire smoke and extreme heat, is not well understood. Shared climat…

Rapid Estimation of Climate–Air Quality Interactions in Integrated Assessment Using a Response Surface Model Open

Sebastian D. Eastham, Erwan Monier, Daniel Rothenberg, Sergey Paltsev, Noelle E. Selin · 2023

Air quality and climate change are substantial and linked sustainability challenges, and there is a need for improved tools to assess the implications of addressing these challenges together. Due to the high computational cost of accuratel…

AutoML-based Almond Yield Prediction and Projection in California Open

Shiheng Duan, Shuaiqi Wu, Erwan Monier, Paul Ullrich · 2022

Almonds are one of the most lucrative products of California, but are also among the most sensitive to climate change. In order to better understand the relationship between climatic factors and almond yield, an automated machine learning …

Rapid estimation of climate-air quality interactions in integrated assessment using a response surface model Open

Sebastian D. Eastham, Erwan Monier, Daniel Rothenberg, Sergey Paltsev, Noelle E. Selin · 2022

Air quality and climate change are substantial and linked sustainability challenges, and there is a need for improved tools to assess the implications of addressing them in combination. High-fidelity chemistry-climate simulations can captu…

Characterizing and quantifying uncertainty in projections of climate change impacts on air quality Open

James D. East, Erwan Monier, Fernando Garcia–Menendez · 2022

Climate change can aggravate air pollution, with important public health and environmental consequences. While major sources of uncertainty in climate change projections—greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions scenario, model response, and internal…

Multisector Dynamics: Advancing the Science of Complex Adaptive Human‐Earth Systems Open

Patrick M. Reed, Antonia Hadjimichael, Richard H. Moss, Christa Brelsford, Casey Burleyson , et al. · 2022

The field of MultiSector Dynamics (MSD) explores the dynamics and co‐evolutionary pathways of human and Earth systems with a focus on critical goods, services, and amenities delivered to people through interdependent sectors. This commenta…

MultiSector Dynamics: Scientific Challenges and a Research Vision for 2030, A Community of Practice Supported by the United States Department of Energy's Office of Science Open

Patrick M. Reed, Antonia Hadjimichael, Richard H. Moss, Erwan Monier, Sequoia Alba , et al. · 2022

This report outlines a vision for MultiSector Dynamics (MSD) as an emerging transdisciplinary field that seeks to advance our understanding of how human-Earth systems interactions shape the resources, goods, and services on which society d…

MultiSector Dynamics: Scientific Challenges and a Research Vision for 2030, A Community of Practice Supported by the United States Department of Energy's Office of Science Open

Patrick M. Reed, Antonia Hadjimichael, Richard H. Moss, Erwan Monier, Sequoia Alba , et al. · 2022

<p>This report outlines a vision for MultiSector Dynamics (MSD) as an emerging transdisciplinary field that seeks to advance our understanding of how human-Earth systems interactions shape the resources, goods, and services on which …

MultiSector Dynamics: Advancing the Science of Complex Adaptive Human-Earth Systems Open

Patrick M. Reed, Antonia Hadjimichael, Richard H. Moss, Christa Brelsford, Casey Burleyson , et al. · 2021

Earth and Space Science Open Archive This work has been accepted for publication in Earth's Future. Version of RecordESSOAr is a venue for early communication or feedback before peer review. Data may be preliminary. Learn more about prepri…

High-Resolution Regional Climate Models: Meeting Ongoing Community and Scientific Needs Open

William J. Gutowski, Paul Ullrich, Andy Hall, L. Ruby Leung, Travis O’Brien , et al. · 2020

The Ongoing Need for High-Resolution Regional Climate Models: Process Understanding and Stakeholder Information Open

William J. Gutowski, Paul Ullrich, Alex Hall, L. Ruby Leung, Travis O’Brien , et al. · 2020

Regional climate modeling addresses our need to understand and simulate climatic processes and phenomena unresolved in global models. This paper highlights examples of current approaches to and innovative uses of regional climate modeling …

Future nitrogen availability and its effect on carbon sequestration in Northern Eurasia Open

David W. Kicklighter, Jerry M. Melillo, Erwan Monier, Andrei Sokolov, Qianlai Zhuang · 2019

Nitrogen (N) availability exerts strong control on carbon storage in the forests of Northern Eurasia. Here, using a process-based model, we explore how three factors that alter N availability-permafrost degradation, atmospheric N depositio…

Underestimating Internal Variability Leads to Narrow Estimates of Climate System Properties Open

Alex Libardoni, Chris E. Forest, Andrei Sokolov, Erwan Monier · 2019

Probabilistic estimates of climate system properties often rely on the comparison of model simulations to observed temperature records and an estimate of the internal climate variability. In this study, we investigate the sensitivity of pr…

Future nitrogen availability and its effect on carbon sequestration in Northern Eurasia Open

David W. Kicklighter, Jerry M. Melillo, Erwan Monier, Andrei Sokolov, Qianlai Zhuang · 2019

Nitrogen (N) availability exerts strong control on carbon storage in the forests of Northern Eurasia. Here, using a process-based model, we explore how three factors that alter N availability—permafrost degradation, atmospheric N depositio…

Natural Variability in Projections of Climate Change Impacts on Fine Particulate Matter Pollution Open

Bret D. Pienkosz, Rebecca K. Saari, Erwan Monier, Fernando Garcia–Menendez · 2019

Variations in meteorology associated with climate change can impact fine particulate matter (PM 2.5 ) pollution by affecting natural emissions, atmospheric chemistry, and pollutant transport. However, substantial discrepancies exist among …

Ocean colour signature of climate change Open

Stephanie Dutkiewicz, Anna E. Hickman, Oliver Jahn, Stephanie Henson, Claudie Beaulieu , et al. · 2019

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