Jason P. Evans
YOU?
Author Swipe
View article: Atmospheric profiles associated with pyrocumulonimbus in southeast Australia
Atmospheric profiles associated with pyrocumulonimbus in southeast Australia Open
Pyrocumulonimbus (pyroCb) are thunderstorms generated by wildfires. They present significant risks to first responders and civilian populations in southeast Australia and in many regions around the world. PyroCb are increasingly common in …
View article: Projected Convective Storm Environment in the Australian Region from Two Downscaling Ensemble Systems Under the SRES-A2/RCP8.5 Scenarios
Projected Convective Storm Environment in the Australian Region from Two Downscaling Ensemble Systems Under the SRES-A2/RCP8.5 Scenarios Open
Local thunderstorms are among the major meteorological hazards in the Australian region. These storms inherently have compound impacts, including hail, flash floods, and wind gusts, and consistently cause some of the highest insured losses…
View article: Characterization of the Australia’s 2019 megafires: a remote-sensing perspective
Characterization of the Australia’s 2019 megafires: a remote-sensing perspective Open
View article: Three generations of NARCliM: future projections of mean and extreme climate over the CORDEX Australasia domain
Three generations of NARCliM: future projections of mean and extreme climate over the CORDEX Australasia domain Open
Regional climate simulations provide essential high-resolution information for climate services. This study evaluates future changes in mean climate and 10 extremes using three generations of the NARCliM (NSW and Australian Regional Climat…
View article: The influence of lateral flow on land surface fluxes in southeast Australia varies with model resolution
The influence of lateral flow on land surface fluxes in southeast Australia varies with model resolution Open
Land surface models (LSMs) used in climate models typically represent surface hydrology as one-dimensional vertical fluxes, neglecting the lateral movement of water within and between grids. It is assumed that lateral flow of water has a n…
View article: Extreme Coastal Waves due to Australian East Coast Lows in a Warming Climate
Extreme Coastal Waves due to Australian East Coast Lows in a Warming Climate Open
View article: Disentangling the uncertainties in regional projections for Australia
Disentangling the uncertainties in regional projections for Australia Open
Understanding, quantifying and visualising projected ranges of future regional climate change is important for informing robust climate change impact assessments. Here, we examine projections of Australian sub-continental regionally averag…
View article: Building relationships between First Nations Peoples and Western scientists to increase capacity to understand, respond and adapt to climate change
Building relationships between First Nations Peoples and Western scientists to increase capacity to understand, respond and adapt to climate change Open
Warning: Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people should be aware that this paper contains name(s) of deceased person(s). First Nations and their People have stressed to Western scientists that Country is in distress and traditional kn…
View article: Mapping urban dynamics in Greater Sydney – A scalable multi-decadal local climate zone classification approach
Mapping urban dynamics in Greater Sydney – A scalable multi-decadal local climate zone classification approach Open
Urbanization has significantly altered land surface properties, leading to changes in local micro-climates and impacts on regional climate. To understand these changes, long-term, precise urban land use and land cover (LULC) data are essen…
View article: Distinguishing environmental controls on strong vs. extreme wind gusts
Distinguishing environmental controls on strong vs. extreme wind gusts Open
Statistical and theoretical models of wind gusts may be dominated by more common strong events, rather than rare but damaging extreme ones. We address this by combining case studies of six extreme gust cases in New South Wales (NSW), Austr…
View article: Supplementary material to "Enhancing the Lagrangian approach for moisture source identification through sensitivity testing of assumptions using BTrIMS1.1"
Supplementary material to "Enhancing the Lagrangian approach for moisture source identification through sensitivity testing of assumptions using BTrIMS1.1" Open
View article: Enhancing the Lagrangian approach for moisture source identification through sensitivity testing of assumptions using BTrIMS1.1
Enhancing the Lagrangian approach for moisture source identification through sensitivity testing of assumptions using BTrIMS1.1 Open
Moisture is the fundamental basis for precipitation, and understanding the sources of moisture is crucial for comprehending changes in precipitation patterns. Lagrangian models have been employed for moisture tracking in both extreme weath…
View article: Substantial increases in future precipitation extremes—insights from a large ensemble of downscaled CMIP6 models
Substantial increases in future precipitation extremes—insights from a large ensemble of downscaled CMIP6 models Open
We investigated projected changes to daily mean, common extreme (99th and 99.7th percentile), and rare extreme (annual exceedance probability (AEP) 1 in 10, 50, and 100) precipitation events across Australia and its greater capital cities …
View article: Performance of a 179-year high-resolution climate simulation of Southern Alaska
Performance of a 179-year high-resolution climate simulation of Southern Alaska Open
Alaska has one of the world's largest glaciated areas and is highly sensitive to climate change. Alaskan glaciers currently contribute about a third of the global sea level rise, with tidewater glaciers playing a significant role through r…
View article: Are high-resolution urban datasets necessary for accurate heat exposure modelling in cities?
Are high-resolution urban datasets necessary for accurate heat exposure modelling in cities? Open
Climate change drives global temperature rises. In cities, where most people live, urbanisation further exacerbates how people experience this excessive heat. The resulting urban heat disrupts businesses, economies, and power grids on a la…
View article: Flash drought prediction using deep learning
Flash drought prediction using deep learning Open
Flash droughts are rapid, short-term drought events that develop within weeks, driven by factors such as low rainfall, high temperatures, and strong winds, which deplete soil moisture and stress vegetation. These events have profound agric…
View article: Understanding Urbanization’s Influence on Rainfall in Sydney Through High-Resolution Modeling and Storm Analysis
Understanding Urbanization’s Influence on Rainfall in Sydney Through High-Resolution Modeling and Storm Analysis Open
Urbanization alters land surface properties, impacting local and regional climates and increasing vulnerability to extreme weather events, such as heavy rainfall and heat waves. Understanding these effects requires high-resolution, long-te…
View article: Downdraft and Convective Gust Properties and Driving Mechanisms in High-Resolution Numerical Simulations: A Case Study of an Extreme Event in South-Eastern Australia
Downdraft and Convective Gust Properties and Driving Mechanisms in High-Resolution Numerical Simulations: A Case Study of an Extreme Event in South-Eastern Australia Open
View article: Substantial increases in future precipitation extremes – insights from a large ensemble of downscaled CMIP6 models
Substantial increases in future precipitation extremes – insights from a large ensemble of downscaled CMIP6 models Open
Extreme precipitation events are widely held to become more intense and frequent as a result of climate change, which will have major impacts for future flooding with implications for the environment, infrastructure, agriculture, and human…
View article: Editorial: Australia's Tinderbox Drought
Editorial: Australia's Tinderbox Drought Open
View article: Evaluating Microphysics and Boundary Layer Schemes in WRF: Assessment of 36 Scheme Combinations for 17 Major Storms in Saudi Arabia
Evaluating Microphysics and Boundary Layer Schemes in WRF: Assessment of 36 Scheme Combinations for 17 Major Storms in Saudi Arabia Open
Extreme rainfall events (EREs) and resulting flash floods in Saudi Arabia cause significant risks, including casualties and economic losses. Accurate simulations are crucial for forecasting, climate projections, and disaster management. Th…
View article: Physical mechanisms of meteorological drought development, intensification and termination: an Australian review
Physical mechanisms of meteorological drought development, intensification and termination: an Australian review Open
We synthesise advances in the understanding of the physical processes that play a role in developing, intensifying, and terminating meteorological droughts. We focus on Australia, where new understanding of drought drivers across different…
View article: Assessing the influence of bias correction of boundary conditions, spectral nudging and model parameterisation on model errors and climate change signals for regional climate model simulations
Assessing the influence of bias correction of boundary conditions, spectral nudging and model parameterisation on model errors and climate change signals for regional climate model simulations Open
Some of the most important considerations when undertaking dynamical downscaling of global climate models (GCMs) using regional climate models are the choice of model physical parameterisations, the use of spectral nudging, and whether to …
View article: Design, evaluation, and future projections of the NARCliM2.0 CORDEX-CMIP6 Australasia regional climate ensemble
Design, evaluation, and future projections of the NARCliM2.0 CORDEX-CMIP6 Australasia regional climate ensemble Open
NARCliM2.0 (New South Wales and Australian Regional Climate Modelling) comprises two Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) regional climate models (RCMs) which downscale five Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) global cl…
View article: Evaluation of CORDEX ERA5-forced NARCliM2.0 regional climate models over Australia using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model version 4.1.2
Evaluation of CORDEX ERA5-forced NARCliM2.0 regional climate models over Australia using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model version 4.1.2 Open
Understanding regional climate model (RCM) capabilities to simulate current climate informs model development and climate change assessments. This is the first evaluation of the NARCliM2.0 ensemble of seven Weather Forecasting and Research…
View article: Methodological Sensitivities When Identifying Dryland Degradation: Case Studies from Two Australian Regions
Methodological Sensitivities When Identifying Dryland Degradation: Case Studies from Two Australian Regions Open
View article: Three Generations of Narclim Regional Climate Modelling: Evaluation of Mean and Extreme Climate Over the Cordex Australasia Domain
Three Generations of Narclim Regional Climate Modelling: Evaluation of Mean and Extreme Climate Over the Cordex Australasia Domain Open
View article: Quantifying vegetation recovery after fire considering post-fire rainfall
Quantifying vegetation recovery after fire considering post-fire rainfall Open
Bushfires alter ecosystems, necessitating the study of post-fire vegetation recovery to better understand vegetation health and vegetation activity. This study uses a data-driven statistical method, Time Series Segmentation on Residual Tre…
View article: The influence of lateral flow on land surface fluxes in southeast Australia varies with model resolution
The influence of lateral flow on land surface fluxes in southeast Australia varies with model resolution Open
Land surface models (LSMs) used in climate models typically represent surface hydrology as one-dimensional vertical fluxes, neglecting the lateral movement of water within and between grids. It is assumed that lateral flow of water has a n…
View article: Impacts of 2019–20 Australian bushfires on solar photovoltaic generation using high-resolution simulations
Impacts of 2019–20 Australian bushfires on solar photovoltaic generation using high-resolution simulations Open