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View article: Comparing the environments of large hail, tornadoes and non-severe convection in the United Kingdom
Comparing the environments of large hail, tornadoes and non-severe convection in the United Kingdom Open
Destructive tornadoes and damaging hail are a rare but present hazard in the United Kingdom (UK), as illustrated by the November 2023 Jersey storm. However, improving our ability to understand and forecast these events requires moving beyo…
View article: Increasingly seasonal jet stream enhances joint wind-flood risk in Great Britain
Increasingly seasonal jet stream enhances joint wind-flood risk in Great Britain Open
Insurers and risk managers for critical infrastructure such as transport of power networks typically do not account for flooding and extreme winds happening at the same time in their quantitative risk assessments. We explore this potential…
View article: Increasingly Seasonal Jet Stream Raises Risk of Co‐Occurring Flooding and Extreme Wind in Great Britain
Increasingly Seasonal Jet Stream Raises Risk of Co‐Occurring Flooding and Extreme Wind in Great Britain Open
Insurers and risk managers for critical infrastructure such as transport or power networks typically do not account for flooding and extreme winds happening at the same time in their quantitative risk assessments. We explore this potential…
View article: GC Insights: Open-access R code for translating the co-occurrence of natural hazards into impact on joint financial risk
GC Insights: Open-access R code for translating the co-occurrence of natural hazards into impact on joint financial risk Open
Hydro-meteorological hazard is often estimated by academic and public sector researchers using publicly funded climate models, whilst the ensuing risk quantification uses proprietary insurance sector models, which can inhibit the effective…
View article: Winter climate preconditioning of summer vegetation extremes in the Northern Hemisphere
Winter climate preconditioning of summer vegetation extremes in the Northern Hemisphere Open
The impact of the spring climate on the Northern Hemisphere’s summer vegetation activity and extremes has been extensively researched, but less attention has been devoted to whether and how the winter climate may additionally influence veg…
View article: Comment on egusphere-2023-2799
Comment on egusphere-2023-2799 Open
Abstract. Hydro-meteorological hazard is often estimated by university-based scientists using publicly funded climate models, whilst the ensuing risk quantification uses proprietary insurance sector models, which can inhibit the effective …
View article: Putting Climate Resilience in Its Place: Developing Spatially Literate Climate Adaptation Initiatives
Putting Climate Resilience in Its Place: Developing Spatially Literate Climate Adaptation Initiatives Open
Understanding the socioeconomic, cultural, historical and political nuances of a place is essential for realising effective local decision-making for climate action. People are central to understanding place-based risk and resilience, with…
View article: What Has Been Learned About Converting Climate Hazard Data to Climate Risk Information?
What Has Been Learned About Converting Climate Hazard Data to Climate Risk Information? Open
Understanding climate risks requires consideration of the hazard, vulnerability and exposure. The understanding and quantification of climate vulnerabilities is central to developing valuable assessments of future risks, with close communi…
View article: GC Insights: Open R-code to communicate the impact of co-occurring natural hazards
GC Insights: Open R-code to communicate the impact of co-occurring natural hazards Open
Hydro-meteorological hazard is often estimated by university-based scientists using publicly funded climate models, whilst the ensuing risk quantification uses proprietary insurance sector models, which can inhibit the effective translatio…
View article: Enhanced climatology of large hail in the UK: Radar-derived diurnal cycle and storm mode
Enhanced climatology of large hail in the UK: Radar-derived diurnal cycle and storm mode Open
<p><span class="fontstyle0">Large hail, with a diameter of at least 20 mm, is a hazard associated with severe convective storms (SCS) that can cause significant damage. Understanding of atmospheric environments conduc…
View article: Co-occurring British flood-wind events (1980-2080): Their anatomy & drivers
Co-occurring British flood-wind events (1980-2080): Their anatomy & drivers Open
<p>In wintertime, infrastructure and property in NW Europe are threatened by multiple meteorological hazards, and it is increasingly apparent that these exacerbate risk by tending to co-occurring in events that last days to weeks. Im…
View article: Enhanced climatology of large hail in the UK: Radar-derived diurnal cycle and storm mode
Enhanced climatology of large hail in the UK: Radar-derived diurnal cycle and storm mode Open
Large hail, with a diameter of at least 20 mm, is a hazard associated with severe convective storms (SCS) that can cause significant damage. Understanding of atmospheric environments conducive to large hail is underpinned by catalogues of …
View article: Characterizing temperature and precipitation multi‐variate biases in 12 and 2.2 km <scp>UK</scp> Climate Projections
Characterizing temperature and precipitation multi‐variate biases in 12 and 2.2 km <span>UK</span> Climate Projections Open
Many impactful weather and climate events include two or more variables (like temperature or precipitation) having high or low values (e.g., hot dry summers). Understanding biases in the relationship between modelled variables is important…
View article: Identifying Weather Patterns Associated with Increased Volcanic Ash Risk within British Isles Airspace
Identifying Weather Patterns Associated with Increased Volcanic Ash Risk within British Isles Airspace Open
Icelandic volcanic emissions have been shown historically and more recently to have an impact on public health and aviation across northern and western Europe. The severity of these impacts is governed by the prevailing weather conditions …
View article: Probabilistic modelling and simulation of big spatio-temporal climate data for quantifying future changes of compound events
Probabilistic modelling and simulation of big spatio-temporal climate data for quantifying future changes of compound events Open
<p>The analysis of climate change impacts involves the utilisation of climate model output. Quite often, quantities of interest are compound events rather than &#8220;raw variables&#8221; such as temperature. Questions such a…
View article: Future climate risk to UK agriculture from heat and humidity changes
Future climate risk to UK agriculture from heat and humidity changes Open
<p>Assessments of current and future climate risk are required for adaptation planning to increase resilience and enable society to cope with future climate hazards. Here we identify case studies of compound hazard (involving heat an…
View article: Future climate risk to UK agriculture from compound events
Future climate risk to UK agriculture from compound events Open
Assessments of current and future climate risk are required for adaptation planning to increase resilience and enable society to cope with future climate hazards. Here we identify case studies of compound hazard events of interest to the U…
View article: Multiple hazards under future UK Climate Projections
Multiple hazards under future UK Climate Projections Open
<p>When two or more extreme weather events occur either simultaneously or in close succession, there may be more severe societal and economic impacts than when extreme hazards occur alone. Impacts may also cascade across different se…
View article: Model‐Derived Uncertainties in Deep Ocean Temperature Trends Between 1990 and 2010
Model‐Derived Uncertainties in Deep Ocean Temperature Trends Between 1990 and 2010 Open
We construct a novel framework to investigate the uncertainties and biases associated with estimates of deep ocean temperature change from hydrographic sections and demonstrate this framework in an eddy‐permitting ocean model. Biases in es…
View article: Isolating and Reconstructing Key Components of North Atlantic Ocean Variability From a Sclerochronological Spatial Network
Isolating and Reconstructing Key Components of North Atlantic Ocean Variability From a Sclerochronological Spatial Network Open
Our understanding of North Atlantic Ocean variability within the coupled climate system is limited by the brevity of instrumental records and a deficiency of absolutely dated marine proxies. Here we demonstrate that a spatial network of ma…