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View article: Regional Variations in the Dynamics of the COVID-19 Pandemic in the US
Regional Variations in the Dynamics of the COVID-19 Pandemic in the US Open
Since identified as the pathogen responsible for an outbreak of severe respiratory distress in Wuhan, China, the 2019-nCoV coronavirus has caused over 30M cases and 1M deaths globally. Sporadic cases were identified in several states in th…
View article: A Pandemic since When?
A Pandemic since When? Open
late in December 2019 2019-nCoV was identified as the pathogen responsible for an outbreak of severe respiratory distress in Wuhan, China. The virus was detected in multiple countries during January, but it is believed widespread community…
View article: <strong>Covid-19 Seroprevalence - Do the Results Advance the Aims?</strong>
<strong>Covid-19 Seroprevalence - Do the Results Advance the Aims?</strong> Open
Seroprevalence studies suggest that the number of PCR-confirmed COVID-19 cases is significantly smaller than the true number of infections. I study logintidual seroprevalence data from 7 sites across the US, from early April 2020 to June 2…
View article: The Silent Partners
The Silent Partners Open
Despite great advances in understanding the dynamics of viral epidemics, the emergence of rapidly spreading, highly pathogenic viruses remains a realistic and catastrophic possibility, which current health systems may not be able to fully …
View article: The Silent Partners
The Silent Partners Open
Despite great advances in understanding the dynamics of viral epidemics, the emergence of rapidly spreading, highly pathogenic viruses remains a realistic and catastrophic possibility, which current health systems may not be able to fully …
View article: 2223. Real-time Prediction of Respiratory Pathogen Infection Based on Machine Learning Decision Support Tool
2223. Real-time Prediction of Respiratory Pathogen Infection Based on Machine Learning Decision Support Tool Open
Background Respiratory pathogens are a common cause of disease. Currently there is not a practical tool to predict the putative etiology of each case with an inexpensive, fast point-of-care assay. Here, we describe a decision support tool …
View article: Analysis of Influenza and RSV dynamics in the community using a ‘Local Transmission Zone’ approach
Analysis of Influenza and RSV dynamics in the community using a ‘Local Transmission Zone’ approach Open
Understanding the dynamics of pathogen spread within urban areas is critical for the effective prevention and containment of communicable diseases. At these relatively small geographic scales, short-distance interactions and tightly knit s…
View article: Mycoplasma pneumoniae spread, persistence and resistance. Lessons from a single urban area
Mycoplasma pneumoniae spread, persistence and resistance. Lessons from a single urban area Open
Mycoplasma pneumoniae (MP) is a common respiratory pathogen. Epidemics were reported to occur every 3–4 years and usually last for 2 years. Conversely, reports from the 1970’s and recently from China suggested constant high rates of MP inf…