Explanipedia

Comment on egusphere-2025-2531 Open

Gordon Woo · 2025

A dual-focus analysis of wikipedia traffic and linguistic patterns in public risk awareness Post-Charlie Hebdo Open

Or Elroy, Gordon Woo, Nadejda Komendantova, Abraham Yosipof · 2024

This study investigates the dynamics of public risk awareness in the aftermath of the Charlie Hebdo terrorist attack on January 7, 2015, through a dual-focus analysis of Wikipedia traffic and Google Trends data. Analyzing the temporal patt…

A role game to learn about risk perception via downward counterfactual thinking Open

Maria Vittoria Gargiulo, Gordon Woo, Raffaella Russo, Paolo Capuano · 2024

Simple fusion-fission quantifies Israel-Palestine violence and suggests multi-adversary solution Open

Frank Yingjie Huo, Pedro D. Manrique, Dylan Johnson Restrepo, Gordon Woo, Neil F. Johnson · 2024

Why humans fight has no easy answer. However, understanding better how humans fight could inform future interventions, hidden shifts and casualty risk. Fusion-fission describes the well-known grouping behavior of fish etc. fighting for sur…

Comment on nhess-2024-102 Open

Gordon Woo · 2024

Abstract. Real-time monitoring of volcano-seismic signals is complex. Typically, automatic systems are built by learning from large seismic catalogues, where each instance has a label indicating its source mechanism. Howev…

Public Administration Capacity Building through Exploring Downward Counterfactuals Open

Gordon Woo, M. V. Gargiulo, Francesco Napolitano, Ortensia Amoroso, R. Russo , et al. · 2024

Of all natural disasters, those especially liable to exhaust capacity are those that occur without a precedent, and cause surprise to public administration officials. This paper addresses this issue. Surprise can be mitigated by considerin…

Turkish earthquake death tolls: lessons from downward counterfactual analysis and informal construction Open

Gordon Woo, M. V. Gargiulo, Francesco Napolitano, Ortensia Amoroso, R. Russo , et al. · 2024

Earthquake death tolls are a basic statistical measure of the capability of a country to manage seismic risk. The extremely high Turkish death toll of 50,000 from the Kahramanmaraş earthquake doublet of 6 February 2023 is the product of a …

Downward counterfactual search for cascading losses Open

Gordon Woo · 2024

Loss exceedance curves have fat tails arising from cascading losses. Even though such losses are rare, insight can be gained by considering alternative downward counterfactual realizations of historical events. The use of downw…

Exploring Risk Perception through a game of Downward Counterfactuals  Open

Maria Vittoria Gargiulo, Gordon Woo, Raffaella Russo, Ferdinando Napolitano, Ortensia Amoroso , et al. · 2024

Italy, with its complex geological profile, faces significant seismic and volcanic hazards, particularly in the Campania region (Southern Italy). Here, the Campi Flegrei caldera, one of the most hazardous active volcanoes in the world, is …

A Role Game to Learn About Risk Perception Via Downward Counterfactual Thinking Open

Maria Vittoria Gargiulo, Gordon Woo, Raffaella Russo, Paolo Capuano · 2024

Reply on AC1 Open

Gordon Woo · 2023

Abstract. Using the PGA under four exceeding probabilities calculated by China probabilistic seismic hazard analysis method, the probability density function of PGA was obtained by fitting utilizing the Cornell seismic haz…

Comment on egusphere-2023-1301 Open

Gordon Woo · 2023

Abstract. In this paper we present a new model for the simulation of lahars, based on the depth-averaged code IMEX-SfloW2D with new governing and constitutive equations introduced to better describe the dynamics of lahars.…

Downward counterfactual analysis of multi-risk cascades Open

M. V. Gargiulo, Gordon Woo, Elvira Battimelli, Ortensia Amoroso, Ferdinando Napolitano , et al. · 2023

Loss outcomes from geohazards are compounded by an array of human risk factors. The combination of geohazards and human risk factors can generate multi-risk cascades. In the historical record, disasters arising from such multi-risk cascade…

Comment on egusphere-2023-978 Open

Gordon Woo · 2023

Abstract. Optical correlation, interferometry, and field investigation of laterally offset features were undertaken to analyze the kinematics of the 2020 M_w6.6 Masbate earthquake. Coseismic displacement…

Persistence of risk awareness: Manchester arena bombing on 22 May 2017 Open

Abraham Yosipof, Gordon Woo, Nadejda Komendantova · 2023

Every time a significant societal catastrophe occurs, the resulting trauma intensifies the sense of risk awareness, which often wanes in the public consciousness over time. Even the most widely covered and important events, though, can fad…

Quantifying ballistic projectile hazards and risks due to paroxysms and major explosions at Stromboli (Italy) Open

Andrea Bevilacqua, A. Bertagnini, Massimo Pompilio, Patrizia Landi, Paola Del Carlo , et al. · 2023

Major explosions and paroxysms, respectively, have been the most powerful explosive phenomena at Stromboli in recent centuries. These two categories of explosions, although not sharply separable in terms of eruptive mechanisms and hazards,…

A Round-Table Game for Exploring Extreme Risk Outcomes Open

Gordon Woo · 2023

Historical events provide a valuable source of information about the risk environment. Risk analysts recognise a substantial degree of variability in the way in which a hazard event evolves. Alternatively, a historical event mi…

Persistence of Risk Awareness: Manchester Area Bombing on 22 May 2017 Open

Abraham Yosipof, Gordon Woo, Nadejda Komendantova · 2023

Characterizing Drivers of Asia's Black Elephant Disaster Risks Open

Yolanda C. Lin, Gizem Mestav Sarica, Terence Jie Chua, Asako B. Stone, Susanna F. Jenkins , et al. · 2022

Asia has the fastest growing population and economy, but it is also the most disaster‐prone region in the world. Resilience to disaster impacts from natural hazards will be key to the long‐term sustainability of this rapidly growing region…

Editorial: Reimagining the History of Extreme Events Open

Gordon Woo · 2022

EDITORIAL article Front. Earth Sci., 16 June 2022Sec. Geohazards and Georisks https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2022.927372

Downward counterfactual insights into weather extremes Open

Gordon Woo · 2022

<p>There are many regions where the duration of reliable scientific observations of key weather hazard variables, such as rainfall and wind speed, is of the order of just a few decades.  This length of dataset is often inade…

Asia’s looming Black Elephant events Open

Yolanda C. Lin, Gizem Mestav Sarica, Terence Jie Chua, Susanna F. Jenkins, Adam D. Switzer , et al. · 2021

Innovations in earthquake risk reduction for resilience: Recent advances and challenges Open

Fabio Freddi, Carmine Galasso, Gemma Cremen, Andrea Dall’Asta, Luigi Di Sarno , et al. · 2021

A counterfactual perspective on compound weather risk Open

Gordon Woo · 2021

Extreme weather outcomes are a multi-dimensional function of interacting physical processes. Actual compound events correspond to particular specific historical realisations of these coupled processes. But due to their intrinsic stochastic…

Modeling Downward Counterfactual Events: Unrealized Disasters and why they Matter Open

Yolanda C. Lin, Susanna F. Jenkins, Jun Rui Chow, Sébastien Biass, Gordon Woo , et al. · 2020

Disaster risk research’s reliance on past events has proved inadequate when it comes to extreme events. This shortcoming stems from limited records (for example, due to the vast differences in timescales between geological processes and hu…

Downward Counterfactual Search for Extreme Events Open

Gordon Woo · 2019

An event catalog is a foundation of the risk analysis for any natural hazard. Especially if the catalog is comparatively brief relative to the return periods of possible events, it may well be deficient in extreme events that are of specia…

Counterfactual Analysis of Runaway Volcanic Explosions Open

Willy Aspinall, Gordon Woo · 2019

“Few, beside the student of such phenomena, will be able to realize what would have resulted from a more concentrated liberation of the accumulating energy if, for instance, instead of being separated into moderate earth movements and gas …

Age-dependence of the 1918 pandemic Open

Gordon Woo · 2019

A well-known feature of the great H1N1 influenza pandemic of a century ago is that the highest mortality rate was amongst young adults. The general explanation has been that they died from an over-reaction of their active immune systems. T…

Stochastic Modeling of Past Volcanic Crises Open

Gordon Woo · 2018

The statistical foundation of disaster risk analysis is past experience. From a scientific perspective, history is just one realization of what might have happened, given the randomness and chaotic dynamics of nature. Stochastic analysis o…

International Mortality and Longevity Symposium Open

Joseph Lu, Tom Kirkwood, S. Jay Olshansky, Carol Jagger, Dame Karen Dunnell , et al. · 2017

An abstract is not available for this content. As you have access to this content, full HTML content is provided on this page. A PDF of this content is also available in through the ‘Save PDF’ action button.

Gordon Woo YOU? Author Swipe