Jonathan Spinoni
YOU?
Author Swipe
View article: Developing aridity information systems to improve regional to global adaptation
Developing aridity information systems to improve regional to global adaptation Open
Artículo científico (preprint)
View article: Past and Projected Climate Impacts on Human Development
Past and Projected Climate Impacts on Human Development Open
Climate change is characterized by an increase in the frequency and intensity of extreme events and a rise in the mean temperature. These phenomena threaten economic systems and broader dimensions of human well-being, including health and …
View article: Global age-dependent population exposure to multiple future climate extremes
Global age-dependent population exposure to multiple future climate extremes Open
In the last decades, climate extremes have become more frequent and severe over most regions of the World. Combined with poor adaptation measures and limited mitigation strategies, such extremes have progressively caused large socioeconomi…
View article: Classifying mega-droughts according to population, land-use, and economic exposure
Classifying mega-droughts according to population, land-use, and economic exposure Open
In recent years, extreme droughts – both on spatial extent and duration – have become more frequent and tend to occur in all continents. Some examples are the consecutive droughts in California in the 2010s and the 2020s, the long-lasting …
View article: Probabilistic prediction of climate extreme events with deep learning
Probabilistic prediction of climate extreme events with deep learning Open
Climate extreme events pose significant societal and environmental challenges, yet their prediction remains complex due to their rare occurrence and inherent variability. We present a novel probabilistic deep learning framework that predic…
View article: Human and land exposure to future recurrent unprecedented extremes
Human and land exposure to future recurrent unprecedented extremes Open
In the last decades, highly impacting climate extremes have become increasingly frequent in many different global hotspots. According to climate projections, such events are likely to become even more severe during the 21st century, to the…
View article: Past and Projected Climate Extremes Impacts on Human Development 
Past and Projected Climate Extremes Impacts on Human Development  Open
Climate change is increasing the frequency and intensity of extreme events and hazards, posing serious risks to societies and ecosystems worldwide. These phenomena do not only threaten economic systems but also broader dimensions of human …
View article: The United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification Report on Rising Aridity Trends Globally and Associated Biological and Agricultural Implications
The United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification Report on Rising Aridity Trends Globally and Associated Biological and Agricultural Implications Open
Aridity, characterized by low precipitation and high evaporative demand, affects ecosystems, agriculture, and societies, posing critical challenges in a changing climate.
View article: Evaluating the role of time lag between climate extremes and socioeconomic impacts
Evaluating the role of time lag between climate extremes and socioeconomic impacts Open
In the last decades, climate-related extremes are becoming a recurrent feature in many hotspot regions, as southern Latin America, the Mediterranean, the sub-Saharan Africa, north-eastern China, and southern Australia. Depending on the typ…
View article: Record-breaking European meteorological droughts in 1921-2024
Record-breaking European meteorological droughts in 1921-2024 Open
Pan-European summer drought of 2022 affected different sectors as agriculture, energy, ecosystems, and population health, with both large-scale and local remarkable impacts. In the last decades, similar extreme droughts hit Europe, to the …
View article: Are unprecedented climate extremes unavoidable with temperature overshoot pathways?
Are unprecedented climate extremes unavoidable with temperature overshoot pathways? Open
According to climate and socioeconomic projections, a global development based on high-emission scenarios is likely to see a progressive increase in magnitude of climate extremes, resulting in large impacts who can lead to devastating impa…
View article: Countries with future highest exposure to unprecedented climate extremes 
Countries with future highest exposure to unprecedented climate extremes  Open
In the last decades, the World experienced an increasing frequency and severity of weather-related extremes. Such events can remarkably affect multiple sectors as food, energy, and biosphere. In the framework of the activities of the ERC p…
View article: An Analysis of the Lagged Relationship between Anomalies of Precipitation and Soil Moisture and Its Potential Role in Agricultural Drought Early Warning
An Analysis of the Lagged Relationship between Anomalies of Precipitation and Soil Moisture and Its Potential Role in Agricultural Drought Early Warning Open
The standardized precipitation index (SPI) is the most commonly used index for detecting and characterizing meteorological droughts, and it is also extensively used as a proxy variable for soil moisture anomalies (SMA) for the purpose of m…
View article: Record-breaking and unprecedented compound hot and dry summers in Europe under different emission scenarios
Record-breaking and unprecedented compound hot and dry summers in Europe under different emission scenarios Open
After analysing observed summer compound hot and dry (CHD) events over Europe from 1950 to 2022, we employ a large ensemble of high-resolution regional climate model simulations to investigate CHD events under different emission scenarios.…
View article: An event-oriented database of droughts in Europe based on spatio-temporal clustering
An event-oriented database of droughts in Europe based on spatio-temporal clustering Open
Droughts evolve in space and time without following borders or pre-determined temporal constraints. Here, we present a new database of drought events built with a three-dimensional density-based clustering algorithm. The chosen approach is…
View article: The effects of non‐stationarity on <scp>SPI</scp> for operational drought monitoring in Europe
The effects of non‐stationarity on <span>SPI</span> for operational drought monitoring in Europe Open
It is a good practice to follow common guidelines in the computation of Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) data sets as part of operational drought monitoring systems. In the European Drought Observatory ( https://edo.jrc.ec.europa.eu/…
View article: Global population‐weighted degree‐day projections for a combination of climate and socio‐economic scenarios
Global population‐weighted degree‐day projections for a combination of climate and socio‐economic scenarios Open
The projected global temperature increase in the 21st century is expected to have consequences on energy consumption due to increase (decrease) in energy demand to cool (heat) the built environments. Such increase (decrease) also depends o…
View article: Global exposure of population and land‐use to meteorological droughts under different warming levels and <scp>SSPs</scp>: A <scp>CORDEX</scp>‐based study
Global exposure of population and land‐use to meteorological droughts under different warming levels and <span>SSPs</span>: A <span>CORDEX</span>‐based study Open
Global warming is likely to cause a progressive drought increase in some regions, but how population and natural resources will be affected is still underexplored. This study focuses on global population, forests, croplands and pastures ex…
View article: A revision of the Combined Drought Indicator (CDI) used in the European Drought Observatory (EDO)
A revision of the Combined Drought Indicator (CDI) used in the European Drought Observatory (EDO) Open
Building on almost 10 years of expertise and operational application of the Combined Drought Indicator (CDI), which is implemented within the European Commission's European Drought Observatory (EDO) for the purposes of early warning and mo…
View article: A revision of the Combined Drought Indicator (CDI) as part of the European Drought Observatory (EDO)
A revision of the Combined Drought Indicator (CDI) as part of the European Drought Observatory (EDO) Open
Building on almost ten years of expertise and operational application of the Combined Drought Indicator (CDI), which is operationally implemented within the European Commission’s European Drought Observatory (EDO) for the purposes of early…
View article: A spatially explicit database of wind disturbances in European forests over the period 2000–2018
A spatially explicit database of wind disturbances in European forests over the period 2000–2018 Open
Strong winds may uproot and break trees and represent a major natural disturbance for European forests. Wind disturbances have intensified over the last decades globally and are expected to further rise in view of the effects of climate ch…
View article: Future Global Meteorological Drought Hot Spots: A Study Based on CORDEX Data
Future Global Meteorological Drought Hot Spots: A Study Based on CORDEX Data Open
Two questions motivated this study: 1) Will meteorological droughts become more frequent and severe during the twenty-first century? 2) Given the projected global temperature rise, to what extent does the inclusion of temperature (in addit…
View article: A spatially-explicit database of wind disturbances in European forestsover the period 2000–2018
A spatially-explicit database of wind disturbances in European forestsover the period 2000–2018 Open
Strong winds may uproot and break trees and represent one of the major natural disturbances for European forests. Wind disturbances have intensified over the last decades globally and are expected to further rise in view of the climate cha…
View article: A new global database of meteorological drought events from 1951 to 2016
A new global database of meteorological drought events from 1951 to 2016 Open
We derived trends in drought frequency and severity, separately for SPI and SPEI at a 12-month accumulation scale, which is usually related to hydrological droughts. Results show several drought hotspots in the last decades: Amazonia, sout…
View article: Dynamics of Socioeconomic Exposure, Vulnerability and Impacts of Recent Droughts in Argentina
Dynamics of Socioeconomic Exposure, Vulnerability and Impacts of Recent Droughts in Argentina Open
During the last 20 years, Argentina experienced several extreme and widespread droughts in many different regions, including the core cropland areas. The most devastating recent events were recorded in the years 2006, 2009 and 2011. Report…
View article: A spatially-explicit database of wind disturbances in European forests over the period 2000-2018
A spatially-explicit database of wind disturbances in European forests over the period 2000-2018 Open
We present a database of wind disturbances in European forests (FORWIND). The data set corresponds the data presented in the paper “A spatially-explicit database of wind disturbances in European forests over the period 2000-2018” which has…