Giulia Pullano
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View article: Disruption of outdoor activities caused by wildfire smoke shapes circulation of respiratory pathogens
Disruption of outdoor activities caused by wildfire smoke shapes circulation of respiratory pathogens Open
As climate change accelerates, the frequency and severity of extreme weather events, such as wildfires, are increasing, with profound impacts on human health. While much attention has been paid to the direct health consequences of these ev…
View article: Characterizing US Spatial Connectivity and Implications for Geographical Disease Dynamics and Metapopulation Modeling: Longitudinal Observational Study
Characterizing US Spatial Connectivity and Implications for Geographical Disease Dynamics and Metapopulation Modeling: Longitudinal Observational Study Open
Background Human mobility is expected to be a critical factor in the geographic diffusion of infectious diseases, and this assumption led to the implementation of social distancing policies during the early fight against the COVID-19 emerg…
View article: Routes of importation and spatial dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 variants during localized interventions in Chile
Routes of importation and spatial dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 variants during localized interventions in Chile Open
Human mobility is strongly associated with the spread of SARS-CoV-2 via air travel on an international scale and with population mixing and the number of people moving between locations on a local scale. However, these conclusions are draw…
View article: Mobility resolution needed to inform predictive epidemic models for spatial transmission from mobile phone data
Mobility resolution needed to inform predictive epidemic models for spatial transmission from mobile phone data Open
Mobility flows extracted from mobile phone data have been extensively used in recent years to inform spatial epidemic models for the study of various infectious disease epidemics, including Malaria, Cholera, and Ebola. Most recently, the C…
View article: Modeling the effects of COVID-19 mobility disruptions on RSV transmission in Seattle, Washington
Modeling the effects of COVID-19 mobility disruptions on RSV transmission in Seattle, Washington Open
A bstract Introduction Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) infection is a major cause of acute respiratory hospitalizations in young children and older adults. In early 2020 most countries implemented non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) …
View article: Disruption of outdoor activities caused by wildfires increases disease circulation
Disruption of outdoor activities caused by wildfires increases disease circulation Open
Although climate change poses a well-established risk to human health, present-day health impacts, particularly those resulting from climate-induced behavioral changes, are under-quantified. Analyzing the U.S. West Coast wildfires of Septe…
View article: Data and model needs for generalizable inferences linking human mobility and infectious disease transmission
Data and model needs for generalizable inferences linking human mobility and infectious disease transmission Open
Mobility data have been used to reconstruct infectious disease dynamics and tailor control and elimination measures. We describe three challenges in using these data and identify opportunities to leverage existing resources, improving our …
View article: Routes of importation and spatial dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 variants during localised interventions in Chile
Routes of importation and spatial dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 variants during localised interventions in Chile Open
South America suffered large SARS-CoV-2 epidemics between 2020 and 2022 caused by multiple variants of interest and concern, some causing substantial morbidity and mortality. However, their transmission dynamics are poorly characterised. T…
View article: Characterizing US spatial connectivity: implications for geographical disease dynamics and metapopulation modeling
Characterizing US spatial connectivity: implications for geographical disease dynamics and metapopulation modeling Open
Summary Background Human mobility is expected to be a critical factor in the geographic diffusion of infectious diseases, and this assumption led to the implementation of social distancing policies during the early fight against the COVID-…
View article: The impact of spatial connectivity on NPIs effectiveness
The impact of spatial connectivity on NPIs effectiveness Open
Background France implemented a combination of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to manage the COVID-19 pandemic between September 2020 and June 2021. These included a lockdown in the fall 2020 – the second since the start of the pan…
View article: Disruption of outdoor activities caused by wildfire smoke shapes circulation of respiratory pathogens
Disruption of outdoor activities caused by wildfire smoke shapes circulation of respiratory pathogens Open
The consequences of wildfires on public health extend beyond injury. Smoke can traverse vast distances, compromising air quality in unaffected areas and exacerbating chronic respiratory conditions. But smoke may affect the circulation and …
View article: Impact of January 2021 curfew measures on SARS-CoV-2 B.1.1.7 circulation in France
Impact of January 2021 curfew measures on SARS-CoV-2 B.1.1.7 circulation in France Open
Following the spread of the SARS-CoV-2 B.1.1.7 variant, social distancing was strengthened in France in January 2021. Using a two-strain mathematical model calibrated on genomic surveillance, we estimated that curfew measures allowed hospi…
View article: Impact of January 2021 curfew measures on SARS-CoV-2 B.1.1.7 circulation in France
Impact of January 2021 curfew measures on SARS-CoV-2 B.1.1.7 circulation in France Open
Facing B.1.1.7 variant, social distancing was strengthened in France in January 2021. Using a 2-strain mathematical model calibrated on genomic surveillance, we estimated that curfew measures allowed hospitalizations to plateau, by decreas…
View article: Modelling safe protocols for reopening schools during the COVID-19 pandemic in France
Modelling safe protocols for reopening schools during the COVID-19 pandemic in France Open
As countries in Europe implement strategies to control the COVID-19 pandemic, different options are chosen regarding schools. Through a stochastic age-structured transmission model calibrated to the observed epidemic in Île-de-France in th…
View article: Evaluating the effect of demographic factors, socioeconomic factors, and risk aversion on mobility during the COVID-19 epidemic in France under lockdown: a population-based study
Evaluating the effect of demographic factors, socioeconomic factors, and risk aversion on mobility during the COVID-19 epidemic in France under lockdown: a population-based study Open
Agence Nationale de la Recherche, EU, REACTing.
View article: Underdetection of COVID-19 cases in France in the exit phase following lockdown
Underdetection of COVID-19 cases in France in the exit phase following lockdown Open
A novel testing policy was implemented in May in France to systematically screen potential COVID-19 infections and suppress local outbreaks while lifting lockdown restrictions. 20,736 virologically-confirmed cases were reported in mainland…
View article: Tracing and analysis of 288 early SARS-CoV-2 infections outside China: A modeling study
Tracing and analysis of 288 early SARS-CoV-2 infections outside China: A modeling study Open
Our findings indicate that travel bans and containment strategies adopted in China were effective in reducing the exportation growth rate. However, the risk of importation was estimated to increase again from other sources in South East As…
View article: Evaluating the impact of demographic, socioeconomic factors, and risk aversion on mobility during COVID-19 epidemic in France under lockdown: a population-based study
Evaluating the impact of demographic, socioeconomic factors, and risk aversion on mobility during COVID-19 epidemic in France under lockdown: a population-based study Open
On March 17, 2020, French authorities implemented a nationwide lockdown to respond to COVID-19 epidemic and curb the surge of patients requiring critical care, similarly to other countries. Evaluating the impact of lockdown on population m…
View article: Modelling safe protocols for reopening schools during the COVID-19 pandemic in France
Modelling safe protocols for reopening schools during the COVID-19 pandemic in France Open
As countries in Europe implement strategies to control COVID-19 pandemic, different options are chosen regarding schools. Through a stochastic age-structured transmission model calibrated to the observed epidemic in Île-de-France in the fi…
View article: Impact of lockdown on COVID-19 epidemic in Île-de-France and possible exit strategies
Impact of lockdown on COVID-19 epidemic in Île-de-France and possible exit strategies Open
Background More than half of the global population is under strict forms of social distancing. Estimating the expected impact of lockdown and exit strategies is critical to inform decision makers on the management of the COVID-19 health cr…
View article: Lessons learnt from 288 COVID-19 international cases: importations over time, effect of interventions, underdetection of imported cases
Lessons learnt from 288 COVID-19 international cases: importations over time, effect of interventions, underdetection of imported cases Open
288 cases have been confirmed out of China from January 3 to February 13, 2020. We collected and synthesized all available information on these cases from official sources and media. We analyzed importations that were successfully isolated…
View article: Preparedness and vulnerability of African countries against introductions of 2019-nCoV
Preparedness and vulnerability of African countries against introductions of 2019-nCoV Open
Background The novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) epidemic has spread to 23 countries from China. Local cycles of transmission already occurred in 7 countries following case importation. No African country has reported cases yet. The management…
View article: Novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) early-stage importation risk to Europe, January 2020
Novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) early-stage importation risk to Europe, January 2020 Open
As at 27 January 2020, 42 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) cases were confirmed outside China. We estimate the risk of case importation to Europe from affected areas in China via air travel. We consider travel restrictions in place, three rep…
View article: Efficient team structures in an open-ended cooperative creativity experiment
Efficient team structures in an open-ended cooperative creativity experiment Open
Significance Understanding how to best form teams to perform creative tasks is a fascinating although elusive problem. Here we propose an experimental setting for studying the performances of a population of individuals committed to an ope…